Also trades as: USARW (NASDAQ) · $vol 1M
USAR NASDAQ
USA Rare Earth Inc
1W: +3.4%
1M: -27.9%
3M: -20.4%
YTD: -26.5%
1Y: -55.9%
$10.40
+1.49 (+16.72%)
Pre-Market: $10.53 (+0.12, +1.20%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.9%
$8
$9
$9
$10
$11
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 52% of companies Debt: 1.0% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.02 (down 99.8%), USA Rare Earth Inc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $13.5M against a stock market value of $1.38B.
Distance to default 4.97 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $5.2M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 103.1%; Altman Z 2.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.02 (down 99.8%), USA Rare Earth Inc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $13.5M against a stock market value of $1.38B.
Distance to default 4.97 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $5.2M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 103.1%; Altman Z 2.20. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☁️
Cloudy
+0.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☁️
Cloudy
Tracking typical
20yr Avg YTD
—
2026 YTD
—
Typical Vol
138%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+88.4%
100% win
132% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-15.7%
0% win
124% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-43.9%
0% win
165% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+74.2%
100% win
193% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-3.5%
50% win
95% vol
Jun
20yr
🌫️
-0.3%
50% win
117% vol
Jul
20yr
⛈️
-7.3%
50% win
121% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+18.3%
100% win
106% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
-2.9%
50% win
70% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
-6.5%
50% win
138% vol
Now:
-26.1%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
-30.8%
0% win
108% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-11.5%
0% win
128% vol