— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

SNCY NASDAQ

Sun Country Airlines Holdings, Inc.
1W: -5.0% 1M: -5.9% 3M: -23.7% YTD: +11.6% 1Y: +29.4% 3Y: -10.6% 5Y: -57.6%
$16.17
Last traded 2026-05-15 — delisted
NASDAQ · Industrials · Airlines, Airports & Air Services · $876.4M mcap · 53M float · 1.51% daily turnover · Short 42% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
51.7 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 6.2%  ·  5Y Avg: 7.1%
Cost Advantage
68
Intangibles
69
Switching Cost
42
Network Effect
24
Scale
45
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SNCY shows a Weak competitive edge (51.7/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 6.2% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$0
Low
$21
Avg Target
$21
High
Based on 1 analyst ratings (12 mo)
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 5Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$21.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2025-11-03 Cantor Fitzgerald Tom Fitzgerald $20 $21 +1 +71.0% $12.28
2025-10-03 Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos $11 $13 +2 +9.8% $11.84
2025-09-29 Evercore ISI — $30 $20 -10 +69.8% $11.78
2024-11-15 Goldman Sachs Catherine O'Brien Initiated $17 — +10.2% $15.43
2024-08-16 Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos $20 $11 -9 +14.8% $9.58
2024-08-05 Cantor Fitzgerald Thomas Fitzgerald Initiated $20 — +88.9% $10.59
2023-01-11 Morgan Stanley — $28 $26 -2 +41.4% $18.39
2022-10-11 Susquehanna Christopher Stathoulopoulos $23 $20 -3 +42.2% $14.06
2022-08-24 Morgan Stanley — Initiated $28 — +50.5% $18.60
2022-08-10 Deutsche Bank — Initiated $29 — +46.7% $19.77
2022-07-12 Susquehanna — Initiated $23 — +17.3% $19.60
2022-06-27 Evercore ISI — Initiated $30 — +69.4% $17.71

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 31 Grade B
Profitability
40
Balance Sheet
53
Earnings Quality
79
Growth
24
Value
55
Momentum
58
Safety
30
Cash Flow
38
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SNCY scores highest in Earnings Quality (79/100) and lowest in Growth (24/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.53
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.49
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.43
Bankruptcy prob: 0.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 35.9/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 4.22x
Accruals: -7.9%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SNCY scores 1.53, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SNCY scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SNCY's score of -2.49 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SNCY's implied 0.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SNCY receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 35.9/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SNCY's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
21.58x
PEG
-0.84x
P/S
0.77x
P/B
1.32x
P/FCF
12.90x
P/OCF
5.47x
EV/EBITDA
6.88x
EV/Revenue
1.13x
EV/EBIT
14.73x
EV/FCF
17.75x
Earnings Yield
4.34%
FCF Yield
7.75%
Shareholder Yield
1.07%
Graham Number
$13.73
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 21.6x earnings, SNCY commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $13.73 per share, 18% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.772
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.602
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.076
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.695
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.595
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
6.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SNCY's ROE of 6.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.695), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$6.09
Price/Value
2.71x
Margin of Safety
-171.33%
Premium
171.33%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SNCY's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SNCY trades at a 171% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $6.09, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 21.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1298 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$16.17
Median 1Y
$11.99
5th Pctile
$5.26
95th Pctile
$27.76
Ann. Volatility
53.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 13.9% 16.1% 15.8% 15.2% 2.6% 2.0% 3.6% 10.3% 14.8% 14.4% 14.3% 13.0% 9.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 6.40%
ROA 4.9% 5.8% 5.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 3.5% 4.9% 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 3.1% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 3.6% 3.2% 2.5% 2.47%
ROIC 9.1% 10.6% 12.0% 10.7% 4.9% 3.8% 4.8% 7.2% 9.3% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 7.1% 6.7% 8.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 6.21%
ROCE 8.8% 10.4% 11.1% 10.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 7.9% 10.5% 10.6% 11.1% 10.4% 8.5% 8.2% 9.1% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.0% 6.9% 6.94%
Gross Margin 21.8% 26.1% 22.1% 23.7% 14.7% 21.0% 28.0% 31.4% 27.6% 21.6% 20.8% 21.1% 8.2% 18.7% 22.5% 71.6% 66.0% 63.6% 65.4% 69.2% 69.21%
Operating Margin 33.4% 12.3% 6.3% 9.6% 1.5% 6.9% 6.7% 19.0% 13.6% 7.6% 7.0% 17.7% 4.9% 5.0% 10.0% 17.2% 6.2% 3.9% 6.5% 10.9% 10.90%
Net Margin 35.0% 7.7% -0.3% 1.6% -1.8% 4.8% 3.2% 13.0% 7.9% 3.1% 2.3% 11.3% 0.7% 0.9% 5.2% 11.2% 2.5% 0.6% 2.9% 7.1% 7.12%
EBITDA Margin 55.0% 21.0% 12.7% 13.4% 8.7% 17.0% 14.7% 26.4% 23.1% 16.8% 17.9% 25.4% 14.2% 15.2% 19.9% 19.4% 16.2% 13.5% 15.9% 19.0% 18.99%
FCF Margin 8.3% -0.4% 5.7% 5.9% -11.1% -8.2% -6.8% -9.0% -5.6% -6.1% -4.2% 1.3% 5.0% 9.0% 10.9% 10.8% 12.0% 12.2% 7.5% 6.3% 6.34%
OCF Margin 32.4% 24.3% 24.4% 21.4% 12.5% 13.6% 14.2% 16.3% 18.5% 15.4% 16.6% 14.7% 11.1% 13.7% 15.3% 13.8% 14.7% 15.3% 13.9% 15.0% 14.97%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 9.29%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 10.37%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.34%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.64%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 5.20%
Cash ROA snapshot only 10.12%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 16.89%
CROIC snapshot only 7.15%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 5.50%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 4.60%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 2.90%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 35.51 26.55 20.33 23.56 85.24 84.51 53.90 23.31 17.45 11.78 12.26 12.09 13.67 13.61 15.17 12.63 11.00 11.18 14.84 23.06 21.580
P/S Ratio 8.29 4.59 2.52 2.24 1.34 0.99 1.07 1.27 1.34 0.84 0.84 0.78 0.65 0.58 0.75 0.63 0.59 0.59 0.70 0.82 0.770
P/B Ratio 4.94 4.29 3.21 3.28 2.15 1.63 1.93 2.34 2.48 1.67 1.72 1.55 1.26 1.11 1.41 1.13 1.06 1.06 1.25 1.41 1.323
P/FCF 99.46 -1218.98 44.17 37.82 -12.09 -12.05 -15.75 -14.17 -23.73 -13.92 -20.11 59.29 12.92 6.42 6.83 5.82 4.91 4.81 9.33 12.90 12.903
P/OCF 25.54 18.93 10.35 10.47 10.73 7.24 7.48 7.77 7.21 5.49 5.08 5.33 5.87 4.21 4.87 4.54 3.99 3.85 4.99 5.47 5.466
EV/EBITDA 20.87 14.93 10.12 11.23 13.17 11.14 10.90 9.91 8.73 6.60 6.24 6.20 6.15 5.79 6.03 5.95 5.48 5.45 6.16 6.88 6.878
EV/Revenue 9.02 5.17 2.89 2.66 1.79 1.44 1.47 1.73 1.82 1.36 1.33 1.31 1.16 1.07 1.15 1.03 0.97 0.95 1.01 1.13 1.125
EV/EBIT 26.90 20.34 14.82 17.19 30.87 27.19 24.87 17.31 13.85 10.79 10.39 10.63 11.69 11.32 11.27 12.10 10.90 11.14 13.22 14.73 14.726
EV/FCF 108.22 -1372.47 50.63 44.91 -16.13 -17.67 -21.68 -19.30 -32.28 -22.52 -31.70 98.92 23.16 11.91 10.50 9.56 8.13 7.78 13.59 17.75 17.745
Earnings Yield 2.8% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 4.3% 5.7% 8.5% 8.2% 8.3% 7.3% 7.3% 6.6% 7.9% 9.1% 8.9% 6.7% 4.3% 4.34%
FCF Yield 1.0% -0.1% 2.3% 2.6% -8.3% -8.3% -6.4% -7.1% -4.2% -7.2% -5.0% 1.7% 7.7% 15.6% 14.6% 17.2% 20.4% 20.8% 10.7% 7.8% 7.75%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.552
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.517
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.697
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 15.773
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 1.07%
Graham Number snapshot only $13.73
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.48 1.43 1.33 1.16 1.10 1.05 0.92 0.89 0.79 0.70 0.65 0.61 0.58 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.76 0.82 0.83 0.827
Quick Ratio 1.46 1.41 1.31 1.14 1.08 1.03 0.90 0.87 0.77 0.68 0.63 0.59 0.56 0.57 0.61 0.60 0.59 0.73 0.82 0.80 0.799
Debt/Equity 1.12 1.12 1.11 1.18 1.30 1.29 1.28 1.32 1.35 1.38 1.36 1.33 1.24 1.22 1.09 0.99 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.86 0.863
Net Debt/Equity 0.44 0.54 0.47 0.61 0.72 0.76 0.73 0.85 0.89 1.03 0.99 1.03 1.00 0.95 0.76 0.73 0.69 0.65 0.57 0.53 0.530
Debt/Assets 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.43 0.43 0.41 0.43 0.45 0.45 0.43 0.44 0.42 0.42 0.38 0.38 0.36 0.36 0.35 0.34 0.338
Debt/EBITDA 4.34 3.47 3.06 3.40 5.98 6.00 5.23 4.08 3.48 3.37 3.12 3.20 3.39 3.41 3.03 3.17 2.87 2.99 3.19 3.06 3.057
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.69 1.67 1.29 1.77 3.29 3.54 2.98 2.63 2.31 2.52 2.28 2.48 2.72 2.67 2.11 2.33 2.17 2.08 1.93 1.88 1.877
Interest Coverage 7.03 5.88 4.62 4.02 1.60 1.49 1.70 3.09 3.74 3.33 3.15 2.91 2.35 2.26 2.47 2.17 2.40 1.23 1.16 1.18 1.179
Equity Multiplier 2.82 2.78 2.81 2.88 3.04 2.99 3.09 3.04 3.02 3.08 3.16 3.03 2.93 2.91 2.86 2.64 2.53 2.63 2.69 2.55 2.553
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.511
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.524
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.386
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.127
Defensive Interval snapshot only 148.7 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.34 0.45 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.70 0.695
Inventory Turnover 42.07 64.55 90.51 99.69 106.39 104.80 106.92 117.04 106.62 100.21 101.02 107.13 109.82 100.71 96.82 73.78 59.42 44.60 71.19 32.79 32.788
Receivables Turnover 10.65 14.43 20.66 25.05 24.56 26.73 27.40 28.63 30.70 27.68 28.64 29.24 29.63 26.30 29.29 28.27 27.54 25.16 25.32 24.18 24.180
Payables Turnover 6.15 9.94 12.29 13.14 13.12 15.63 13.67 13.43 12.78 14.19 12.86 13.93 14.85 16.71 15.37 12.52 10.00 9.46 6.56 5.47 5.466
DSO 34 25 18 15 15 14 13 13 12 13 13 12 12 14 12 13 13 15 14 15 15.1 days
DIO 9 6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 6 8 5 11 11.1 days
DPO 59 37 30 28 28 23 27 27 29 26 28 26 25 22 24 29 36 39 56 67 66.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -16 -6 -8 -10 -10 -6 -10 -11 -13 -9 -12 -10 -9 -4 -8 -11 -17 -16 -36 -41 -40.6 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.184
Operating Cycle snapshot only 26.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 5.181
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.479
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue — — — 4.7% 1.9% 86.4% 43.6% 33.3% 26.8% 22.8% 17.3% 10.9% 5.6% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 4.3% 4.7% 4.4% 4.36%
Net Income — — — 4.5% -80.7% -87.4% -77.2% -23.7% 5.2% 6.5% 3.1% 32.1% -34.5% -38.9% -26.7% -21.7% 16.9% 28.8% -0.2% -25.4% -25.39%
EPS — — — 3.7% -79.4% -87.3% -78.1% -20.8% 5.0% 6.8% 3.4% 41.9% -28.6% -34.6% -25.1% -21.9% 16.2% 28.3% 0.9% -26.5% -26.54%
FCF — — — 2.1% -4.8% -39.5% -2.7% -3.0% 35.8% 9.0% 27.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 7.3% 1.5% 41.1% -28.5% -38.6% -38.59%
EBITDA — — — 3.5% -9.9% -30.3% -32.4% -1.8% 94.0% 95.8% 85.9% 34.1% -4.0% -7.8% -8.6% -16.0% -2.5% -2.2% -9.4% -1.4% -1.43%
Op. Income — — — 3.2% -23.2% -46.4% -47.9% -13.6% 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 41.5% -14.9% -22.7% -16.9% -15.6% 7.0% 11.8% -5.1% -24.1% -24.15%
OCF Growth snapshot only 13.16%
Asset Growth snapshot only 5.75%
Equity Growth snapshot only 9.35%
Debt Growth snapshot only -4.93%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.56%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.0% 56.5% 33.0% 20.0% 14.8% 11.6% 9.6% 8.0% 5.8% 5.77%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 54.9% 54.91%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 74.1% -4.1% -13.3% -10.5% -4.3% 70.6% 87.2% 48.8% -6.6% -6.62%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 24.8% 24.82%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 77.3% -8.0% -16.7% -11.9% -7.6% 67.7% 81.0% 44.0% -8.3% -8.30%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 26.6% 26.60%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 81.6% 18.8% 8.0% 4.7% 3.4% 22.0% 20.9% 15.5% 3.5% 3.53%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 37.7% 37.74%
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.4% 56.1% 24.4% 12.8% 28.5% 44.7% 54.5% 56.7% 47.6% 47.59%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 1.12%
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 72.0% 11.5% 0.3% -0.3% 1.0% 24.6% 28.2% 21.8% -3.2% -3.25%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 26.6% 26.64%
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 32.2% — 48.9% 40.1% — — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 9.3% 10.1% 2.8% -0.8% 17.8% 13.9% 7.2% 2.7% 2.75%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 60.9% 60.90%
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 9.6% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 3.9% 1.0% 1.8% 3.3% 2.1% 2.10%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.2% 6.24%
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 9.7% 5.6% 4.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.3% 6.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.17%
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — 7.7% 10.0% 8.8% 6.8% 10.8% 9.2% 9.9% 11.8% 10.2% 10.16%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.88 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.87 0.79 0.790
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — 0.48 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.33 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.082
Margin Stability — — — — — — — 0.72 0.79 0.83 0.90 0.77 0.80 0.81 0.85 0.82 0.55 0.41 0.31 0.37 0.368
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — 0.91 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.86 0.84 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.88 1.00 0.90 0.898
Earnings Smoothness — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.58 0.52 0.69 0.76 0.84 0.75 1.00 0.71 0.709
ROE Trend — — — — — — — 0.02 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.048
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.04 -0.01 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 0.09 0.24 0.35 0.45 0.38 0.384
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — 0.03 -0.04 -0.02 -0.04 0.03 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.04 0.00 0.003
Sustainable Growth Rate 13.9% 16.1% 15.8% 15.2% 2.6% 2.0% 3.6% 10.3% 14.8% 14.4% 14.3% 13.0% 9.3% 8.4% 9.8% 9.5% 10.2% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 6.40%
Internal Growth Rate 5.2% 6.2% 5.9% 5.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 3.6% 5.1% 5.0% 4.8% 4.5% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.3% 2.5% 2.53%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.39 1.40 1.96 2.25 7.94 11.67 7.21 3.00 2.42 2.15 2.41 2.27 2.33 3.23 3.12 2.78 2.76 2.90 2.97 4.22 4.219
FCF/OCF 0.26 -0.02 0.23 0.28 -0.89 -0.60 -0.47 -0.55 -0.30 -0.39 -0.25 0.09 0.45 0.66 0.71 0.78 0.81 0.80 0.53 0.42 0.424
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.787
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.915
CapEx/Revenue 24.1% 24.7% 18.7% 15.5% 23.7% 21.8% 21.0% 25.3% 24.2% 21.4% 20.8% 13.4% 6.0% 4.7% 4.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.1% 6.5% 8.6% 8.63%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.990
Accruals Ratio -0.02 -0.02 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.05 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.07 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.08 -0.079
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.019
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.735
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% — 0.0% 0.0% — — — — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% 76.1% 61.5% 1.1% 95.0% 94.4% 1.1% 55.5% 22.9% 19.7% 18.1% 35.6% 37.9% 24.8% 24.76%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 1.07%
Net Buyback Yield -10.3% -11.4% -15.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 1.07%
Total Shareholder Return -10.3% -11.4% -15.0% 0.0% -0.1% -0.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.4% 4.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 1.07%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.81 0.82 0.81 0.82 0.72 0.67 0.74 0.78 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.77 0.75 0.77 0.772
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.86 0.83 0.78 0.75 0.38 0.33 0.45 0.70 0.75 0.74 0.70 0.69 0.64 0.60 0.63 0.77 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.60 0.602
EBIT Margin 0.34 0.25 0.20 0.15 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.10 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.076
Asset Turnover 0.21 0.34 0.45 0.54 0.56 0.59 0.62 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.65 0.66 0.66 0.68 0.70 0.69 0.68 0.70 0.695
Equity Multiplier 2.82 2.78 2.81 2.95 2.93 2.89 2.95 2.96 3.03 3.04 3.13 3.03 2.98 3.00 3.00 2.82 2.72 2.76 2.77 2.59 2.595
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.04 $1.26 $1.34 $1.11 $0.22 $0.16 $0.29 $0.88 $1.29 $1.26 $1.28 $1.25 $0.92 $0.82 $0.96 $0.98 $1.07 $1.06 $0.97 $0.72 $0.72
Book Value/Share $7.49 $7.82 $8.50 $7.99 $8.54 $8.36 $8.20 $8.75 $9.06 $8.86 $9.14 $9.77 $9.98 $10.09 $10.36 $10.86 $11.12 $11.10 $11.48 $11.70 $12.22
Tangible Book/Share $2.43 $2.76 $3.11 $2.96 $3.21 $3.28 $3.09 $3.57 $3.89 $3.62 $3.71 $4.27 $4.45 $4.58 $4.91 $5.48 $5.72 $5.70 $6.05 $6.47 $6.47
Revenue/Share $4.47 $7.30 $10.80 $11.69 $13.64 $13.81 $14.89 $16.16 $16.81 $17.60 $18.65 $19.26 $19.35 $19.37 $19.54 $19.65 $19.95 $20.12 $20.68 $20.20 $21.10
FCF/Share $0.37 $-0.03 $0.62 $0.69 $-1.52 $-1.13 $-1.01 $-1.45 $-0.95 $-1.07 $-0.78 $0.25 $0.97 $1.75 $2.13 $2.12 $2.39 $2.45 $1.54 $1.28 $1.34
OCF/Share $1.45 $1.77 $2.63 $2.50 $1.71 $1.88 $2.12 $2.64 $3.12 $2.70 $3.10 $2.83 $2.14 $2.66 $2.99 $2.71 $2.94 $3.07 $2.88 $3.02 $3.16
Cash/Share $5.11 $4.56 $5.47 $4.51 $4.99 $4.39 $4.51 $4.09 $4.10 $3.08 $3.33 $2.91 $2.47 $2.67 $3.40 $2.86 $2.51 $3.20 $4.30 $3.90 $4.07
EBITDA/Share $1.93 $2.53 $3.09 $2.77 $1.86 $1.79 $2.00 $2.82 $3.50 $3.64 $3.98 $4.06 $3.66 $3.59 $3.72 $3.40 $3.55 $3.50 $3.40 $3.30 $3.30
Debt/Share $8.37 $8.78 $9.45 $9.42 $11.10 $10.74 $10.48 $11.51 $12.20 $12.25 $12.40 $13.00 $12.42 $12.26 $11.24 $10.79 $10.20 $10.47 $10.86 $10.10 $10.10
Net Debt/Share $3.26 $4.22 $3.99 $4.91 $6.12 $6.35 $5.97 $7.43 $8.09 $9.17 $9.07 $10.09 $9.95 $9.59 $7.84 $7.93 $7.69 $7.27 $6.56 $6.20 $6.20
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.526
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.446
Piotroski F-Score 4 4 4 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 6 6
Beneish M-Score — — — -2.59 -2.07 -2.62 -2.77 -2.77 -3.24 -2.45 -2.52 -2.42 -0.79 -2.80 -2.88 -3.06 -3.41 -2.84 -2.64 -2.49 -2.488
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.429
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 9.81%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-11.86
EVA snapshot only $-38240049.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 60.96 59.55 56.70 55.10 37.89 30.03 34.54 42.42 40.74 38.23 39.22 35.42 36.99 37.61 39.14 39.94 42.11 37.39 36.99 35.87 35.875
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.062
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 38
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 19

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms