— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: 0R2L.L (LSE) · $vol 3M · TM5.DE (XETRA) · $vol 0M · TMUS.TO (TSX) · $vol 0M · TMUS.SW (SIX)

TMUS NASDAQ

T-Mobile US, Inc.
1W: -5.9% 1M: -11.2% 3M: -19.4% YTD: -26.0% 1Y: -32.9% 3Y: +10.3% 5Y: +29.6%
$146.83
-0.10 (-0.07%)
After Hours: $146.90 (+0.07, +0.05%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.6%
$121 $134 $147 $159 $172
NASDAQ · Communication Services · Telecommunications Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 43 · $157.6B mcap · 486M float · 1.10% daily turnover · Short 40% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 54% of companies Debt: 42.4% of company value Bonds: $1.51B held by 783 funds, 87 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $5.42 (down 96%), T-Mobile US, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $116.00B against a stock market value of $157.61B.
Distance to default 5.49 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $45.37B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.7%; Altman Z'' 1.22. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.4% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+10.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.4%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+10.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-26.1%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
45%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
+1.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.2%
63% win 39% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+4.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.7%
63% win 39% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+8.1%
Midterm
☁️
-1.0%
63% win 36% vol
Apr
20yr
⛅
+5.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
65% win 32% vol
May
20yr
💨
+10.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.0%
75% win 39% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
+8.7%
Midterm
⛅
+4.7%
45% win 32% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+10.2%
Midterm
☀️
+7.8%
65% win 43% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+8.3%
Midterm
☀️
+7.8%
50% win 52% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+11.1%
Midterm
☀️
+11.1%
50% win 34% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+9.8%
Midterm
☀️
+12.5%
35% win 45% vol
Now: -10.0%
Nov
20yr
💨
+13.4%
Midterm
☀️
+20.0%
53% win 46% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+3.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.6%
63% win 35% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -26.1%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms