TALO NYSE
Talos Energy Inc.
1W: +0.7%
1M: +10.4%
3M: +27.6%
YTD: +61.6%
1Y: +86.3%
3Y: +13.2%
5Y: +46.4%
$18.19
-0.36 (-1.94%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.5%
$17
$18
$18
$19
$20
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 59% of companies Debt: 29.0% of company value Bonds: $287.6M held by 134 funds, 334 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Talos Energy Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.24B against a stock market value of $3.04B.
Distance to default 4.29 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $614.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.3%; Altman Z'' 0.01. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.66 (down 96%), Talos Energy Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.24B against a stock market value of $3.04B.
Distance to default 4.29 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $614.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.3%; Altman Z'' 0.01. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+7.9% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+110.9% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+7.9%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+110.9%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+61.6%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
56%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
-3.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.1%
75% win
56% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+5.7%
Midterm
☀️
+34.0%
62% win
61% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+6.7%
Midterm
☀️
+27.1%
75% win
91% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+6.4%
Midterm
☀️
+36.0%
50% win
79% vol
May
20yr
💨
+13.4%
Midterm
☀️
+58.2%
44% win
59% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+4.7%
Midterm
☀️
+11.6%
67% win
62% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
-6.4%
Midterm
☀️
+15.2%
56% win
55% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+8.7%
Midterm
☀️
+104.2%
67% win
58% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+2.0%
Midterm
☀️
+64.0%
22% win
58% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+9.4%
Midterm
☀️
+109.7%
56% win
56% vol
Now:
+11.3%
Nov
20yr
🌫️
+6.2%
Midterm
☀️
+93.6%
50% win
62% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-1.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.7%
25% win
60% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +61.6%