— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice

TEP NYSE

Tallgrass Energy Partners, LP
1W: -4.3% 1M: -0.8% 3M: +15.0% 1Y: -6.0% 3Y: +10.2% 5Y: +172.1%
$43.31
Last traded 2018-07-02 — delisted
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
53.1 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: 6.3%
Cost Advantage
54
Intangibles
56
Switching Cost
62
Network Effect
58
Scale
27
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. TEP shows a Weak competitive edge (53.1/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. ROIC of 6.3% suggests modest returns relative to capital deployed.

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 63 Grade A
Profitability
78
Balance Sheet
32
Earnings Quality
66
Growth
64
Value
78
Momentum
89
Safety
15
Cash Flow
81
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. TEP scores highest in Momentum (89/100) and lowest in Safety (15/100). An overall grade of A places TEP among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
1.04
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
7/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-1.64
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.09
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 37.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
75/100
OCF/NI: 1.79x
Accruals: -7.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. TEP scores 1.04, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. TEP scores 7/9, signaling strong financial health across all three dimensions. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. TEP's score of -1.64 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. TEP's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. TEP receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 37.7/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). TEP's score of 75/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.02x
PEG
0.16x
P/S
0.00x
P/B
2.03x
P/FCF
6.25x
P/OCF
4.45x
EV/EBITDA
11.45x
EV/Revenue
7.28x
EV/EBIT
14.40x
EV/FCF
11.52x
Earnings Yield
12.57%
FCF Yield
15.99%
Shareholder Yield
15.24%
Graham Number
$47.37
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.0x earnings, TEP trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 12.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $47.37 per share, suggesting a potential 9% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.717
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.371
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.505
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.178
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.562
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
22.7%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. TEP's ROE of 22.7% is driven by a balanced combination of operating margin, asset efficiency, and leverage.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$179.14
Price/Value
0.21x
Margin of Safety
79.33%
Premium
-79.33%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with TEP's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. TEP actually compounded EPS at 42.2% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. At an intrinsic value of $179.14, TEP appears undervalued with a 79% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.0x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1294 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$43.31
Median 1Y
$49.71
5th Pctile
$28.89
95th Pctile
$85.50
Ann. Volatility
33.5%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
ROE — — 1.2% — — — 5.4% — — — 9.1% — — — 16.5% 40.2% 37.2% 50.1% 25.6% 22.7% 22.68%
ROA -1.2% -0.5% 0.9% 2.3% 4.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 9.4% 9.5% 8.0% 11.3% 11.1% 8.9% 8.85%
ROIC 3.1% 5.7% 3.5% 33.3% 15.4% 8.4% 2.2% 9.3% 16.0% 22.7% 8.0% 19.5% 18.6% 17.8% 8.9% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.3% 6.29%
ROCE -0.9% 0.0% 1.7% 3.1% 4.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 4.8% 6.5% 8.2% 9.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.9% 7.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 8.9% 8.95%
Gross Margin 50.3% 50.3% 43.8% 40.6% 46.8% 45.4% 57.3% 65.2% 67.6% 65.9% 68.1% 71.0% 70.0% 69.2% 68.5% 73.1% 69.3% 68.8% 77.2% 64.9% 64.88%
Operating Margin 14.0% 11.7% 17.5% 15.4% 11.1% 12.9% 17.2% 22.4% 42.4% 38.3% 41.8% 41.9% 40.8% 42.5% 44.1% 44.2% 42.0% 42.4% 39.0% 71.7% 71.70%
Net Margin -18.5% 10.9% 17.1% 15.2% 21.8% 12.7% 24.5% 28.2% 33.8% 30.9% 27.0% 30.3% 62.6% 39.9% 41.5% 49.1% 43.7% 1.0% 35.8% 14.4% 14.43%
EBITDA Margin 26.5% 23.7% 26.5% 23.4% 24.2% 26.2% 34.7% 45.1% 58.4% 54.0% 57.2% 57.7% 57.8% 57.3% 57.1% 59.5% 57.1% 50.8% 52.9% 92.3% 92.32%
FCF Margin -20.5% -8.0% 4.8% 8.1% 12.4% -1.7% -1.6% -1.4% -1.2% 28.5% 41.8% 45.8% 56.7% 59.2% 56.0% 57.1% 58.0% 69.5% 66.2% 63.2% 63.17%
OCF Margin -3.8% 14.9% 24.9% 24.4% 29.0% 24.0% 22.0% 27.7% 35.0% 46.4% 54.0% 58.1% 64.3% 66.9% 67.7% 70.3% 73.6% 87.2% 88.3% 88.8% 88.82%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 7.67%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only 5.94%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 6.29%
Cash ROA snapshot only 14.64%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 15.82%
CROIC snapshot only 11.25%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 35.30%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 69.27%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 9.56%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
P/E Ratio -53.81 -147.19 89.28 52.88 25.03 30.96 26.10 24.97 20.60 13.49 12.92 12.76 13.18 13.17 11.80 12.21 12.54 8.43 8.33 7.96 11.020
P/S Ratio 9.95 5.65 3.86 3.95 4.12 5.12 4.91 5.58 5.32 4.00 3.87 3.88 4.98 5.26 5.14 5.87 5.45 5.15 4.92 3.95 0.000
P/B Ratio — — 1.08 — — — 0.99 — — — 1.21 — — — 2.11 2.46 2.33 2.11 2.08 1.73 2.033
P/FCF -48.61 -70.55 80.50 48.99 33.21 -2.96 -3.03 -3.87 -4.42 14.03 9.27 8.46 8.78 8.88 9.18 10.27 9.39 7.41 7.44 6.25 6.254
P/OCF — 37.84 15.50 16.23 14.19 21.31 22.35 20.13 15.18 8.62 7.17 6.67 7.74 7.86 7.59 8.34 7.41 5.90 5.58 4.45 4.448
EV/EBITDA 50.90 29.64 17.29 17.62 20.60 27.19 23.31 21.83 16.15 10.98 9.74 10.54 12.65 13.23 12.98 15.74 15.30 15.10 14.95 11.45 11.449
EV/Revenue 13.47 7.43 4.43 4.40 5.04 6.82 6.45 7.36 6.90 5.36 5.27 5.99 7.17 7.61 7.46 9.11 8.83 8.44 8.19 7.28 7.278
EV/EBIT -103.78 4681.05 62.56 46.39 34.67 47.63 44.85 41.65 26.36 16.78 13.94 14.54 17.45 18.06 17.49 21.21 20.55 19.66 19.65 14.40 14.402
EV/FCF -65.76 -92.77 92.37 54.53 40.60 -3.95 -3.98 -5.10 -5.72 18.83 12.62 13.07 12.66 12.85 13.33 15.95 15.21 12.14 12.39 11.52 11.521
Earnings Yield -1.9% -0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 4.0% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 7.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.5% 8.2% 8.0% 11.9% 12.0% 12.6% 12.57%
FCF Yield -2.1% -1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% -33.7% -33.0% -25.8% -22.6% 7.1% 10.8% 11.8% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 9.7% 10.6% 13.5% 13.4% 16.0% 15.99%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.160
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 2.630
EV/OCF snapshot only 8.194
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 10.395
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 14.839
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 15.24%
Graham Number snapshot only $47.37
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Current Ratio 0.54 0.52 0.62 0.60 0.68 1.48 1.37 0.61 1.07 1.21 0.87 0.82 0.75 0.85 0.71 0.58 0.49 0.55 0.60 0.63 0.634
Quick Ratio 0.44 0.47 0.56 0.44 0.54 1.13 1.23 0.49 0.85 1.02 0.71 0.66 0.60 0.73 0.61 0.47 0.42 0.50 0.52 0.52 0.523
Debt/Equity — — 0.18 — — — 0.31 — — — 0.44 — — — 0.96 1.36 1.44 1.35 1.38 1.46 1.458
Net Debt/Equity — — 0.16 — — — 0.31 — — — 0.44 — — — 0.96 1.36 1.44 1.35 1.38 1.46 1.455
Debt/Assets 0.22 0.22 0.14 0.14 0.26 0.22 0.23 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.29 0.46 0.42 0.46 0.47 0.55 0.56 0.54 0.54 0.55 0.549
Debt/EBITDA 13.35 7.12 2.54 1.85 3.75 6.80 5.58 5.29 3.70 2.88 2.60 3.72 3.88 4.09 4.05 5.60 5.85 5.89 5.97 5.24 5.244
Net Debt/EBITDA 13.28 7.10 2.22 1.79 3.75 6.79 5.57 5.28 3.69 2.80 2.59 3.72 3.87 4.09 4.04 5.60 5.85 5.89 5.97 5.23 5.235
Interest Coverage -2.35 0.04 2.63 4.02 8.04 9.21 7.11 7.33 10.45 11.30 13.07 11.93 9.59 7.84 6.35 5.42 4.55 3.92 3.27 3.60 3.596
Equity Multiplier — — 1.30 — — — 1.37 — — — 1.49 — — — 2.05 2.46 2.57 2.49 2.56 2.65 2.654
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.014
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 4.524
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.002
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.190
Defensive Interval snapshot only 258.3 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.12 0.21 0.30 0.29 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.178
Inventory Turnover 6.23 23.58 21.06 13.99 25.58 3.94 20.61 14.72 15.36 3.34 13.27 13.65 12.12 13.16 13.81 12.27 14.28 16.45 10.63 8.67 8.666
Receivables Turnover 3.16 5.30 7.51 11.39 12.83 12.54 10.74 10.88 11.29 12.06 11.00 11.38 11.11 11.22 10.33 10.92 11.12 8.63 7.31 7.32 7.320
Payables Turnover 1.13 1.87 1.98 3.69 6.04 2.38 3.21 3.30 6.33 2.49 4.21 4.41 7.88 9.87 7.93 9.05 8.90 4.47 2.98 2.92 2.917
DSO 115 69 49 32 28 29 34 34 32 30 33 32 33 33 35 33 33 42 50 50 49.9 days
DIO 59 15 17 26 14 93 18 25 24 109 28 27 30 28 26 30 26 22 34 42 42.1 days
DPO 323 195 184 99 60 153 114 110 58 147 87 83 46 37 46 40 41 82 123 125 125.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -149 -110 -118 -41 -18 -31 -62 -52 -2 -7 -26 -24 17 23 16 23 17 -17 -38 -33 -33.1 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.276
Operating Cycle snapshot only 92.0 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 169.887
Capital Intensity snapshot only 6.069
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Revenue — — — — 3.8% 1.6% 74.4% 33.9% 46.0% 48.7% 48.2% 44.8% 29.9% 20.1% 12.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 8.4% 14.3% 14.31%
Net Income — — — — 5.3% 12.3% 6.6% 3.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 97.0% 90.0% 61.9% 64.1% 68.5% 22.4% 65.0% 47.2% 18.1% 18.06%
EPS — — — — 5.1% 10.6% 5.1% 2.1% 56.6% 1.1% 95.5% 56.9% 59.5% 34.5% 35.1% 55.3% 22.2% 66.0% 47.1% 17.9% 17.91%
FCF — — — — 3.9% -55.7% -59.9% -24.9% -15.2% 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 51.3% 32.8% 8.9% 26.7% 28.1% 26.4% 26.44%
EBITDA — — — — 3.5% 1.6% 88.4% 80.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 72.5% 41.3% 19.9% 8.6% 8.2% 4.9% 3.4% 25.5% 25.51%
Op. Income — — — — 3.9% 1.9% 71.1% 48.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 1.1% 61.5% 29.5% 11.1% 12.7% 11.4% 6.9% 30.7% 30.70%
OCF Growth snapshot only 44.34%
Asset Growth snapshot only 17.96%
Equity Growth snapshot only 9.34%
Debt Growth snapshot only 17.44%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.13%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 64.06%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Revenue 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.1% 67.5% 42.9% 27.4% 26.4% 24.4% 21.9% 20.8% 20.83%
Revenue 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.5% 95.3% 45.1% 66.8% 57.2% 42.2% 42.15%
EPS 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.1% 1.4% 74.6% 92.4% 78.6% 57.7% 57.67%
Net Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.7% 1.2% 87.0% 68.5% 68.2% 62.6% 53.1% 49.3% 49.27%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.3% 86.6% 62.0% 47.0% 46.4% 45.0% 39.5% 31.1% 31.10%
Gross Profit 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Op. Income 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 81.3% 83.5% 80.1% 74.0% 73.6% 73.65%
Op. Income 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.2% 1.4% 1.1% — — — —
FCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
OCF 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.8% 99.4% 81.4% 72.3% 91.3% 93.9% 78.2% 78.16%
OCF 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Assets 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — 44.0% 43.1% 46.1% 54.7% 51.5% 14.0% 17.4% 19.5% 19.54%
Assets 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Equity 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 25.5% — — — -4.7% — —
Book Value 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.9% — — — -16.1% — —
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 44.6% 17.5% 6.4% 6.38%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — 0.98 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.91 0.92 0.921
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.99 0.97 0.98 0.99 0.987
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — 0.85 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.83 0.89 0.888
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.91 0.50 0.81 0.93 0.928
Earnings Smoothness — — — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.09 0.19 0.35 0.38 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.80 0.51 0.62 0.83 0.834
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — — — 0.07 — — — 0.11 — — — 0.11 — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — 0.12 0.17 0.19 0.18 0.16 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.06 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.008
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — -1.16 1.19 1.20 1.14 1.11 1.31 1.16 1.06 0.90 0.26 0.17 0.12 0.117
Sustainable Growth Rate — — 1.2% — — — 5.4% — — — 9.1% — — — 6.2% 5.2% -10.5% 2.8% -0.3% -4.8% -4.82%
Internal Growth Rate — — 0.9% 2.3% 5.1% 3.1% 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 6.1% 3.7% 1.2% — 0.6% — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.20 -3.89 5.76 3.26 1.76 1.45 1.17 1.24 1.36 1.57 1.80 1.91 1.70 1.67 1.55 1.46 1.69 1.43 1.49 1.79 1.789
FCF/OCF 5.45 -0.54 0.19 0.33 0.43 -7.19 -7.38 -5.20 -3.44 0.61 0.77 0.79 0.88 0.89 0.83 0.81 0.79 0.80 0.75 0.71 0.711
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.273
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.397
CapEx/Revenue 16.7% 22.9% 20.1% 16.3% 16.6% 2.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 17.9% 12.2% 12.3% 7.6% 7.6% 11.7% 13.2% 15.6% 17.7% 22.1% 25.6% 25.65%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.946
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.06 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.05 -0.07 -0.070
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.036
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.035
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 0.750
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.5% 5.3% 7.1% 10.2% 11.2% 12.2% 15.2% 8.80%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.07 $2.24 $3.44 $4.71 $5.02 $5.34 $5.64 $3.81
Payout Ratio — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.5% 62.6% 87.2% 1.3% 94.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.21%
FCF Payout Ratio — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — — — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 22.6% 48.7% 73.3% 96.1% 82.9% 90.5% 95.3% 95.29%
Total Payout Ratio — — 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33.5% 62.6% 87.2% 1.3% 94.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.21%
Div. Increase Streak — — — — — — — — — — — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.76 1.50 0.80 0.795
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -25.3% -23.2% -27.8% -26.7% -0.7% -12.2% -12.3% -13.8% -13.5% -4.6% -4.8% -3.5% -1.8% -1.77%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -25.3% -23.2% -27.8% -26.7% -0.7% -12.2% -9.7% -8.5% -6.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.7% 13.5% 13.46%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 1.00 1.03 0.98 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.18 1.29 1.11 1.03 0.87 0.83 0.89 0.92 0.98 0.99 0.92 0.94 0.88 0.72 0.717
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.43 -23.49 0.62 0.79 1.14 1.15 1.11 0.98 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.89 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.13 1.10 1.51 1.61 1.37 1.371
EBIT Margin -0.13 0.00 0.07 0.09 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.18 0.26 0.32 0.38 0.41 0.41 0.42 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.51 0.505
Asset Turnover 0.06 0.12 0.21 0.30 0.29 0.18 0.21 0.23 0.25 0.19 0.21 0.22 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.20 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.18 0.178
Equity Multiplier — — 1.30 — — — 1.35 — — — 1.43 — — — 1.75 4.25 4.67 4.42 2.31 2.56 2.562
Per Share
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $-0.29 $-0.12 $0.22 $0.53 $1.20 $1.15 $1.36 $1.62 $1.89 $2.38 $2.65 $2.54 $3.01 $3.21 $3.58 $3.95 $3.68 $5.32 $5.27 $4.65 $4.65
Book Value/Share $0.00 $0.00 $18.37 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $35.78 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $28.32 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $20.02 $19.62 $19.78 $21.27 $21.09 $21.43 $21.30
Tangible Book/Share $-7.53 $-7.41 $10.85 $-7.38 $-8.37 $-9.38 $26.85 $-8.26 $-7.25 $-7.18 $21.06 $-6.48 $-6.01 $-5.91 $14.08 $13.70 $13.81 $14.42 $14.26 $14.08 $14.08
Revenue/Share $1.58 $3.10 $5.12 $7.08 $7.31 $6.95 $7.21 $7.25 $7.30 $8.05 $8.85 $8.36 $7.97 $8.03 $8.23 $8.21 $8.46 $8.72 $8.91 $9.37 $9.00
FCF/Share $-0.32 $-0.25 $0.25 $0.57 $0.91 $-11.99 $-11.68 $-10.46 $-8.80 $2.29 $3.70 $3.83 $4.52 $4.76 $4.61 $4.69 $4.91 $6.06 $5.90 $5.92 $5.95
OCF/Share $-0.06 $0.46 $1.28 $1.73 $2.12 $1.67 $1.58 $2.01 $2.56 $3.73 $4.78 $4.86 $5.12 $5.37 $5.57 $5.78 $6.22 $7.60 $7.87 $8.33 $7.95
Cash/Share $0.03 $0.02 $0.42 $0.10 $0.00 $0.02 $0.02 $0.02 $0.03 $0.30 $0.03 $0.04 $0.03 $0.01 $0.03 $0.02 $0.00 $0.04 $0.02 $0.06 $0.02
EBITDA/Share $0.42 $0.78 $1.31 $1.77 $1.79 $1.74 $2.00 $2.44 $3.12 $3.93 $4.79 $4.75 $4.52 $4.62 $4.73 $4.75 $4.88 $4.87 $4.89 $5.96 $5.96
Debt/Share $5.57 $5.53 $3.33 $3.27 $6.71 $11.85 $11.14 $12.93 $11.53 $11.31 $12.43 $17.70 $17.52 $18.88 $19.14 $26.64 $28.57 $28.72 $29.17 $31.25 $31.25
Net Debt/Share $5.53 $5.52 $2.91 $3.17 $6.71 $11.83 $11.12 $12.91 $11.50 $11.01 $12.41 $17.65 $17.50 $18.87 $19.12 $26.62 $28.57 $28.68 $29.15 $31.19 $31.19
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.036
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 1.490
Piotroski F-Score 2 3 4 4 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 5 4 5 5 7 7
Beneish M-Score — — — — -2.27 4.25 -0.49 -2.16 -2.02 -3.13 -3.01 -2.60 -2.36 -2.44 -2.36 -2.11 -2.48 -1.87 -1.79 -1.64 -1.636
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.090
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 14.59%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-32.95
EVA snapshot only $-143931542.55
Credit
Metric Trend Q2'13 Q3'13 Q4'13 Q1'14 Q2'14 Q3'14 Q4'14 Q1'15 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 Q4'17 Q1'18 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 12.96 18.47 52.15 65.50 61.28 49.10 60.35 49.82 60.78 69.44 67.15 57.54 53.23 54.42 51.48 46.44 40.11 45.50 38.50 37.68 37.677
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -8.764
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 45
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 30

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