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UMPQ NASDAQ

Umpqua Holdings Corporation
1W: -3.6% 1M: -0.3% 3M: -12.8% 1Y: -18.0% 3Y: +12.6% 5Y: -19.6%
$17.66
Last traded 2023-02-28 — delisted
NASDAQ · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $3.8B mcap · 215M float · 1.03% daily turnover

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

NO EDGE
38.9 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Intangible Assets  ·  ROIC: 15.3%  ·  5Y Avg: -1.1%
Cost Advantage
58
Intangibles
63
Switching Cost
18
Network Effect
27
Scale
20
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. UMPQ has No discernible competitive edge (38.9/100). The business operates without significant structural advantages. The primary source of advantage is Intangible Assets. ROIC of 15.3% confirms the company is generating returns well above its cost of capital — a hallmark of durable competitive advantages.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 8Hold: 10Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2022-12-15 Wells Fargo Jared Shaw Initiated $22 — +23.3% $17.84
2022-06-15 Truist Financial — Initiated $18 — +8.5% $16.59

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 52 Grade A
Profitability
71
Balance Sheet
61
Earnings Quality
70
Growth
25
Value
83
Momentum
58
Safety
30
Cash Flow
93
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. UMPQ scores highest in Cash Flow (93/100) and lowest in Growth (25/100). An overall grade of A places UMPQ among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.30
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.14
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-5.67
Bankruptcy prob: 0.3%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
A-
Score: 65.7/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 3.16x
Accruals: -2.3%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. UMPQ scores 1.30, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. UMPQ scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. UMPQ's score of -2.14 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. UMPQ's implied 0.3% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. UMPQ receives an estimated rating of A- (score: 65.7/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). UMPQ's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
11.39x
PEG
-0.59x
P/S
31.54x
P/B
1.55x
P/FCF
3.74x
P/OCF
3.65x
EV/EBITDA
7.34x
EV/Revenue
3.15x
EV/EBIT
3.39x
EV/FCF
3.85x
Earnings Yield
8.67%
FCF Yield
26.73%
Shareholder Yield
4.80%
Graham Number
$19.92
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 11.4x earnings, UMPQ trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.7% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $19.92 per share, suggesting a potential 13% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.747
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
0.382
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.929
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.041
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
11.950
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
12.9%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. UMPQ's ROE of 12.9% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 11.95x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$13.16
Price/Value
1.36x
Margin of Safety
-35.68%
Premium
35.68%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with UMPQ's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. UMPQ trades at a 36% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $13.16, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 11.4x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$17.66
Median 1Y
$16.94
5th Pctile
$9.88
95th Pctile
$29.12
Ann. Volatility
34.9%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
ROE 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 8.5% -47.5% -48.2% -46.1% -43.4% 16.8% 18.8% 18.1% 15.4% 15.3% 13.9% 13.3% 12.9% 12.88%
ROA 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% -5.7% -5.7% -5.4% -5.2% 1.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.08%
ROIC 20.5% 24.2% 29.2% -42.9% -38.4% -33.6% -32.9% 33.6% 2.2% 1.0% 99.0% 66.6% -17.5% -17.5% -12.4% -13.3% -13.6% -28.5% -37.3% 15.3% 15.25%
ROCE 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 2.4% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% -4.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 1.7% 1.6% 3.7% 3.71%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 41.7% 39.8% 50.2% -4.3% 50.3% 58.8% 52.8% 53.5% -6.8% 28.4% 52.9% 46.8% 47.9% 51.6% 49.3% 39.4% 43.8% 37.3% 40.2% 45.1% 45.09%
Net Margin 25.7% 22.2% 29.0% 26.5% 26.1% 32.3% 26.7% 27.0% -7.1% 16.1% 35.8% 42.0% 32.6% 36.2% 35.0% 27.9% 29.5% 25.9% 26.5% 24.4% 24.38%
EBITDA Margin 46.4% 44.3% 54.2% 52.9% 54.4% 62.0% 56.1% 56.8% -6.8% 31.4% 55.3% 49.3% 50.3% 54.1% 51.8% 39.8% 42.0% 39.7% 42.4% 47.1% 47.07%
FCF Margin 43.4% 39.6% 47.8% 40.8% 31.2% 26.2% 7.8% -7.4% -13.0% -10.2% -8.0% 6.3% 43.4% 37.7% 53.3% 41.4% 32.8% 66.8% 71.7% 81.8% 81.76%
OCF Margin 44.1% 40.1% 48.3% 41.6% 32.1% 27.1% 8.7% -6.4% -11.8% -8.8% -6.7% 7.2% 44.3% 38.6% 54.3% 42.4% 33.9% 67.6% 72.6% 83.9% 83.89%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -9.15%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only -2.30%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -0.93%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -4.17%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.24%
Cash ROA snapshot only 3.34%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 41.05%
CROIC snapshot only 40.01%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 31.17%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 35.49%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 35.07%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.77%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
P/E Ratio 17.03 17.38 14.50 11.14 11.69 10.25 10.35 11.03 -1.53 -1.44 -1.47 -2.19 8.89 8.16 9.19 9.95 10.16 9.95 10.86 11.53 11.394
P/S Ratio 4.03 4.20 3.81 2.89 3.04 2.94 2.91 3.11 1.95 1.93 1.88 2.58 2.84 3.00 3.36 3.28 3.27 2.95 2.98 3.06 31.542
P/B Ratio 1.18 1.25 1.15 0.86 0.89 0.87 0.85 0.91 0.96 0.92 0.90 1.24 1.45 1.47 1.63 1.52 1.57 1.45 1.54 1.57 1.545
P/FCF 9.28 10.62 7.97 7.07 9.75 11.21 37.34 -41.93 -15.02 -19.00 -23.52 40.85 6.54 7.95 6.31 7.91 9.95 4.41 4.16 3.74 3.742
P/OCF 9.14 10.49 7.89 6.94 9.47 10.83 33.38 — — — — 35.63 6.41 7.78 6.19 7.72 9.65 4.36 4.11 3.65 3.646
EV/EBITDA 4.64 4.78 3.50 1.75 2.07 1.77 1.67 1.55 0.46 0.96 1.03 0.73 -2.77 -2.66 -3.75 -3.15 -2.89 -0.48 0.57 7.34 7.342
EV/Revenue 2.03 2.11 1.64 0.86 1.07 0.99 0.94 0.89 -0.44 -1.03 -1.07 -0.72 -1.30 -1.39 -1.93 -1.54 -1.36 -0.21 0.23 3.15 3.149
EV/EBIT 5.22 5.35 3.87 2.23 2.62 2.16 2.02 1.65 0.44 0.93 1.00 0.71 -2.93 -2.79 -3.94 -3.28 -2.98 -0.50 0.59 3.39 3.390
EV/FCF 4.67 5.32 3.42 2.12 3.42 3.79 12.11 -12.00 3.40 10.12 13.36 -11.45 -2.99 -3.68 -3.61 -3.72 -4.13 -0.31 0.32 3.85 3.852
Earnings Yield 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 9.1% -65.5% -69.6% -67.9% -45.6% 11.3% 12.2% 10.9% 10.1% 9.8% 10.0% 9.2% 8.7% 8.67%
FCF Yield 10.8% 9.4% 12.5% 14.1% 10.3% 8.9% 2.7% -2.4% -6.7% -5.3% -4.3% 2.4% 15.3% 12.6% 15.8% 12.6% 10.0% 22.7% 24.0% 26.7% 26.73%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.696
EV/OCF snapshot only 3.754
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 3.149
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 7.552
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.80%
Graham Number snapshot only $19.92
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Current Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.78 12.90 10.55 10.550
Quick Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 6.78 12.90 30.59 30.593
Debt/Equity 0.29 0.29 0.28 0.28 0.35 0.31 0.37 0.32 0.64 0.61 0.55 0.45 0.28 0.21 0.18 0.18 0.19 0.21 0.52 0.57 0.568
Net Debt/Equity -0.58 -0.62 -0.65 -0.61 -0.57 -0.57 -0.57 -0.65 -1.17 -1.42 -1.41 -1.58 -2.11 -2.16 -2.56 -2.24 -2.22 -1.55 -1.42 0.05 0.046
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.044
Debt/EBITDA 2.28 2.24 2.00 1.90 2.33 1.87 2.24 1.92 -1.34 -1.18 -1.12 -0.95 1.19 0.84 0.73 0.77 0.85 0.96 2.48 2.59 2.588
Net Debt/EBITDA -4.57 -4.76 -4.66 -4.09 -3.84 -3.46 -3.47 -3.86 2.47 2.75 2.85 3.32 -8.84 -8.41 -10.31 -9.84 -9.85 -7.28 -6.71 0.21 0.211
Interest Coverage 5.38 4.86 4.60 3.66 3.27 3.31 2.99 3.23 -5.73 -6.89 -8.06 -10.19 6.29 9.28 11.61 14.17 16.80 16.66 12.76 15.12 15.121
Equity Multiplier 6.45 6.65 6.65 6.64 6.65 6.62 6.74 6.69 10.98 11.68 11.28 10.81 11.20 10.95 11.35 11.15 11.75 11.97 13.02 12.84 12.843
Cash Ratio snapshot only 14.119
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 6.982
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.919
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.736
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.041
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover (trade) 1.05 1.01 0.99 0.91 0.92 0.92 0.90 0.84 0.86 0.82 0.84 0.83 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.86 0.82 0.80 0.77 0.768
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO (trade) 347 362 367 401 398 397 404 432 425 447 437 442 389 398 409 435 423 445 458 475 475.2 days
DIO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle (trade) — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 4.986
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.981
Capital Intensity snapshot only 25.087
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 2.0% 3.3% 4.4% 6.8% 2.1% 5.2% 3.8% 3.4% 2.9% -2.6% -0.2% 3.0% 10.8% 11.9% 5.8% -1.4% -8.1% -8.9% -5.6% -0.5% -0.50%
Net Income 20.0% 22.6% 35.6% 28.0% 12.1% 24.5% 10.8% 12.4% -6.0% -5.6% -5.5% -5.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% -7.5% -26.7% -29.1% -19.9% -19.88%
EPS 20.0% 22.7% 35.7% 28.1% 12.2% 24.5% 10.8% 12.4% -6.1% -5.6% -5.5% -5.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3% -6.0% -25.4% -28.6% -20.0% -19.96%
FCF 23.8% 1.5% 1.2% 0.1% -26.7% -30.4% -83.1% -1.2% -1.4% -1.4% -2.0% 1.9% 4.7% 5.2% 8.1% 5.5% -30.5% 61.2% 27.1% 96.4% 96.42%
EBITDA 4.8% 5.4% 13.0% 25.9% 20.0% 33.8% 25.5% 20.1% -2.9% -2.9% -2.8% -2.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% -7.8% -24.5% -24.6% -12.9% -12.89%
Op. Income 6.0% 6.8% 15.6% -3.2% -3.0% -2.7% -2.6% 1.7% -37.4% -65.4% -65.1% -3.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% -4.3% -22.3% -22.3% -11.8% -11.84%
OCF Growth snapshot only 96.67%
Asset Growth snapshot only 3.94%
Equity Growth snapshot only -9.80%
Debt Growth snapshot only 1.92%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.10%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -0.89%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue 3Y 2.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 5.2% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% -0.3% -0.1% 0.3% 0.34%
Revenue 5Y 17.2% 17.5% 18.0% 18.3% 17.8% 13.7% 9.0% 5.8% 2.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.22%
EPS 3Y 16.5% 10.4% 14.3% 12.3% 11.8% 17.1% 15.7% 15.0% — — — — 16.2% 20.2% 15.4% 10.7% 9.6% 1.4% -0.3% -1.2% -1.19%
EPS 5Y 7.2% 7.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 30.4% 23.7% 19.1% — — — — 14.4% 17.5% 16.5% 12.9% 12.1% 9.7% 8.3% 6.8% 6.80%
Net Income 3Y 16.4% 10.4% 14.3% 12.3% 11.8% 17.1% 15.7% 15.0% — — — — 16.3% 20.3% 15.1% 10.1% 9.0% 0.8% -0.8% -1.7% -1.66%
Net Income 5Y 22.7% 22.8% 25.7% 26.2% 27.1% 33.3% 23.9% 19.1% — — — — 14.4% 17.6% 16.3% 12.5% 11.8% 9.4% 7.9% 6.5% 6.48%
EBITDA 3Y 11.5% 9.4% 9.0% 9.6% 9.9% 14.4% 13.9% 13.7% — — — — 7.6% 10.7% 6.3% 1.3% -1.5% -8.5% -10.3% -9.0% -9.00%
EBITDA 5Y 19.1% 19.2% 21.5% 23.8% 25.5% 25.3% 22.3% 18.3% — — — — 6.6% 8.7% 7.2% 5.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 2.6% 2.64%
Gross Profit 3Y 2.3% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 3.2% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 4.4% 5.2% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% -0.3% -0.1% 0.3% 0.34%
Gross Profit 5Y 17.2% 17.5% 18.0% 18.3% 17.8% 13.7% 9.0% 5.8% 2.4% 1.3% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 4.0% 3.2% 2.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.22%
Op. Income 3Y 11.5% 6.4% 9.5% — — — — 16.3% — — — — 9.8% 13.2% 8.2% — — — — -8.0% -7.97%
Op. Income 5Y 18.2% 18.4% 21.1% — — — — 19.6% — — — — 8.1% 10.5% 9.0% 6.8% 6.1% 3.8% 2.6% 4.7% 4.73%
FCF 3Y 40.8% 16.0% 38.5% 17.3% -1.0% -15.8% -42.7% — — — — -45.1% 5.2% 3.0% 6.9% 2.1% 3.3% 36.3% 1.1% — —
FCF 5Y 19.6% 14.2% 13.2% 5.5% 12.0% 12.7% -18.7% — — — — -23.3% 9.0% -1.3% 6.3% 6.2% 0.0% 34.7% 28.0% 15.9% 15.93%
OCF 3Y 26.2% 7.4% 25.5% 10.3% -4.7% -16.9% -41.7% — — — — -43.1% 5.3% 3.3% 7.2% 2.3% 3.4% 35.2% 1.0% — —
OCF 5Y 17.5% 12.1% 11.3% 4.1% 9.1% 9.0% -19.7% — — — — -24.3% 6.4% -2.3% 5.4% 5.1% -0.6% 31.5% 26.3% 15.9% 15.88%
Assets 3Y 4.1% 5.1% 4.7% 4.8% 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 3.5% 5.5% 4.6% 4.3% 5.1% 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 3.8% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.35%
Assets 5Y 17.6% 18.4% 18.1% 18.3% 18.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.0% 3.7% 5.4% 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.5% 4.3% 4.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.3% 4.35%
Equity 3Y 1.8% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% -13.9% -13.8% -13.2% -12.3% -12.6% -11.4% -12.1% -12.2% -14.1% -15.9% -17.4% -16.9% -16.85%
Book Value 3Y 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 2.7% 3.1% 3.3% -13.8% -13.7% -13.1% -12.3% -12.6% -11.5% -11.8% -11.7% -13.7% -15.4% -17.0% -16.5% -16.46%
Dividend 3Y 2.1% 4.1% 5.9% 6.2% 6.5% 4.9% 3.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.21%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue Stability 0.75 0.73 0.75 0.73 0.74 0.83 0.88 0.93 1.00 0.74 0.91 0.84 0.81 0.82 0.95 0.90 0.57 0.43 0.57 0.66 0.664
Earnings Stability 0.93 0.86 0.92 0.94 0.95 0.89 0.93 0.94 0.37 0.37 0.36 0.36 0.09 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.006
Margin Stability 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.92 0.91 0.86 0.89 0.95 0.90 0.96 0.95 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.82 0.80 0.70 0.75 0.89 0.78 0.90 0.88 — — — — — — — — 0.92 0.69 0.66 0.78 0.779
ROE Trend 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 -0.70 -0.72 -0.69 -0.64 0.44 0.46 0.44 0.39 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.34 0.341
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Margin Trend 0.08 0.07 0.14 0.02 -0.08 -0.02 -0.27 -0.50 -0.50 -0.43 -0.36 -0.10 0.34 0.30 0.53 0.42 0.18 0.53 0.49 0.58 0.579
Sustainable Growth Rate 3.2% 3.2% 3.7% 3.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 4.0% — — — — 9.7% 11.9% 11.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.0% 6.2% 5.9% 5.91%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% — — — — 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.50%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.86 1.66 1.84 1.60 1.23 0.95 0.31 -0.23 0.09 0.07 0.05 -0.06 1.39 1.05 1.48 1.29 1.05 2.28 2.64 3.16 3.163
FCF/OCF 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.89 1.16 1.10 1.15 1.19 0.87 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.975
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 3.082
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.956
CapEx/Revenue 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.4% 1.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 2.1% 2.13%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 1.247
Accruals Ratio -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 -0.05 -0.05 -0.05 -0.06 -0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0.00 -0.02 -0.02 -0.02 -0.023
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.232
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 5.087
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Dividend Yield 3.2% 3.2% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.1% 4.7% 7.7% 7.9% 7.9% 5.5% 4.8% 4.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 4.9% 4.7% 4.76%
Dividend/Share $0.68 $0.72 $0.76 $0.79 $0.82 $0.83 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.85 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84 $0.84
Payout Ratio 53.9% 55.3% 52.9% 55.2% 58.0% 51.2% 52.8% 52.3% — — — — 42.4% 37.1% 38.2% 43.7% 45.3% 49.8% 53.2% 54.1% 54.13%
FCF Payout Ratio 29.4% 33.8% 29.1% 35.0% 48.3% 56.0% 1.9% — — — — 2.3% 31.2% 36.1% 26.3% 34.8% 44.4% 22.1% 20.4% 17.6% 17.56%
Total Payout Ratio 58.0% 60.6% 57.8% 59.3% 61.4% 51.9% 54.9% 54.3% — — — — 42.9% 37.5% 54.9% 62.9% 65.7% 72.3% 54.5% 55.4% 55.36%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.09 0.16 0.22 0.25 0.25 0.20 0.16 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.08 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.039
Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Net Buyback Yield 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.11%
Total Shareholder Return 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.3% 5.2% 5.1% 5.3% 4.9% 8.3% 8.5% 8.3% 5.8% 4.8% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 5.0% 4.8% 4.80%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.77 0.80 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 1.08 1.06 1.07 1.05 0.86 0.83 0.82 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.747
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.81 0.79 0.78 0.89 0.86 0.84 0.80 0.69 1.17 1.15 1.12 1.10 0.84 0.89 0.91 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.38 0.382
EBIT Margin 0.39 0.39 0.42 0.39 0.41 0.46 0.47 0.54 -1.00 -1.11 -1.07 -1.02 0.44 0.50 0.49 0.47 0.46 0.42 0.40 0.93 0.929
Asset Turnover 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.041
Equity Multiplier 6.39 6.52 6.55 6.53 6.55 6.63 6.70 6.66 8.29 8.52 8.46 8.28 11.09 11.30 11.31 10.98 11.47 11.43 12.13 11.95 11.950
Per Share
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $1.26 $1.30 $1.43 $1.43 $1.41 $1.62 $1.59 $1.60 $-7.14 $-7.40 $-7.22 $-6.90 $1.98 $2.26 $2.20 $1.93 $1.86 $1.69 $1.57 $1.55 $1.55
Book Value/Share $18.18 $18.04 $18.15 $18.38 $18.64 $19.16 $19.45 $19.55 $11.39 $11.52 $11.84 $12.26 $12.14 $12.52 $12.43 $12.65 $11.99 $11.59 $11.12 $11.40 $11.43
Tangible Book/Share $9.21 $9.07 $9.14 $9.41 $9.71 $10.33 $10.57 $10.84 $10.87 $11.00 $11.34 $11.76 $11.62 $12.00 $11.90 $12.04 $11.20 $10.73 $10.19 $10.53 $10.53
Revenue/Share $5.31 $5.37 $5.46 $5.51 $5.43 $5.65 $5.66 $5.69 $5.60 $5.51 $5.65 $5.87 $6.18 $6.15 $6.02 $5.87 $5.77 $5.69 $5.73 $5.84 $0.56
FCF/Share $2.31 $2.13 $2.61 $2.25 $1.69 $1.48 $0.44 $-0.42 $-0.73 $-0.56 $-0.45 $0.37 $2.68 $2.32 $3.21 $2.43 $1.90 $3.80 $4.11 $4.77 $4.78
OCF/Share $2.34 $2.15 $2.63 $2.29 $1.74 $1.53 $0.49 $-0.36 $-0.66 $-0.49 $-0.38 $0.42 $2.74 $2.37 $3.27 $2.49 $1.95 $3.85 $4.16 $4.90 $4.91
Cash/Share $15.92 $16.58 $16.97 $16.31 $17.21 $16.91 $18.29 $18.93 $20.65 $23.28 $23.22 $24.95 $29.01 $29.68 $34.10 $30.51 $29.00 $20.34 $21.58 $5.95 $20.70
EBITDA/Share $2.32 $2.37 $2.55 $2.73 $2.79 $3.17 $3.20 $3.27 $-5.42 $-5.92 $-5.85 $-5.84 $2.89 $3.21 $3.09 $2.88 $2.71 $2.47 $2.35 $2.50 $2.50
Debt/Share $5.29 $5.31 $5.09 $5.17 $6.50 $5.93 $7.16 $6.30 $7.29 $6.98 $6.57 $5.57 $3.44 $2.69 $2.26 $2.22 $2.31 $2.38 $5.82 $6.48 $6.48
Net Debt/Share $-10.63 $-11.27 $-11.88 $-11.14 $-10.71 $-10.98 $-11.12 $-12.63 $-13.37 $-16.30 $-16.65 $-19.38 $-25.57 $-26.99 $-31.84 $-28.29 $-26.69 $-17.96 $-15.75 $0.53 $0.53
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.301
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.512
Piotroski F-Score 5 7 7 7 5 4 4 2 3 2 3 5 6 6 7 6 5 5 4 3 3
Beneish M-Score -2.33 -2.39 -2.42 -2.39 -2.37 -2.32 -2.31 -2.34 -2.81 -2.83 -2.85 -2.86 -2.44 -2.47 -2.44 -0.19 -0.16 0.37 0.21 -2.14 -2.141
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -5.669
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 1.04%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-130.54
EVA snapshot only $136242056.43
Credit
Metric Trend Q1'18 Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19 Q3'19 Q4'19 Q1'20 Q2'20 Q3'20 Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only A-
Credit Score 74.10 73.73 78.49 72.98 64.93 70.95 64.45 62.74 18.06 17.82 18.64 24.49 78.60 77.77 82.92 75.80 76.71 76.01 73.05 65.72 65.722
Credit Grade snapshot only 7
Credit Trend snapshot only -10.078
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 175.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 62
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 53

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms