— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0019.HK (HKSE) · $vol 14M · 0087.HK (HKSE) · $vol 2M · SWRAF (OTC) · $vol 0M · SWRBY (OTC) · $vol 0M · SWRBF (OTC) · $vol 0M

SWRAY OTC

Swire Pacific Limited
1W: -1.2% 1M: -3.5% 3M: +21.3% YTD: +58.4% 1Y: +52.6% 3Y: +111.8% 5Y: +211.9%
$12.88
-0.18 (-1.42%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±3.2%
$12 $12 $13 $13 $14
OTC · Industrials · Conglomerates · Tech Score Sell · Power 49 · $17.5B mcap · 479M float · 0.0059% daily turnover · Short 55% of daily vol

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 1Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
3
P/B
5
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. SWRAY receives an overall rating of B+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5), P/B (5/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 A- B+
2026-09-08 B+ A-
2026-08-12 A- B+
2026-08-10 B+ A-
2026-03-16 B B+
2026-02-02 B- B
2026-01-15 B B-
2026-01-03 B+ B

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade B
Profitability
34
Balance Sheet
59
Earnings Quality
85
Growth
21
Value
—
Momentum
55
Safety
—
Cash Flow
65

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.61
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-10.31
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB
Score: 57.5/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 2.89x
Accruals: -4.1%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SWRAY scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SWRAY's score of -1.61 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SWRAY's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SWRAY receives an estimated rating of BBB (score: 57.5/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SWRAY's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
15.52x
PEG
0.03x
P/S
1.46x
P/B
0.52x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
$180.45
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 15.5x earnings, SWRAY trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $180.45 per share, suggesting a potential 1302% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.609
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.749
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.122
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.389
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.764
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
3.8%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SWRAY's ROE of 3.8% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.389), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$285.57
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SWRAY's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SWRAY actually compounded EPS at 23.9% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. SWRAY trades at a premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $285.57, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 15.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$12.88
Median 1Y
$13.41
5th Pctile
$8.08
95th Pctile
$22.23
Ann. Volatility
30.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
ROE 24.0% 18.3% 13.7% 11.9% 10.6% 10.0% 7.6% 2.4% -0.8% -4.0% -2.2% 1.2% 3.3% 5.2% 12.1% 13.2% 12.8% 11.6% 2.7% 3.8% 3.81%
ROA 16.8% 12.7% 9.6% 7.4% 6.6% 6.3% 4.7% 1.5% -0.5% -2.5% -1.4% 0.7% 2.0% 3.1% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 6.4% 1.6% 2.2% 2.16%
ROIC 20.2% 19.9% 12.1% 11.1% 6.7% 6.0% 5.0% 4.6% 4.1% 1.6% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 4.9% 11.2% 10.8% 9.3% 8.1% 2.5% 2.5% 2.54%
ROCE 20.4% 13.9% 9.7% 7.0% 5.7% 6.4% 6.1% 6.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.2% 6.3% 6.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% 5.24%
Gross Margin 43.2% 41.1% 39.4% 35.9% 34.6% 38.1% 36.2% 38.3% 37.2% 38.3% 39.5% 38.4% 36.7% 37.3% 36.8% 38.0% 36.4% 37.7% 36.8% 35.3% 35.35%
Operating Margin 81.2% 20.5% 28.6% 16.0% 14.3% 14.0% 11.0% 12.9% 9.6% 13.6% 12.3% 12.8% 10.7% 13.0% 59.0% 12.5% -1.7% 4.1% 11.3% 12.8% 12.83%
Net Margin 30.8% 27.8% 24.2% 16.8% 14.2% 18.5% 2.5% -19.8% -8.0% -1.7% 13.1% 3.0% 4.9% 8.2% 56.9% 9.9% 1.0% 1.8% 4.8% 13.7% 13.69%
EBITDA Margin 67.7% 0.0% 25.9% 21.1% 19.1% 35.3% 13.1% 19.5% 16.4% 14.9% 21.5% 17.5% 15.4% 14.7% 14.8% 17.2% 18.4% 17.2% 17.0% 17.4% 17.38%
FCF Margin 22.4% 18.3% 16.4% 12.9% 13.4% 10.2% 10.6% 8.2% 8.7% 12.2% 9.3% 9.8% 6.7% 4.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 8.6% 10.6% 10.56%
OCF Margin 34.8% 28.3% 27.4% 22.9% 22.0% 16.6% 16.0% 13.4% 13.3% 16.5% 13.5% 13.8% 10.9% 8.7% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 13.4% 14.5% 16.0% 16.03%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.06%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 6.36%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.50%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.52%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 2.41%
Cash ROA snapshot only 6.06%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 8.62%
CROIC snapshot only 5.67%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.72%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 9.12%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 24.76%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 15.521
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.459
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0.519
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.025
Graham Number snapshot only $180.45
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 1.14 1.18 1.24 0.98 1.02 1.15 1.08 1.40 1.43 0.95 1.00 1.05 0.98 1.17 0.97 0.94 1.06 1.02 0.98 1.03 1.025
Quick Ratio 0.66 0.73 0.80 0.61 0.62 0.94 0.83 1.13 1.17 0.79 0.75 0.73 0.60 0.86 0.59 0.61 0.69 0.66 0.59 0.64 0.644
Debt/Equity 0.23 0.25 0.27 0.31 0.30 0.27 0.27 0.29 0.28 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.28 0.33 0.28 0.33 0.37 0.40 0.10 0.36 0.357
Net Debt/Equity 0.20 0.21 0.22 0.28 0.27 0.20 0.19 0.21 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.19 0.24 0.28 0.23 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.01 0.27 0.274
Debt/Assets 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.19 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.19 0.20 0.22 0.06 0.20 0.197
Debt/EBITDA 0.83 1.32 1.82 2.41 3.47 2.16 2.21 2.23 2.09 2.53 2.18 2.03 2.34 2.67 2.59 3.11 3.38 3.59 0.90 2.98 2.982
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.73 1.12 1.48 2.16 3.14 1.56 1.57 1.58 1.26 1.64 1.43 1.59 1.97 2.25 2.10 2.51 2.64 2.66 0.13 2.29 2.285
Interest Coverage 18.27 17.25 12.20 13.45 21.47 10.98 8.83 6.09 3.86 4.21 4.99 5.36 5.48 4.95 3.94 3.49 3.60 3.83 4.02 4.39 4.387
Equity Multiplier 1.53 1.57 1.58 1.66 1.66 1.61 1.61 1.65 1.65 1.63 1.63 1.62 1.68 1.76 1.67 1.72 1.84 1.86 1.84 1.81 1.810
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.381
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.305
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.234
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.202
Defensive Interval snapshot only 232.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.389
Inventory Turnover 7.19 7.32 7.68 8.21 6.70 9.02 9.26 9.73 10.85 14.36 9.92 10.21 9.18 10.70 8.34 8.14 6.09 5.85 5.44 6.09 6.091
Receivables Turnover 30.15 53.61 70.20 16.57 50.68 27.25 37.39 28.05 46.50 26.99 35.10 29.93 32.48 35.75 39.60 33.83 37.97 21.44 37.68 30.75 30.752
Payables Turnover 3.61 3.66 5.93 7.83 7.73 8.38 24.50 23.52 30.33 21.27 21.96 17.77 23.14 19.61 20.67 17.96 17.85 17.31 17.54 16.83 16.833
DSO 12 7 5 22 7 13 10 13 8 14 10 12 11 10 9 11 10 17 10 12 11.9 days
DIO 51 50 48 44 54 40 39 38 34 25 37 36 40 34 44 45 60 62 67 60 59.9 days
DPO 101 100 62 47 47 44 15 16 12 17 17 21 16 19 18 20 20 21 21 22 21.7 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -38 -43 -9 20 14 10 34 35 29 22 31 27 35 26 35 35 49 58 56 50 50.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 5.238
Operating Cycle snapshot only 71.8 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 8.195
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.644
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 48.1% 43.4% 45.5% 42.1% 42.0% 55.0% 55.3% 51.8% 45.6% 27.6% 15.4% 12.0% 9.8% 10.2% 8.9% 3.2% -2.8% -8.4% -7.3% 0.5% 0.47%
Net Income -15.8% -38.7% -56.7% -59.8% -53.8% -39.4% -39.4% -76.7% -1.1% -1.4% -1.3% -47.9% 5.3% 2.3% 6.4% 10.5% 2.9% 1.2% -77.7% -71.1% -71.13%
EPS -15.8% -38.7% -56.7% -59.7% -53.8% -39.2% -39.3% -76.6% -1.1% -1.4% -1.3% -47.9% 5.4% 2.3% 6.6% 11.1% 3.1% 1.3% -76.2% -69.8% -69.77%
FCF 78.5% 32.4% 10.1% -20.9% -15.1% -13.8% 0.3% -3.6% -4.9% 52.9% 1.5% 35.0% -15.9% -58.3% -30.6% -37.4% 0.3% 60.3% 34.3% 77.8% 77.80%
EBITDA -11.0% -42.8% -55.9% -55.9% -66.4% -14.5% 1.7% 21.7% 78.3% -22.7% -7.6% -10.6% -10.6% 18.9% -5.8% -9.2% -8.8% -9.7% 3.9% 13.8% 13.82%
Op. Income 2.2% 2.3% -12.0% -15.0% -59.4% -58.1% -44.2% -42.5% -11.5% -14.2% 3.1% 4.9% 14.0% 13.6% 1.1% 97.8% 62.6% 39.0% -74.0% -70.3% -70.28%
OCF Growth snapshot only 57.70%
Asset Growth snapshot only 5.78%
Equity Growth snapshot only 0.42%
Debt Growth snapshot only 9.30%
Shares Change snapshot only -4.48%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -50.75%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 28.2% 29.7% 32.8% 33.5% 35.0% 40.5% 44.0% 44.7% 45.2% 41.5% 37.7% 34.2% 31.4% 29.6% 25.0% 20.6% 15.8% 8.8% 5.2% 5.1% 5.11%
Revenue 5Y 21.4% 22.1% 23.8% 24.7% 26.0% 29.4% 31.8% 33.1% 34.2% 33.9% 33.3% 32.3% 31.5% 31.3% 30.3% 28.5% 26.7% 23.4% 21.4% 20.2% 20.15%
EPS 3Y 1.9% -5.8% -14.1% -14.8% -10.6% -5.9% -10.5% -48.3% — — — -63.4% -44.1% -29.3% 3.2% 13.7% 15.5% 10.5% -24.4% 23.9% 23.92%
EPS 5Y 31.7% 24.5% 17.0% 10.5% 6.9% -0.8% -11.3% -32.1% — — — -40.4% -23.0% -13.5% 5.4% -2.7% -9.8% -12.8% -35.3% -29.1% -29.12%
Net Income 3Y 1.3% -6.2% -14.5% -15.0% -10.8% -6.0% -10.6% -48.3% — — — -63.4% -44.2% -30.2% 1.8% 11.8% 13.1% 7.0% -27.0% 20.0% 20.05%
Net Income 5Y 30.9% 24.1% 16.6% 10.1% 6.5% -1.2% -11.7% -32.3% — — — -40.5% -23.2% -14.1% 4.5% -3.7% -10.9% -14.5% -36.6% -30.5% -30.49%
EBITDA 3Y 10.2% -7.0% -17.2% -16.0% -21.7% -2.7% -1.3% -12.6% -18.9% -27.7% -25.4% -21.7% -18.7% -7.7% -4.0% -0.4% 13.3% -6.0% -3.3% -2.6% -2.58%
EBITDA 5Y 46.8% 35.1% 28.1% 23.3% 13.5% 15.8% 7.7% 0.7% -4.3% -11.9% -11.8% -8.4% -5.2% -3.2% -3.5% -11.5% -15.3% -16.5% -16.5% -13.1% -13.06%
Gross Profit 3Y 26.8% 27.3% 28.9% 26.3% 24.5% 28.3% 30.0% 32.2% 34.1% 33.2% 32.5% 29.5% 27.1% 25.1% 20.5% 18.1% 15.4% 9.0% 6.0% 4.8% 4.75%
Gross Profit 5Y 18.2% 19.4% 21.2% 21.4% 21.8% 24.9% 26.7% 28.5% 30.2% 29.4% 28.8% 27.1% 25.7% 24.9% 23.1% 21.9% 20.6% 18.8% 17.9% 16.5% 16.53%
Op. Income 3Y 69.9% 68.3% 43.3% 41.5% 14.2% 14.1% 6.9% 4.6% 5.3% 5.6% -20.3% -20.0% -25.7% -25.8% 5.9% 6.0% 18.0% 10.7% -17.9% -14.9% -14.89%
Op. Income 5Y 44.9% 45.1% 32.6% 30.8% 18.0% 19.0% 15.4% 14.2% 12.0% 11.3% 11.1% 11.3% 8.5% 7.7% 21.1% 18.9% 16.7% 13.2% -22.9% -21.3% -21.34%
FCF 3Y 18.7% 17.4% 14.6% 23.6% 27.2% 18.5% 30.1% 11.9% 12.9% 20.4% 3.9% 0.9% -12.1% -18.1% -10.9% -6.6% -7.1% 0.7% -1.8% 14.5% 14.51%
FCF 5Y 19.5% 11.2% 10.2% 8.6% 12.5% 12.0% 16.1% 2.7% 6.2% 16.4% 8.9% 19.7% 10.5% 1.2% 9.2% 3.4% 4.0% 3.1% 0.9% 2.7% 2.73%
OCF 3Y 18.7% 9.6% 8.2% 10.4% 15.6% 17.8% 27.6% 12.4% 7.7% 6.1% -3.4% -3.2% -10.8% -12.7% -11.5% -7.9% -6.7% 1.3% 1.7% 11.7% 11.69%
OCF 5Y 18.8% 9.8% 11.0% 11.9% 13.8% 12.3% 15.5% 5.8% 5.7% 8.6% 2.4% 6.6% 4.1% 3.7% 9.6% 4.6% 2.9% -0.4% -0.5% 1.8% 1.79%
Assets 3Y 29.3% 91.8% 22.6% 94.7% 23.5% 30.7% 26.6% 20.9% 17.0% 13.0% 14.2% 11.2% 10.6% 10.6% 8.7% 7.6% 8.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 3.77%
Assets 5Y 27.1% 70.2% 30.1% 67.5% 27.5% 70.0% 28.8% 63.3% 23.8% 55.4% 18.2% 54.0% 17.0% 17.9% 15.5% 13.3% 12.0% 10.0% 10.2% 9.1% 9.10%
Equity 3Y 22.3% 84.0% 17.6% 86.1% 18.4% 26.3% 21.5% 16.8% 8.7% 5.2% 5.5% 9.6% 7.2% 6.4% 6.8% 6.3% 4.7% -2.1% -1.7% 0.7% 0.70%
Book Value 3Y 23.1% 84.6% 18.0% 86.5% 18.7% 26.4% 21.6% 16.8% 8.8% 5.3% 5.5% 9.7% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.2% 6.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.9% 3.95%
Dividend 3Y 17.8% -12.4% -16.3% -18.6% -18.3% -10.8% -6.9% -10.3% -8.9% -10.6% -14.3% -9.4% -4.5% 6.9% 47.7% 49.9% 45.7% 40.4% -20.4% -19.7% -19.72%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.84 0.85 0.83 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.83 0.85 0.88 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.90 0.84 0.81 0.82 0.824
Earnings Stability 0.70 0.46 0.20 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.06 0.33 0.47 0.48 0.47 0.61 0.56 0.45 0.20 0.31 0.40 0.37 0.46 0.31 0.306
Margin Stability 0.94 0.95 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.90 0.90 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.87 0.88 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.935
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.94 0.85 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.84 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.81 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.83 0.52 0.21 0.15 0.26 0.51 0.51 0.00 — — — 0.37 — — — 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.03 -0.06 -0.10 -0.17 -0.16 -0.15 -0.16 -0.19 -0.18 -0.18 -0.13 -0.06 -0.01 0.03 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.11 -0.02 -0.03 -0.034
Gross Margin Trend -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.012
FCF Margin Trend 0.05 -0.00 -0.02 -0.08 -0.07 -0.09 -0.08 -0.10 -0.09 -0.02 -0.04 -0.01 -0.04 -0.07 -0.04 -0.03 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.027
Sustainable Growth Rate 14.2% 11.9% 8.0% 6.2% 5.5% 5.9% 3.3% -1.2% — — — -1.3% 0.6% 2.1% 4.6% 5.4% 4.8% 3.5% -0.7% 0.2% 0.15%
Internal Growth Rate 11.1% 9.0% 5.9% 4.0% 3.6% 3.8% 2.1% — — — — — 0.3% 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.8% 1.9% — 0.1% 0.09%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.56 0.61 0.85 0.94 1.09 0.91 1.27 3.58 -11.04 -2.60 -3.84 7.95 2.30 1.19 0.56 0.53 0.61 0.77 3.44 2.89 2.887
FCF/OCF 0.64 0.65 0.60 0.56 0.61 0.62 0.66 0.61 0.66 0.74 0.69 0.71 0.61 0.53 0.61 0.58 0.60 0.61 0.59 0.66 0.659
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.901
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.916
CapEx/Revenue 12.4% 10.0% 11.0% 10.1% 8.6% 6.4% 5.4% 5.2% 4.5% 4.2% 4.2% 3.9% 4.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.6% 5.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.47%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.029
Accruals Ratio 0.07 0.05 0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.04 -0.06 -0.09 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.01 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.01 -0.04 -0.04 -0.041
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.011
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.484
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.95%
Dividend/Share $13.42 $9.28 $8.60 $8.03 $7.28 $6.59 $6.94 $5.80 $5.50 $4.70 $4.35 $4.30 $4.78 $5.72 $14.00 $14.46 $14.65 $15.30 $6.78 $7.12 $4.00
Payout Ratio 40.6% 34.9% 42.0% 48.1% 47.8% 40.8% 55.8% 1.5% — — — 2.1% 82.7% 60.9% 62.2% 58.9% 62.4% 70.2% 1.3% 96.0% 96.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 1.1% 88.8% 82.8% 90.8% 71.9% 73.0% 66.4% 67.9% 57.0% 34.1% 41.1% 37.3% 58.5% 95.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 61.9% 50.5% 50.50%
Total Payout Ratio 40.6% 34.9% 42.0% 48.1% 47.8% 41.7% 57.4% 1.5% — — — 2.1% 1.1% 85.3% 73.0% 74.6% 76.6% 90.0% 2.1% 1.3% 1.33%
Div. Increase Streak 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.86 0.80 0.74 0.67 0.68 0.67 0.64 0.31 -0.14 -1.61 -0.54 0.16 0.42 0.65 0.75 0.80 0.82 0.77 0.53 0.61 0.609
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.95 1.16 1.33 1.60 1.69 1.39 1.19 0.75 0.70 0.32 0.47 0.79 0.82 0.83 1.91 1.97 1.84 1.78 0.64 0.75 0.749
EBIT Margin 0.76 0.50 0.33 0.23 0.17 0.19 0.17 0.16 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.122
Asset Turnover 0.27 0.27 0.30 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.37 0.39 0.41 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.41 0.39 0.37 0.37 0.39 0.389
Equity Multiplier 1.43 1.44 1.43 1.61 1.60 1.59 1.60 1.66 1.65 1.62 1.62 1.64 1.67 1.70 1.65 1.67 1.76 1.81 1.75 1.76 1.764
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $33.03 $26.60 $20.45 $16.69 $15.25 $16.16 $12.42 $3.90 $-1.33 $-7.14 $-4.01 $2.03 $5.78 $9.40 $22.49 $24.54 $23.48 $21.81 $5.36 $7.42 $7.42
Book Value/Share $139.33 $141.38 $146.41 $146.68 $149.50 $182.78 $182.04 $173.72 $174.94 $175.03 $177.78 $176.08 $173.45 $176.91 $185.61 $185.60 $182.85 $188.91 $191.75 $195.11 $236.68
Tangible Book/Share $136.33 $138.29 $143.33 $141.79 $143.38 $172.93 $172.59 $164.31 $165.33 $165.44 $168.07 $166.87 $163.41 $163.51 $172.29 $173.01 $159.85 $164.27 $168.03 $171.85 $171.85
Revenue/Share $53.27 $57.01 $63.34 $68.77 $75.67 $88.52 $98.59 $104.57 $110.34 $112.92 $113.77 $117.11 $122.12 $128.88 $128.75 $126.99 $125.15 $125.28 $127.32 $133.57 $68.96
FCF/Share $11.93 $10.45 $10.39 $8.84 $10.12 $9.03 $10.44 $8.54 $9.64 $13.80 $10.59 $11.52 $8.17 $5.97 $7.65 $7.58 $8.64 $10.15 $10.96 $14.10 $8.06
OCF/Share $18.54 $16.14 $17.32 $15.75 $16.65 $14.67 $15.80 $13.97 $14.65 $18.58 $15.40 $16.13 $13.30 $11.15 $12.51 $12.97 $14.42 $16.76 $18.46 $21.41 $11.60
Cash/Share $3.91 $5.45 $7.28 $4.57 $4.31 $13.96 $14.22 $14.94 $19.49 $16.01 $15.25 $9.06 $7.79 $9.27 $9.75 $11.72 $14.89 $19.66 $17.12 $16.30 $16.30
EBITDA/Share $38.85 $27.05 $21.74 $18.84 $13.07 $23.17 $22.14 $22.98 $23.35 $17.92 $20.47 $20.55 $21.05 $22.08 $20.04 $19.61 $20.26 $21.17 $22.23 $23.37 $23.37
Debt/Share $32.13 $35.62 $39.56 $45.35 $45.37 $50.04 $48.89 $51.23 $48.83 $45.38 $44.55 $41.67 $49.19 $58.87 $51.85 $60.91 $68.39 $76.07 $19.96 $69.70 $69.70
Net Debt/Share $28.22 $30.16 $32.28 $40.78 $41.06 $36.07 $34.67 $36.30 $29.34 $29.37 $29.30 $32.61 $41.39 $49.59 $42.10 $49.19 $53.51 $56.41 $2.84 $53.40 $53.40
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 5 5 5 5 4 6 8 7 6 6 7 7 7 5 5 5 5 7 5 5
Beneish M-Score -1.45 -1.92 -6.74 -2.42 -2.75 -36.44 -2.22 -1.82 -2.11 -2.95 -3.12 -2.73 -2.50 -2.44 -2.50 -2.75 -1.95 -1.97 -0.82 -1.61 -1.606
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -10.310
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 61.16%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-72.56
EVA snapshot only $-25310182797.38
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'12 Q2'13 Q4'13 Q2'16 Q4'16 Q2'19 Q4'19 Q2'20 Q4'20 Q2'21 Q4'21 Q2'22 Q4'22 Q2'23 Q4'23 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q2'25 Q4'25 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB
Credit Score 76.75 69.55 69.65 63.95 67.20 66.50 64.90 64.05 60.30 63.75 57.45 61.20 58.95 57.15 54.60 53.10 54.45 54.45 71.50 57.45 57.450
Credit Grade snapshot only 9
Credit Trend snapshot only 4.350
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 275.000

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms