SIRI NASDAQ
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
1W: +2.2%
1M: +6.0%
3M: -12.7%
YTD: +35.4%
1Y: +30.2%
3Y: -34.5%
5Y: -46.8%
$27.25
-0.17 (-0.60%)
After Hours: $27.35 (+0.10, +0.37%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.5%
$26
$27
$28
$28
$29
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 50.6% of company value Bonds: $911.7M held by 452 funds, 148 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.52 (down 94%), Sirius XM Holdings Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.46B against a stock market value of $9.24B.
Distance to default 4.95 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.73B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.8%; Altman Z'' 2.33. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.52 (down 94%), Sirius XM Holdings Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.46B against a stock market value of $9.24B.
Distance to default 4.95 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.73B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 32.8%; Altman Z'' 2.33. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BULLISH
+65
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
78
Momentum (25%)
80
Volume (20%)
100
Volatility (10%)
100
Patterns (15%)
62
Price vs SMA 20$26.67
Price vs SMA 50$27.54
Price vs SMA 200$26.06
EMA 9/21 Cross27.18/27.03
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 23
Supertrend$27.70
Parabolic SAR$25.85
SMA Slope0.070
RSI52.2
Stochastic K/D83/84
Williams %R-25
CCI69
TSI vs Signal0.4
CMO4.4
ROC2.56%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF0.050
MFI66
Force Index156.5K
Elder Ray Bull0.47
SIRI is trading above its 20-day and 200-day but below its 50-day moving average, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 52 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow near zero at 0.050. The squeeze is off with positive momentum, suggesting upward pressure. ADX at 23 suggests the market is range-bound. 1 bullish candlestick pattern detected: Hammer.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $26.67 | +$0.58 | +2.17% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $27.54 | $0.29 | -1.05% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $26.06 | +$1.19 | +4.57% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $27.18 | +$0.07 | +0.26% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $27.03 | +$0.22 | +0.81% | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | $27.44 | $0.19 | -0.69% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $26.48 | +$0.77 | +2.91% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $26.60 | +$0.65 | +2.44% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $26.97 | +$0.28 | +1.04% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $26.92 | +$0.33 | +1.23% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $27.32 | $0.07 | -0.26% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Accumulation
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Neutral Flow
Volatility & Range
52-Week
15.8% from high
20-Day
2.0% from high
Bollinger
75th pctile
Donchian
78th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $25.80
Turtle Short Stop: $27.31
S2
$26.95
S1
$27.19
Pivot
$27.46
R1
$27.70
R2
$27.97
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
1 bullish: Hammer
Bullish Patterns
—
3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
—
Bullish Engulfing
✔
Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji