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Not Investment Advice

SYNH NASDAQ

Syneos Health, Inc.
1W: +0.6% 1M: +0.7% 3M: +2.0% 1Y: -10.2% 3Y: -19.5% 5Y: -13.8%
$42.98
Last traded 2023-09-29 — delisted
NASDAQ · Healthcare · Medical - Diagnostics & Research · $4.5B mcap · 103M float · 1.28% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
42.2 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Cost Advantage  ·  ROIC: 4.0%  ·  5Y Avg: 3.1%
Cost Advantage ★
72
Intangibles
19
Switching Cost
47
Network Effect
28
Scale
47
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. SYNH shows a Weak competitive edge (42.2/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Cost Advantage. ROIC of 4.0% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 12Hold: 11Sell: 1Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2023-05-16 Mizuho Securities Ann Hynes $87 $43 -44 +3.4% $41.58
2023-01-13 Barclays Luke Sergott $60 $25 -35 -27.5% $34.47
2022-10-06 Barclays Luke Sergott Initiated $60 — +17.0% $51.30
2022-09-16 Robert W. Baird — Initiated $80 — +55.4% $51.48
2022-08-03 Mizuho Securities — Initiated $87 — +31.1% $66.39
2022-04-25 Jefferies David Windley Initiated $75 — -2.8% $77.16
2021-08-08 J.P. Morgan Tycho Peterson Initiated $105 — +24.0% $84.70
2021-06-01 Guggenheim Sandy Draper Initiated $104 — +21.6% $85.56

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 24 Grade B
Profitability
11
Balance Sheet
35
Earnings Quality
71
Growth
20
Value
41
Momentum
55
Safety
30
Cash Flow
38
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. SYNH scores highest in Earnings Quality (71/100) and lowest in Profitability (11/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.42
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.99
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 38.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 3.55x
Accruals: -2.2%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. SYNH scores 1.42, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. SYNH scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. SYNH's score of -2.53 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. SYNH's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. SYNH receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 38.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). SYNH's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
16.72x
PEG
-0.23x
P/S
0.83x
P/B
1.27x
P/FCF
27.16x
P/OCF
17.38x
EV/EBITDA
14.55x
EV/Revenue
1.33x
EV/EBIT
26.74x
EV/FCF
44.53x
Earnings Yield
1.62%
FCF Yield
3.68%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$22.68
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 16.7x earnings, SYNH trades at a reasonable valuation. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $22.68 per share, 90% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.859
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.307
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.050
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.665
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.388
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. SYNH's ROE of 2.1% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.665), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$5.80
Price/Value
7.26x
Margin of Safety
-626.33%
Premium
626.33%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with SYNH's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. SYNH trades at a 626% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $5.80, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 16.7x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$42.98
Median 1Y
$37.29
5th Pctile
$16.62
95th Pctile
$83.79
Ann. Volatility
51.7%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
ROE -1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.6% 7.7% 4.4% 2.1% 2.09%
ROA -0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.87%
ROIC 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 2.4% 5.3% 5.3% 5.7% 6.7% 4.5% 4.7% 5.4% 5.1% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 5.4% 4.7% 4.0% 3.96%
ROCE 1.8% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.7% 3.9% 4.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.5% 4.6% 5.3% 5.7% 6.0% 6.0% 6.8% 7.2% 6.1% 5.5% 4.2% 4.18%
Gross Margin 21.8% 23.7% 20.8% 21.4% 22.4% 23.5% 20.6% 20.5% 25.4% 25.6% 21.8% 22.6% 23.5% 25.4% 21.8% 23.9% 23.8% 23.4% 19.8% 21.6% 21.57%
Operating Margin 3.6% 6.9% 2.4% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 4.2% 3.5% 9.0% 9.7% 5.0% 6.5% 8.4% 9.6% 5.5% 8.6% 8.8% 7.0% 2.6% 3.1% 3.09%
Net Margin -0.9% 4.0% -2.7% 1.0% 5.0% 7.5% 2.9% 0.4% 5.8% 8.1% 3.2% 3.3% 5.8% 5.5% 3.5% 5.7% 6.5% 4.1% -5.3% 0.1% 0.06%
EBITDA Margin 13.0% 15.3% 6.8% 11.0% 13.8% 8.8% 10.7% 8.4% 13.0% 14.4% 10.6% 10.2% 12.9% 14.3% 9.8% 13.8% 13.9% 9.1% 6.5% 7.2% 7.16%
FCF Margin 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 6.0% 4.5% 5.4% 4.8% 7.1% 9.4% 8.5% 12.1% 9.4% 6.8% 7.5% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 2.99%
OCF Margin 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 7.1% 5.9% 6.8% 6.2% 8.5% 10.5% 9.6% 13.3% 10.3% 7.6% 8.6% 7.4% 7.5% 9.0% 7.9% 7.1% 4.7% 4.67%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.89%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 4.90%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 2.40%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 3.69%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 3.96%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.13%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 4.01%
CROIC snapshot only 2.57%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.61%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 1.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 11.30%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 1.15%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
P/E Ratio -145.75 175.73 284.10 323.30 65.07 47.74 21.37 32.70 29.24 37.25 40.41 39.83 36.56 45.91 34.88 26.56 16.96 14.21 24.84 61.74 16.724
P/S Ratio 1.23 0.97 1.20 1.18 1.21 1.34 0.88 1.34 1.25 1.63 1.79 1.99 1.84 2.07 1.58 1.36 0.90 0.70 0.68 0.81 0.827
P/B Ratio 1.87 1.49 1.88 1.90 1.95 2.07 1.40 2.04 1.81 2.22 2.47 2.90 2.76 3.16 2.56 2.22 1.45 1.08 1.07 1.26 1.266
P/FCF 24.05 17.15 18.30 19.71 26.85 24.62 18.20 18.91 13.37 19.13 14.76 21.17 27.19 27.40 26.01 22.88 12.40 11.35 12.73 27.16 27.156
P/OCF 19.00 14.06 15.87 16.64 20.67 19.68 14.20 15.71 11.90 16.88 13.53 19.33 24.21 23.94 21.45 18.23 9.95 8.87 9.52 17.38 17.384
EV/EBITDA 15.46 12.30 15.92 15.78 15.62 19.04 13.49 18.42 17.81 19.57 20.92 21.71 20.52 21.85 18.23 15.08 11.03 10.46 11.03 14.55 14.554
EV/Revenue 1.86 1.58 1.87 1.82 1.84 1.93 1.49 1.93 1.82 2.29 2.44 2.60 2.46 2.64 2.16 1.92 1.43 1.22 1.19 1.33 1.331
EV/EBIT 75.53 36.92 40.69 39.43 30.48 38.97 24.73 35.82 35.35 34.32 36.67 36.04 33.03 34.88 29.34 23.54 16.73 16.61 18.28 26.74 26.743
EV/FCF 36.47 27.88 28.50 30.49 40.72 35.45 30.78 27.21 19.48 26.96 20.11 27.72 36.32 34.96 35.52 32.18 19.74 19.71 22.31 44.53 44.530
Earnings Yield -0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 1.5% 2.1% 4.7% 3.1% 3.4% 2.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% 7.0% 4.0% 1.6% 1.62%
FCF Yield 4.2% 5.8% 5.5% 5.1% 3.7% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.5% 5.2% 6.8% 4.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.8% 4.4% 8.1% 8.8% 7.9% 3.7% 3.68%
EV/OCF snapshot only 28.506
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 6.011
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 24.802
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $22.68
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Current Ratio 0.97 0.99 1.02 0.89 1.03 1.03 1.23 1.12 1.06 1.10 1.09 1.10 1.04 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.14 1.13 1.15 1.20 1.199
Quick Ratio 0.97 0.99 1.02 0.89 1.03 1.03 1.23 1.12 1.06 1.10 1.09 1.10 1.04 1.07 1.09 1.10 1.14 1.13 1.15 1.20 1.199
Debt/Equity 1.02 0.99 1.09 1.08 1.05 0.96 1.08 1.01 0.91 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.90 0.97 0.93 0.91 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.829
Net Debt/Equity 0.97 0.94 1.05 1.04 1.01 0.91 0.97 0.90 0.83 0.91 0.89 0.90 0.93 0.87 0.94 0.90 0.86 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.805
Debt/Assets 0.40 0.39 0.42 0.41 0.41 0.39 0.42 0.41 0.38 0.40 0.40 0.39 0.39 0.37 0.39 0.38 0.37 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.359
Debt/EBITDA 5.52 5.01 5.91 5.78 5.56 6.16 6.16 6.33 6.13 6.21 6.07 5.59 5.37 4.89 5.07 4.51 4.34 4.61 4.92 5.84 5.844
Net Debt/EBITDA 5.27 4.73 5.70 5.58 5.32 5.81 5.51 5.62 5.59 5.69 5.56 5.13 5.16 4.72 4.88 4.36 4.10 4.44 4.73 5.68 5.678
Interest Coverage 0.84 1.44 1.53 1.56 2.07 1.78 2.34 2.26 2.39 3.23 3.37 3.83 4.34 4.98 5.49 6.58 6.39 4.88 3.85 2.42 2.420
Equity Multiplier 2.54 2.54 2.60 2.62 2.57 2.46 2.55 2.47 2.38 2.49 2.46 2.48 2.47 2.41 2.52 2.47 2.44 2.35 2.34 2.31 2.311
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.050
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.447
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.028
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.056
Defensive Interval snapshot only 759.0 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.665
Inventory Turnover 1995.94 9619.92 3112.96 3240.85 3262.32 — — — — — — 27011.74 69413.20 — 73759.75 22058.57 38343.06 — 75368.16 38888.47 38888.470
Receivables Turnover 4.11 3.86 3.83 3.71 3.78 3.65 3.68 3.71 3.51 3.33 3.38 3.72 3.57 3.63 3.69 3.64 3.41 3.40 3.33 3.28 3.278
Payables Turnover 45.82 43.69 42.50 33.08 43.53 30.99 35.66 32.28 37.04 27.14 30.23 36.01 35.47 36.11 36.85 39.94 35.95 36.60 32.90 35.71 35.707
DSO 89 94 95 98 96 100 99 98 104 109 108 98 102 100 99 100 107 107 109 111 111.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 8 8 9 11 8 12 10 11 10 13 12 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 11 10 10.2 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 81 86 87 87 88 88 89 87 94 96 96 88 92 90 89 91 97 97 98 101 101.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 16.290
Operating Cycle snapshot only 111.4 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 65.951
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.490
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue 1.2% 64.3% 33.0% 12.8% 6.6% 6.5% 6.0% 0.5% -2.6% -5.6% -5.5% 3.6% 10.9% 18.1% 19.7% 14.5% 8.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.01%
Net Income 57.6% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 3.4% 4.4% 9.3% 10.3% 1.2% 46.9% 1.6% 25.9% 30.6% 21.8% 22.4% 17.9% 14.4% 13.5% -38.8% -74.4% -74.39%
EPS 64.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 3.3% 4.6% 9.1% 10.3% 1.2% 46.8% 1.8% 26.1% 31.6% 22.3% 23.6% 20.1% 16.2% 15.4% -38.2% -74.7% -74.70%
FCF 1.7% 61.2% 12.9% 1.6% -5.8% 2.3% -21.7% 19.3% 1.0% 47.5% 1.4% 36.9% -19.7% 4.8% -40.0% -27.3% 16.4% -15.2% -11.1% -49.8% -49.85%
EBITDA 1.1% 81.3% 39.1% 11.0% 4.2% -16.0% -0.2% -8.8% -15.3% 9.1% -0.3% 18.4% 29.9% 21.7% 21.6% 21.6% 17.6% -0.2% -7.6% -28.1% -28.11%
Op. Income 1114.2% 6.5% 4.3% 7.2% 1.4% 48.4% 47.0% 15.9% 13.8% 23.3% 17.4% 49.5% 38.5% 32.8% 31.8% 22.9% 19.3% 3.6% -9.2% -33.2% -33.18%
OCF Growth snapshot only -37.59%
Asset Growth snapshot only -1.72%
Equity Growth snapshot only 4.95%
Debt Growth snapshot only -6.83%
Shares Change snapshot only 1.23%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 48.3% 46.4% 43.6% 42.7% 42.1% 42.7% 44.0% 42.7% 30.9% 18.2% 10.0% 5.5% 4.8% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 4.7% 5.9% 5.87%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — 70.2% 49.3% 36.2% 27.7% 25.8% 24.3% 24.7% 25.4% 26.5% 27.6% 28.1% 22.0% 15.1% 10.1% 6.1% 6.11%
EPS 3Y — -51.9% -54.7% -57.6% -24.6% -15.3% -4.4% 3.3% — — — — — 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 50.4% 27.5% -8.0% -27.4% -27.37%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — 23.9% -1.9% -0.8% 1.6% 4.7% 1.8% 1.9% 10.8% — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — -40.8% -44.3% -47.8% -6.7% 5.2% 18.7% 28.0% — — — — — 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 49.5% 26.6% -8.7% -27.6% -27.57%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — 39.3% 10.5% 12.6% 15.2% 18.8% 15.8% 15.8% 25.5% — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 38.6% 38.0% 34.1% 33.6% 35.3% 27.3% 31.5% 33.0% 23.4% 18.4% 11.4% 6.2% 4.7% 3.7% 6.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 3.9% 1.1% 1.14%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — 68.8% 43.7% 28.4% 18.6% 19.2% 19.1% 20.8% 22.2% 22.3% 22.5% 27.6% 23.5% 15.1% 9.2% 0.9% 0.92%
Gross Profit 3Y 37.7% 36.9% 36.4% 36.3% 37.1% 36.6% 36.9% 35.4% 27.5% 17.9% 12.1% 9.0% 7.9% 8.4% 8.7% 8.8% 8.1% 6.8% 5.9% 6.4% 6.42%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — 66.8% 44.3% 31.3% 23.3% 22.3% 22.1% 23.4% 24.1% 24.7% 25.3% 26.2% 21.4% 15.1% 10.7% 6.7% 6.66%
Op. Income 3Y -10.0% 1.7% 5.1% 9.4% 15.6% 15.2% 18.1% 22.7% — — — — 56.7% 34.4% 31.5% 28.7% 23.4% 19.3% 12.0% 7.1% 7.08%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — 66.7% 38.6% 22.2% 15.2% 14.0% 14.9% 17.8% 19.5% 20.2% 20.6% 27.7% — — — — —
FCF 3Y 17.6% 10.7% 28.0% 28.2% 16.3% 48.3% 15.5% 36.5% 72.9% 34.5% 2.0% 61.9% 15.2% 16.5% 3.6% 5.9% 23.5% 9.4% 8.1% -20.7% -20.66%
FCF 5Y — — — — — 1.1% 38.4% 28.1% 25.3% 15.4% 31.2% 28.1% 20.6% 38.2% 16.9% 20.4% 37.0% 16.7% 69.0% 9.2% 9.15%
OCF 3Y 21.7% 14.0% 28.1% 27.9% 19.4% 42.8% 16.4% 33.7% 56.1% 29.0% 98.5% 43.4% 10.6% 14.1% 5.3% 8.0% 21.8% 10.3% 9.7% -13.5% -13.45%
OCF 5Y — — — — — 86.5% 38.4% 29.0% 24.9% 15.8% 29.8% 25.9% 19.0% 32.7% 16.2% 19.9% 31.6% 16.6% 38.6% 8.9% 8.92%
Assets 3Y 76.9% 81.6% 81.9% 80.8% 81.0% 79.5% 80.5% 77.0% 0.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 4.3% 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 3.2% 2.2% 2.9% 2.92%
Assets 5Y — — — — — 43.0% 42.8% 43.5% 41.5% 46.1% 45.3% 45.0% 45.9% 44.9% 45.1% 43.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 2.40%
Equity 3Y 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 2.4% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 6.1% 5.2% 5.6% 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.2% 5.21%
Book Value 3Y 72.0% 91.6% 82.6% 73.6% 79.6% 73.7% 66.7% 64.6% -5.5% 2.0% 3.3% 4.4% 4.8% 7.3% 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.6% 5.9% 5.5% 5.51%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.79 0.90 0.91 0.86 0.89 0.96 0.94 0.86 0.83 0.86 0.85 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.87 0.89 0.94 0.940
Earnings Stability 0.40 0.02 0.07 0.13 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.17 0.07 0.11 0.16 0.48 0.46 0.43 0.56 0.97 0.91 0.61 0.43 0.431
Margin Stability 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.91 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.93 0.93 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.96 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.953
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.81 0.99 0.90 0.88 0.91 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.95 0.84 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.62 0.98 0.77 0.73 0.80 0.80 0.84 0.87 0.87 0.52 0.00 0.000
ROE Trend -0.20 -0.16 -0.14 -0.09 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.06 -0.058
Gross Margin Trend -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.016
FCF Margin Trend -0.01 0.00 0.02 0.01 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.03 -0.00 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.047
Sustainable Growth Rate — 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 3.0% 4.5% 6.7% 6.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.5% 8.6% 7.7% 4.4% 2.1% 2.09%
Internal Growth Rate — 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.88%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
OCF/Net Income -7.67 12.50 17.90 19.43 3.15 2.43 1.50 2.08 2.46 2.21 2.99 2.06 1.51 1.92 1.63 1.46 1.70 1.60 2.61 3.55 3.551
FCF/OCF 0.79 0.82 0.87 0.84 0.77 0.80 0.78 0.83 0.89 0.88 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.87 0.82 0.80 0.80 0.78 0.75 0.64 0.640
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 2.273
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.511
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.68%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.369
Accruals Ratio -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.01 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.05 -0.03 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.02 -0.022
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.012
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 2.779
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio — 3.1% 3.4% 3.0% 66.0% 43.2% 31.9% 20.8% 32.3% 36.4% 41.7% 66.0% 50.1% 50.0% 92.0% 53.9% 52.3% 56.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% -1.0% -0.8% -0.81%
Total Shareholder Return 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.3% -1.0% -0.8% -0.81%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.73 0.42 0.26 0.22 0.60 1.29 1.19 1.37 1.43 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.88 0.75 0.75 0.74 0.73 0.85 0.80 0.86 0.859
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) -0.20 0.30 0.35 0.36 0.52 0.44 0.57 0.56 0.58 0.69 0.70 0.74 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.85 0.84 0.79 0.53 0.31 0.307
EBIT Margin 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.05 0.050
Asset Turnover 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.62 0.63 0.64 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.57 0.57 0.61 0.64 0.64 0.66 0.67 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.67 0.665
Equity Multiplier 2.48 2.47 2.55 2.58 2.56 2.50 2.58 2.54 2.48 2.47 2.50 2.47 2.43 2.45 2.49 2.47 2.46 2.38 2.43 2.39 2.388
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.35 $0.22 $0.18 $0.16 $0.82 $1.25 $1.84 $1.78 $1.82 $1.83 $1.88 $2.25 $2.39 $2.24 $2.32 $2.70 $2.78 $2.58 $1.43 $0.68 $0.68
Book Value/Share $27.50 $26.34 $27.46 $26.94 $27.30 $28.75 $28.19 $28.51 $29.33 $30.76 $30.69 $30.84 $31.68 $32.50 $31.62 $32.30 $32.50 $33.86 $33.43 $33.48 $33.94
Tangible Book/Share $-26.30 $-24.07 $-25.18 $-24.46 $-23.42 $-21.77 $-21.50 $-21.26 $-20.17 $-23.41 $-23.13 $-22.68 $-23.45 $-22.83 $-23.47 $-22.59 $-21.38 $-20.18 $-20.30 $-19.42 $-19.42
Revenue/Share $41.95 $40.48 $43.07 $43.37 $43.88 $44.37 $44.68 $43.40 $42.51 $41.89 $42.30 $45.04 $47.52 $49.65 $51.15 $52.57 $52.39 $52.25 $52.39 $51.93 $52.37
FCF/Share $2.14 $2.29 $2.83 $2.59 $1.98 $2.42 $2.17 $3.08 $3.98 $3.56 $5.14 $4.23 $3.22 $3.75 $3.11 $3.13 $3.80 $3.23 $2.80 $1.55 $3.24
OCF/Share $2.71 $2.80 $3.26 $3.07 $2.57 $3.02 $2.78 $3.71 $4.47 $4.04 $5.61 $4.63 $3.61 $4.29 $3.77 $3.93 $4.74 $4.14 $3.74 $2.42 $4.15
Cash/Share $1.29 $1.44 $1.04 $1.02 $1.23 $1.55 $3.18 $3.26 $2.36 $2.58 $2.51 $2.48 $1.17 $1.01 $1.14 $1.03 $1.65 $1.09 $1.07 $0.79 $1.09
EBITDA/Share $5.06 $5.20 $5.06 $5.01 $5.17 $4.50 $4.94 $4.55 $4.35 $4.91 $4.94 $5.40 $5.70 $5.99 $6.06 $6.69 $6.80 $6.09 $5.66 $4.75 $4.75
Debt/Share $27.92 $26.07 $29.90 $28.98 $28.72 $27.71 $30.42 $28.82 $26.68 $30.50 $29.98 $30.16 $30.58 $29.33 $30.72 $30.15 $29.55 $28.08 $27.87 $27.75 $27.75
Net Debt/Share $26.63 $24.64 $28.85 $27.95 $27.49 $26.15 $27.24 $25.56 $24.32 $27.92 $27.47 $27.68 $29.41 $28.31 $29.58 $29.12 $27.90 $27.00 $26.80 $26.96 $26.96
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.422
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.535
Piotroski F-Score 5 7 7 6 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 6 7 8 9 9 8 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.43 -2.49 -2.62 -2.60 -2.52 -2.56 -2.46 -2.68 -2.76 -2.60 -2.76 -2.50 -2.29 -2.48 -2.35 -2.41 -2.54 -2.46 -2.57 -2.53 -2.533
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.991
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-25.20
EVA snapshot only $-380896449.94
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 25.40 23.62 33.62 31.70 36.09 33.65 37.27 36.87 37.86 39.96 39.53 46.84 46.74 47.53 52.12 47.37 48.65 44.68 44.35 37.99 37.989
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -9.376
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 29
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 33

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