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VAC NYSE

Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
1W: -0.3% 1M: +6.7% 3M: +7.0% YTD: +88.7% 1Y: +56.9% 3Y: +30.1% 5Y: -21.2%
$111.09
+1.34 (+1.22%)
After Hours: $111.00 (-0.09, -0.08%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.9%
$98 $104 $109 $115 $120
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · Tech Score Buy · Power 60 · $3.8B mcap · 29M float · 1.55% daily turnover · Short 67% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 83% of companies Debt: 59.1% of company value Bonds: $162.2M held by 194 funds, 156 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $12.44 (down 89%), Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $5.45B against a stock market value of $3.77B.
Distance to default 2.34 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.63B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 60.3%; Altman Z'' 2.37. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+11.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-7.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+11.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-7.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+91.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
34%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛅
+3.1%
Midterm
☁️
+0.2%
47% win 33% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+8.9%
Midterm
☁️
-0.3%
53% win 44% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
+8.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.7%
60% win 66% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+10.7%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.7%
53% win 47% vol
May
20yr
💨
+9.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
40% win 41% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+10.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.3%
53% win 38% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+10.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.7%
60% win 36% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+10.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.0%
53% win 41% vol
Sep
20yr
🌧️
+9.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.9%
47% win 31% vol
Oct
20yr
⛅
+12.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.5%
60% win 34% vol
Now: +8.8%
Nov
20yr
💨
+18.4%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.8%
60% win 47% vol
Dec
20yr
⛅
+2.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.8%
73% win 34% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +91.3%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms