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TCNB OTC

Town Center Bank
1W: +7.3% 1M: +0.9% 3M: +3.3% YTD: +32.4% 1Y: +34.4% 3Y: +126.1% 5Y: +130.0%
$8.05
+0.55 (+7.33%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.9%
$7 $8 $8 $8 $9
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Neutral · Power 47 · $18.8M mcap · 2M float · 0.045% daily turnover · Short 23% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
5
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
1
P/E
2
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. TCNB receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (5/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (2/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B
2026-09-28 B B-
2026-07-17 B+ B
2026-07-02 A- B+
2026-07-01 None ADDED
2026-06-30 EXISTED None
2026-06-18 None ADDED
2026-06-13 EXISTED None
2026-06-01 None ADDED
2026-05-26 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 49 Grade B
Profitability
70
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
58
Growth
74
Value
73
Momentum
64
Safety
80
Cash Flow
49
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TCNB scores highest in Safety (80/100) and lowest in Cash Flow (49/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
3.28
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.85
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-2.64
Bankruptcy prob: 6.7%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A+
Score: 75.6/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
25/100
OCF/NI: 0.23x
Accruals: 2.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. TCNB scores 3.28, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TCNB scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TCNB's score of -2.85 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TCNB's implied 6.7% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TCNB receives an estimated rating of A+ (score: 75.6/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TCNB's score of 25/100 is low — reported earnings may not be fully supported by cash flows.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
18.49x
PEG
-0.47x
P/S
1.74x
P/B
0.91x
P/FCF
11.69x
P/OCF
10.49x
EV/EBITDA
-10.79x
EV/Revenue
-2.59x
EV/EBIT
-11.43x
EV/FCF
-23.29x
Earnings Yield
41.29%
FCF Yield
8.55%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$14.79
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 18.5x earnings, TCNB trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 41.3% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $14.79 per share, suggesting a potential 84% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
2.104
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.126
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.227
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.055
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
7.861
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
23.1%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TCNB's ROE of 23.1% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 7.86x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 2.10 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$54.05
Price/Value
0.06x
Margin of Safety
93.71%
Premium
-93.71%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TCNB's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TCNB actually compounded EPS at 130.1% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $54.05, TCNB appears undervalued with a 94% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 18.5x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$8.05
Median 1Y
$8.70
5th Pctile
$5.08
95th Pctile
$14.88
Ann. Volatility
33.0%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
ROE 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 6.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 2.6% 1.5% 3.1% 3.0% 3.2% 16.3% 15.0% 15.0% 14.7% 17.5% 19.8% 22.1% 23.1% 23.07%
ROA 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 2.93%
ROIC -0.3% 4.0% 7.2% -90.5% -2.7% -3.0% -3.4% -1.5% -0.9% -2.5% -2.5% -2.3% -14.7% -15.7% -16.5% -29.9% 54.7% 21.5% -22.2% -73.9% -73.86%
ROCE 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 0.7% 0.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 3.7% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 2.3% 0.7% 6.8% 8.6% 8.56%
Gross Margin 85.8% 86.4% 86.1% 86.0% 88.7% 89.9% 86.8% 87.9% 87.6% 87.9% 85.7% 82.5% 81.5% 79.5% 78.2% 77.8% 79.8% 1.0% 1.0% 86.8% 86.83%
Operating Margin 2.5% 6.4% 2.4% 55.2% 7.3% 3.3% 8.9% 6.0% -3.8% 15.2% 7.3% 7.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.8% 5.1% 8.3% 68.0% 68.0% 24.2% 24.23%
Net Margin 2.5% 6.4% 2.4% 55.2% 7.3% 3.3% 8.9% 6.0% -3.8% 15.2% 7.3% 7.9% 1.1% 6.3% 7.8% 5.1% 1.4% 31.0% 32.0% 17.8% 17.84%
EBITDA Margin 2.5% 6.4% 2.4% 55.2% 7.3% 3.3% 8.9% 6.0% -3.8% 15.2% 7.3% 7.9% 7.1% 6.3% 7.8% 5.1% 8.3% 32.6% 28.6% 24.2% 24.23%
FCF Margin 9.3% 8.3% 7.5% 6.8% 8.2% 9.7% 11.1% 11.9% 11.5% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 11.1% 11.6% 11.9% 12.3% 11.2% 18.6% 14.7% 11.1% 11.12%
OCF Margin 10.7% 10.0% 9.5% 9.1% 10.6% 12.3% 13.7% 14.4% 13.9% 13.2% 12.7% 12.5% 12.5% 12.8% 12.8% 13.0% 12.3% 19.5% 15.8% 12.4% 12.39%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 12.23%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 9.11%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 1.53%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 34.92%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.62%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 91.72%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 25.51%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 20.59%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
P/E Ratio 76.77 37.16 34.76 10.75 10.38 11.47 11.20 28.72 54.09 31.30 32.26 30.73 4.46 4.46 4.79 4.79 3.52 2.62 2.36 2.42 18.493
P/S Ratio 1.41 1.59 1.56 1.70 1.77 1.90 2.05 1.84 1.88 2.05 2.01 2.06 1.58 1.48 1.56 1.51 1.52 1.24 1.23 1.30 1.738
P/B Ratio 0.63 0.68 0.66 0.67 0.74 0.77 0.81 0.76 0.84 0.97 0.97 1.01 0.68 0.61 0.64 0.63 0.55 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.914
P/FCF 15.22 19.08 20.83 25.01 21.69 19.55 18.46 15.54 16.34 18.60 18.68 19.26 14.29 12.73 13.11 12.26 13.47 6.67 8.37 11.69 11.694
P/OCF 13.19 15.85 16.47 18.66 16.76 15.49 14.93 12.77 13.56 15.61 15.84 16.50 12.61 11.54 12.19 11.67 12.34 6.36 7.79 10.49 10.488
EV/EBITDA -423.84 7.47 -4.05 -6.46 -41.03 -37.15 -32.31 -75.75 -120.35 -41.12 -41.42 -42.80 -34.03 -42.76 -38.95 -29.63 -17.51 16.95 -29.61 -10.79 -10.787
EV/Revenue -7.78 0.32 -0.18 -1.02 -7.01 -6.15 -5.90 -4.86 -4.18 -2.70 -2.59 -2.87 -3.18 -3.06 -2.84 -1.95 -1.21 2.46 -5.85 -2.59 -2.589
EV/EBIT -423.84 7.47 -4.05 -6.46 -41.03 -37.15 -32.31 -75.75 -120.35 -41.12 -41.42 -42.80 -34.03 -42.76 -38.95 -29.63 -17.51 17.53 -31.86 -11.43 -11.426
EV/FCF -84.05 3.84 -2.43 -15.02 -85.75 -63.29 -53.22 -41.00 -36.34 -24.44 -23.99 -26.82 -28.68 -26.33 -23.77 -15.80 -10.74 13.23 -39.86 -23.29 -23.290
Earnings Yield 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 9.3% 9.6% 8.7% 8.9% 3.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 22.4% 22.4% 20.9% 20.9% 28.4% 38.2% 42.5% 41.3% 41.29%
FCF Yield 6.6% 5.2% 4.8% 4.0% 4.6% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.4% 5.4% 5.2% 7.0% 7.9% 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 15.0% 11.9% 8.6% 8.55%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.491
EV/OCF snapshot only -20.889
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -2.810
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -5.939
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $14.79
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Current Ratio 0.44 49.94 50.73 0.13 0.43 0.41 310.55 202.22 0.35 212.58 225.55 158.12 0.29 209.95 122.00 89.39 0.22 0.86 0.36 0.23 0.230
Quick Ratio 0.44 49.94 50.73 0.13 0.43 0.41 310.55 202.22 0.35 212.58 225.55 158.12 0.29 209.95 122.00 89.39 0.22 0.86 0.36 0.23 0.230
Debt/Equity 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.26 0.25 0.16 0.25 0.37 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/Equity -4.08 -0.54 -0.74 -1.07 -3.68 -3.25 -3.14 -2.78 -2.70 -2.24 -2.23 -2.42 -2.03 -1.87 -1.81 -1.44 -1.00 0.45 -2.66 -1.47 -1.469
Debt/Assets 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Debt/EBITDA 26.32 11.17 10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.12 11.15 19.87 10.03 10.24 9.40 6.61 8.57 5.48 8.96 14.60 0.00 0.28 0.00 0.000
Net Debt/EBITDA -500.61 -29.69 -38.81 -17.21 -51.41 -48.62 -43.51 -104.46 -174.44 -72.41 -73.68 -73.52 -50.99 -63.43 -60.44 -52.61 -39.48 8.40 -35.83 -16.20 -16.203
Interest Coverage 0.13 0.30 0.32 1.13 1.30 1.35 1.59 0.58 0.31 0.55 0.49 0.47 0.60 0.40 0.37 0.32 0.33 0.94 1.93 2.98 2.981
Equity Multiplier 11.18 10.58 10.34 9.70 9.68 9.04 10.05 9.99 10.08 9.82 10.14 10.27 9.13 8.55 8.25 8.29 7.51 10.16 8.57 7.53 7.532
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.225
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 3.157
Defensive Interval snapshot only 2989.8 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.055
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 8.05 9.19 9.88 9.54 8.95 10.17 10.43 9.90 9.92 11.53 11.44 10.89 9.87 4.65 4.71 4.75 10.50 6.75 5.18 5.41 5.414
Payables Turnover 0.48 3.25 3.28 3.31 3.12 3.58 3.18 2.96 2.43 4.78 5.34 4.12 3.39 7.06 6.11 5.04 5.91 13.34 1.36 0.86 0.861
DSO 45 40 37 38 41 36 35 37 37 32 32 34 37 78 78 77 35 54 70 67 67.4 days
DIO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO 756 112 111 110 117 102 115 123 150 76 68 89 108 52 60 72 62 27 268 424 423.9 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -711 -73 -74 -72 -76 -66 -80 -86 -113 -45 -36 -55 -71 27 18 4 -27 27 -198 -357 -356.5 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 12.586
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.257
Capital Intensity snapshot only 19.938
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue -4.4% -5.1% -2.9% -3.0% -1.4% -4.7% -4.6% 2.0% 6.4% 14.1% 17.6% 13.4% 12.0% 7.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.0% 15.3% 17.3% 19.8% 19.80%
Net Income -79.8% -45.9% 3.3% 3.8% 8.2% 2.7% 2.9% -58.6% -78.3% -54.8% -59.8% 18.6% 10.4% 4.4% 4.6% 4.0% 29.8% 64.9% 87.6% 1.0% 1.04%
EPS -79.8% -45.9% 3.3% 3.8% 8.2% 2.7% 2.9% -58.6% -78.3% -54.8% -59.8% 18.6% 10.4% 4.4% 4.6% 4.0% 29.8% 64.9% 87.6% 1.0% 1.04%
FCF 3.9% 81.5% 2.9% -33.3% -13.0% 11.3% 41.0% 78.1% 49.9% 29.6% 14.4% 2.4% 7.8% 13.0% 18.2% 23.4% 8.7% 84.6% 44.4% 8.0% 8.04%
EBITDA -79.8% -45.9% 3.3% 3.8% 8.2% 2.7% 2.9% -58.6% -78.3% -54.8% -59.8% 18.6% 2.0% 17.1% 24.6% 5.0% -20.9% 1.3% 2.2% 3.4% 3.37%
Op. Income -79.8% -45.9% 3.3% 3.8% 8.2% 2.7% 2.9% -58.6% -78.3% -54.8% -59.8% 18.6% 2.0% 17.1% 24.6% 5.0% -20.9% 3.0% 5.5% 6.9% 6.94%
OCF Growth snapshot only 14.62%
Asset Growth snapshot only 19.84%
Equity Growth snapshot only 31.96%
Debt Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue 3Y 65.6% 34.1% 15.4% 1.2% 0.8% -0.8% -2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 1.1% 2.9% 3.9% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.4% 8.4% 12.2% 13.8% 13.3% 13.33%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — 36.7% 21.3% 11.5% 3.7% 4.1% 3.7% 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 7.57%
EPS 3Y — — — — — — 71.3% -5.0% -26.2% -3.3% 17.2% 33.5% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 35.3% 47.6% 59.3% 61.5% 1.3% 1.30%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 62.4% 38.6% 42.9% 51.9% 76.0% 89.5% 89.52%
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — 71.3% -5.0% -26.2% -3.3% 17.2% 33.5% 1.8% 1.1% 1.1% 35.3% 47.6% 59.3% 61.5% 1.3% 1.30%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 62.4% 38.6% 42.9% 51.9% 76.0% 89.5% 89.52%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — 15.2% -26.2% -3.3% 17.2% 33.5% 81.4% 25.0% 24.8% -19.8% -19.8% 7.4% 16.8% 75.9% 75.94%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 13.7% -0.9% 19.9% 44.9% 61.3% 61.34%
Gross Profit 3Y 57.1% 27.4% 9.7% -3.7% -3.8% -4.2% -4.3% -0.1% -1.2% -0.2% 1.7% 2.3% 5.1% 3.9% 3.9% 4.5% 5.0% 11.0% 14.9% 14.9% 14.95%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — 33.2% 18.1% 8.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 3.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.05%
Op. Income 3Y — — 27.8% 5.0% -1.4% -5.1% -2.4% -14.5% -26.2% -3.3% 17.2% 33.5% 81.4% 25.0% 24.8% -19.8% -19.8% 28.5% 47.9% 1.1% 1.15%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — 26.6% -10.6% -9.0% -14.7% -14.2% -4.9% -0.9% 33.5% 66.9% 81.8% 81.80%
FCF 3Y 9.8% 7.8% 6.6% 5.7% — — — — 85.0% 37.9% 18.4% 6.8% 12.0% 17.7% 24.0% 31.1% 20.6% 39.3% 25.0% 10.9% 10.93%
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 3.4% 3.0% 2.7% 2.5% — — — — 49.3% 40.5% 23.2% 10.2% 10.17%
OCF 3Y 9.9% 8.1% 6.9% 6.2% — — — — 78.2% 38.4% 20.0% 8.5% 11.3% 14.3% 17.5% 20.8% 14.0% 31.0% 19.3% 7.7% 7.73%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — 3.5% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% — — — — 43.1% 37.3% 21.9% 10.2% 10.22%
Assets 3Y 9.4% 9.4% 4.8% 3.8% 1.0% -4.2% -1.5% -1.9% -3.8% -4.6% -2.2% -1.5% -0.1% -0.7% -0.8% 0.0% 4.2% 19.8% 9.8% 6.5% 6.46%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — 3.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% -0.0% -1.1% -1.0% -0.7% 7.1% 5.0% 3.2% 3.15%
Equity 3Y — — 3.9% 5.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 3.1% 0.9% -0.5% 1.5% 0.3% 6.9% 6.6% 7.0% 5.4% 13.4% 15.3% 15.7% 17.0% 16.96%
Book Value 3Y — — 3.9% 5.8% 3.8% 4.2% 3.5% 3.1% 0.9% -0.5% 1.5% 0.3% 6.9% 6.6% 7.0% 5.4% 13.4% 15.3% 15.7% 17.0% 16.96%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Revenue Stability 0.63 0.62 0.57 0.42 0.01 0.13 0.69 0.05 0.66 0.66 0.72 0.63 0.70 0.60 0.48 0.73 0.62 0.59 0.68 0.77 0.769
Earnings Stability 0.22 0.64 0.69 0.76 0.59 0.82 0.82 0.45 0.31 0.60 0.57 0.35 0.56 0.63 0.58 0.42 0.67 0.72 0.73 0.67 0.669
Margin Stability 0.92 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.96 0.98 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.95 0.94 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.943
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.99 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.88 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.40 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.25 0.15 0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.51 0.39 0.32 0.316
ROE Trend 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.11 0.09 0.08 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.11 0.12 0.121
Gross Margin Trend -0.11 -0.08 -0.06 -0.04 -0.02 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.00 0.07 0.10 0.096
FCF Margin Trend 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 0.07 0.03 -0.00 -0.004
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 6.5% 7.3% 6.7% 7.3% 2.6% 1.5% 3.1% 3.0% 3.2% 16.3% 15.0% 15.0% 14.7% 17.5% 19.8% 22.1% 23.1% 23.07%
Internal Growth Rate 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 3.02%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
OCF/Net Income 5.82 2.34 2.11 0.58 0.62 0.74 0.75 2.25 3.99 2.01 2.04 1.86 0.35 0.39 0.39 0.41 0.29 0.41 0.30 0.23 0.231
FCF/OCF 0.87 0.83 0.79 0.75 0.77 0.79 0.81 0.82 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.86 0.88 0.91 0.93 0.95 0.92 0.95 0.93 0.90 0.897
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.207
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.516
CapEx/Revenue 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.9% 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.28%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.952
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.023
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.927
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 9.699
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.250
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 3.80 4.63 4.48 4.80 6.24 3.38 2.45 2.10 2.104
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.16 1.13 1.126
EBIT Margin 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.06 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.227
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.055
Equity Multiplier 11.40 10.87 10.83 10.26 10.41 9.81 10.19 9.84 9.88 9.43 10.09 10.12 9.57 9.12 9.09 9.17 8.23 9.45 8.43 7.86 7.861
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.03 $0.08 $0.08 $0.28 $0.30 $0.28 $0.31 $0.12 $0.06 $0.13 $0.13 $0.14 $0.74 $0.70 $0.70 $0.69 $0.96 $1.15 $1.32 $1.40 $1.40
Book Value/Share $3.99 $4.20 $4.25 $4.48 $4.17 $4.24 $4.33 $4.33 $4.19 $4.15 $4.15 $4.15 $4.88 $5.09 $5.21 $5.25 $6.09 $6.50 $6.72 $6.92 $8.80
Tangible Book/Share $3.99 $4.20 $4.25 $4.48 $4.17 $4.24 $4.33 $4.33 $4.19 $4.15 $4.15 $4.15 $4.88 $5.09 $5.21 $5.25 $6.09 $-30.12 $6.72 $6.92 $6.92
Revenue/Share $1.77 $1.79 $1.79 $1.76 $1.75 $1.71 $1.71 $1.80 $1.86 $1.95 $2.01 $2.04 $2.08 $2.10 $2.15 $2.18 $2.23 $2.42 $2.52 $2.62 $4.63
FCF/Share $0.16 $0.15 $0.13 $0.12 $0.14 $0.17 $0.19 $0.21 $0.21 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22 $0.23 $0.24 $0.26 $0.27 $0.25 $0.45 $0.37 $0.29 $0.00
OCF/Share $0.19 $0.18 $0.17 $0.16 $0.19 $0.21 $0.23 $0.26 $0.26 $0.26 $0.26 $0.25 $0.26 $0.27 $0.28 $0.28 $0.27 $0.47 $0.40 $0.32 $0.00
Cash/Share $17.16 $3.13 $3.98 $4.79 $15.35 $13.77 $14.88 $13.33 $12.57 $10.56 $10.54 $11.34 $11.21 $10.80 $10.31 $8.84 $8.32 $-2.95 $17.99 $10.17 $12.45
EBITDA/Share $0.03 $0.08 $0.08 $0.28 $0.30 $0.28 $0.31 $0.12 $0.06 $0.13 $0.13 $0.14 $0.19 $0.15 $0.16 $0.14 $0.15 $0.35 $0.50 $0.63 $0.63
Debt/Share $0.86 $0.86 $0.86 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $1.29 $0.86 $1.29 $2.25 $0.00 $0.14 $0.00 $0.00
Net Debt/Share $-16.30 $-2.28 $-3.13 $-4.79 $-15.35 $-13.77 $-13.59 $-12.04 $-11.29 $-9.28 $-9.25 $-10.05 $-9.92 $-9.51 $-9.45 $-7.55 $-6.07 $2.95 $-17.86 $-10.17 $-10.17
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.283
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -4.215
Piotroski F-Score 4 5 6 6 7 7 6 7 5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 6 7 7 7
Beneish M-Score -2.55 -2.61 -2.65 -2.63 -2.74 -2.83 -2.64 -2.46 -2.23 -2.21 -2.27 -2.49 -2.29 0.24 -0.06 0.27 -2.38 -2.85 -2.78 -2.85 -2.854
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -2.639
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-34.83
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A+
Credit Score 35.96 38.87 38.47 34.01 46.38 45.64 61.54 45.80 29.72 51.62 44.06 49.01 62.14 78.94 80.46 79.62 62.69 56.39 91.64 75.58 75.583
Credit Grade snapshot only 5
Credit Trend snapshot only -4.037
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 125.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 78
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 69

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