— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: WFG.TO (TSX) · $vol 11M

WFG NYSE

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd.
1W: -6.8% 1M: -0.6% 3M: -1.6% YTD: +5.9% 1Y: -2.0% 3Y: -5.5% 5Y: -14.4%
$66.50
-0.49 (-0.73%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±4.2%
$61 $64 $67 $69 $72
NYSE · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products · Tech Score Sell · Power 42 · $5.1B mcap · 51M float · 0.426% daily turnover · Short 69% of daily vol

Edge Score

Quantitative competitive moat analysis scoring five pillars of durable advantage — cost leadership, brand intangibles, switching costs, network effects, and efficient scale — using industry percentile rankings on a 0–100 scale.

WEAK EDGE
45.3 / 100
NoneWeakNarrowWide
Primary source: Switching Costs  ·  ROIC: -8.6%  ·  5Y Avg: 4.4%
Cost Advantage
19
Intangibles
25
Switching Cost
78
Network Effect
35
Scale
70
The Edge Score quantifies a company's competitive moat using five pillars: Cost Advantage (20%, operating margin and SG&A efficiency vs industry peers), Intangible Assets (25%, gross margin premium, R&D intensity, brand pricing power), Switching Costs (25%, revenue stability, earnings consistency, customer retention proxied by operating leverage), Network Effects (15%, revenue growth with expanding margins, market share dominance), and Efficient Scale (15%, market concentration, ROIC sustainability). Each pillar is scored 0–100 using industry percentile rankings, then weighted into a composite. Wide ≥ 70, Narrow ≥ 55, Weak ≥ 40, None < 40. WFG shows a Weak competitive edge (45.3/100) — limited structural advantages that may face competitive pressure. The primary source of advantage is Switching Costs. Negative ROIC of -8.6% indicates the company is currently destroying value, though this may reflect a growth investment phase.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
$85
Low
$85
Avg Target
$85
High
Based on 1 analyst since Jul 29, 2026 earnings
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 6Hold: 0Sell: 0Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusBuy
Avg Target$85.00
Analysts1
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2026-09-15 Raymond James Daryl Swetlishoff $75 $85 +10 +20.5% $70.54
2026-05-01 TD Securities Sean Steuart $88 $86 -2 +35.8% $63.31
2026-04-16 RBC Capital — $85 $81 -4 +25.0% $64.78
2026-01-14 Raymond James — Initiated $75 — +13.9% $65.84
2025-12-18 RBC Capital Paul Quinn $99 $85 -14 +37.1% $62.00
2025-10-24 TD Securities Sean Steuart $96 $88 -8 +34.1% $65.60
2025-07-25 TD Securities Sean Steuart Initiated $96 — +33.0% $72.17
2025-04-22 RBC Capital — $125 $99 -26 +32.8% $74.55
2024-07-29 BMO Capital Mark Wilde Initiated $105 — +21.1% $86.68
2022-11-22 Credit Suisse — Initiated $100 — +18.1% $84.69
2022-04-13 RBC Capital Paul Quinn Initiated $125 — +61.4% $77.44

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
1
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. WFG receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (1/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- C+
2026-07-30 C+ B-
2026-07-01 B- C+
2026-05-18 C+ B-
2026-04-01 B- C+

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 21 Grade D
Profitability
1
Balance Sheet
27
Earnings Quality
48
Growth
18
Value
57
Momentum
24
Safety
65
Cash Flow
20
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. WFG scores highest in Safety (65/100) and lowest in Profitability (1/100). A grade of D flags significant fundamental concerns across multiple dimensions.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
2.54
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
✗ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-3.00
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-7.97
Bankruptcy prob: 0.0%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 51.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: 0.09x
Accruals: -13.0%
The Altman Z-Score (1968) combines five ratios — working capital, retained earnings, EBIT, market value of equity, and sales, all relative to total assets or liabilities — into a single bankruptcy predictor. WFG scores 2.54, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 2.99, distress < 1.81). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. WFG scores 2/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. WFG's score of -3.00 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. WFG's implied 0.0% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. WFG receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 51.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-3.49x
PEG
0.03x
P/S
0.90x
P/B
0.94x
P/FCF
-10.75x
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
-7.46x
EV/Revenue
1.16x
EV/EBIT
-4.46x
EV/FCF
-11.37x
Earnings Yield
-21.85%
FCF Yield
-9.30%
Shareholder Yield
2.80%
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. WFG currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.873
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.055
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.260
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.596
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
1.300
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-18.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. WFG's ROE of -18.6% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.596), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$66.53
Median 1Y
$67.35
5th Pctile
$33.56
95th Pctile
$135.11
Ann. Volatility
41.4%
Analyst Target
$85.00
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical Analyst target

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $7,625,770,577
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $-1,308,192,426
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 57.0% 45.7% 40.0% 33.7% 31.7% 22.4% 10.1% -1.1% -1.8% -2.9% -1.9% 1.3% -2.0% -0.1% 0.0% -1.8% -3.6% -12.6% -17.8% -18.6% -18.57%
ROA 38.5% 31.7% 28.5% 25.4% 23.7% 16.7% 7.7% -0.8% -1.4% -2.2% -1.5% 1.0% -1.5% -0.1% 0.0% -1.4% -2.8% -9.9% -13.6% -14.3% -14.28%
ROIC 50.7% 35.4% 47.1% 37.4% 34.5% 27.4% 10.5% -2.0% -3.1% -4.0% -2.4% 1.2% -2.1% -0.0% 0.0% -1.8% -2.9% -3.8% -7.8% -8.6% -8.56%
ROCE 43.9% 33.6% 45.0% 37.7% 34.7% 28.6% 12.4% -0.4% -1.4% -0.9% 0.4% 4.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% -1.4% -1.5% -10.6% -17.8% -18.5% -18.54%
Gross Margin 48.6% 43.2% 62.2% 52.0% 34.3% 25.2% 23.5% 25.7% 33.8% 26.2% 31.3% 33.5% 25.4% 28.0% 32.8% 2.7% -9.5% -9.1% 25.9% 2.3% 2.30%
Operating Margin 26.7% 22.1% 45.9% 34.0% 13.5% -8.0% -5.2% -12.2% 10.8% -12.4% 3.0% 7.7% -7.5% -4.6% 4.4% -2.9% -14.4% -18.8% -15.7% -5.5% -5.51%
Net Margin 19.5% 16.4% 35.0% 26.4% 10.3% -5.8% -2.6% -8.1% 9.3% -10.1% 2.2% 6.2% -5.8% -4.4% 2.9% -1.6% -15.6% -64.5% -14.1% -4.3% -4.25%
EBITDA Margin 33.2% 29.2% 51.0% 39.9% 21.2% 3.9% 5.0% -2.2% 20.7% 5.5% 12.0% 16.7% 2.4% 7.1% 13.9% 6.2% 1.4% -65.9% -4.4% 3.8% 3.77%
FCF Margin 32.9% 27.5% 26.3% 20.5% 15.9% 16.8% 9.8% 0.6% 0.0% -0.8% 2.7% 4.2% 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.5% 0.2% -5.8% -8.0% -10.2% -10.21%
OCF Margin 35.8% 33.5% 32.1% 27.1% 23.1% 21.5% 15.7% 7.8% 7.1% 6.6% 9.9% 11.3% 8.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.1% 7.7% 1.7% -0.0% -2.2% -2.23%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -7.11%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 2.23%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -5.34%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.99%
ROIC Economic snapshot only -8.56%
Cash ROA snapshot only -1.45%
Cash ROIC snapshot only -1.84%
CROIC snapshot only -8.41%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only -10.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -27.48%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 25.21%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 2.98 3.25 2.44 2.75 2.48 2.98 7.06 -83.61 -42.10 -31.42 -49.31 63.73 -52.78 -1379.28 3045.20 -45.36 -21.74 -5.06 -4.55 -4.58 -3.492
P/S Ratio 0.87 0.91 0.73 0.70 0.59 0.56 0.65 0.92 0.83 0.98 0.99 0.87 1.14 1.12 1.01 0.99 0.94 0.87 1.02 1.10 0.903
P/B Ratio 1.17 0.98 0.96 0.93 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.94 0.78 0.94 0.95 0.85 1.08 0.99 0.88 0.84 0.81 0.60 0.90 0.95 0.937
P/FCF 2.65 3.31 2.78 3.41 3.70 3.34 6.67 142.65 2267.05 -120.72 36.13 20.62 76.49 38.62 39.58 65.66 504.53 -15.13 -12.74 -10.75 -10.748
P/OCF 2.44 2.72 2.27 2.58 2.55 2.62 4.16 11.86 11.63 14.95 9.98 7.74 13.08 10.37 9.78 10.84 12.20 51.11 — — —
EV/EBITDA 1.61 1.82 1.35 1.58 1.36 1.58 3.07 11.29 10.79 12.69 10.78 6.00 11.59 10.58 9.53 12.58 12.28 -10.76 -7.86 -7.46 -7.464
EV/Revenue 0.71 0.79 0.61 0.63 0.51 0.50 0.61 0.86 0.73 0.93 0.96 0.80 1.07 1.05 0.99 0.93 0.90 0.90 1.11 1.16 1.161
EV/EBIT 1.81 2.09 1.54 1.85 1.62 1.97 4.75 -161.49 -42.73 -83.48 182.23 15.99 234.61 102.93 77.95 -49.80 -42.25 -4.92 -4.56 -4.46 -4.459
EV/FCF 2.16 2.85 2.34 3.04 3.19 2.98 6.29 133.20 2007.68 -114.30 35.14 19.01 71.81 36.32 38.51 62.05 483.52 -15.70 -13.85 -11.37 -11.368
Earnings Yield 33.5% 30.8% 41.0% 36.3% 40.3% 33.6% 14.2% -1.2% -2.4% -3.2% -2.0% 1.6% -1.9% -0.1% 0.0% -2.2% -4.6% -19.8% -22.0% -21.8% -21.85%
FCF Yield 37.7% 30.2% 36.0% 29.3% 27.0% 29.9% 15.0% 0.7% 0.0% -0.8% 2.8% 4.8% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2% -6.6% -7.9% -9.3% -9.30%
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.031
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.500
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 113.519
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.80%
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 2.86 2.67 3.55 3.59 3.36 3.47 3.66 3.55 3.51 2.26 2.33 2.33 1.82 1.97 2.09 2.89 2.39 2.13 1.84 2.06 2.059
Quick Ratio 2.12 1.79 2.35 2.30 2.21 2.17 2.09 2.31 2.47 1.45 1.33 1.49 1.17 1.06 0.96 1.61 1.32 0.86 0.66 0.83 0.831
Debt/Equity 0.07 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.07 0.068
Net Debt/Equity -0.22 -0.14 -0.15 -0.10 -0.11 -0.08 -0.04 -0.06 -0.09 -0.05 -0.03 -0.07 -0.07 -0.06 -0.02 -0.05 -0.03 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.055
Debt/Assets 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.051
Debt/EBITDA 0.11 0.15 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.16 0.30 0.93 1.10 1.06 0.84 0.56 0.84 0.37 0.36 0.76 0.77 -0.99 -0.75 -0.51 -0.505
Net Debt/EBITDA -0.36 -0.29 -0.26 -0.19 -0.22 -0.19 -0.18 -0.80 -1.39 -0.71 -0.30 -0.51 -0.76 -0.67 -0.27 -0.73 -0.53 -0.39 -0.63 -0.41 -0.407
Interest Coverage 89.09 87.67 114.88 159.22 287.60 260.72 126.80 -3.64 -7.18 -3.36 1.53 13.62 1.14 2.52 3.62 -6.07 -4.52 -34.82 -19.07 -18.57 -18.568
Equity Multiplier 1.38 1.36 1.30 1.29 1.30 1.31 1.30 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.29 1.30 1.26 1.26 1.27 1.30 1.30 1.36 1.34 1.336
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.115
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only -11.092
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.195
FCF to Debt snapshot only -1.299
Defensive Interval snapshot only 258.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 1.31 1.13 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.88 0.84 0.76 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.68 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.57 0.61 0.60 0.596
Inventory Turnover 5.32 4.45 3.43 4.80 5.19 4.68 4.51 5.47 5.65 5.36 4.57 5.56 5.94 5.11 4.09 5.38 6.19 5.26 4.86 5.80 5.800
Receivables Turnover 20.98 24.13 13.65 15.61 19.89 24.25 13.92 15.84 14.51 25.92 16.34 17.94 15.68 25.25 15.28 15.99 16.90 22.24 13.32 15.06 15.057
Payables Turnover 6.10 11.99 5.05 6.55 6.06 11.69 7.29 7.89 6.96 11.92 7.69 7.99 7.43 10.60 6.68 7.62 7.64 8.66 8.18 8.42 8.424
DSO 17 15 27 23 18 15 26 23 25 14 22 20 23 14 24 23 22 16 27 24 24.2 days
DIO 69 82 106 76 70 78 81 67 65 68 80 66 61 71 89 68 59 69 75 63 62.9 days
DPO 60 30 72 56 60 31 50 46 52 31 47 46 49 34 55 48 48 42 45 43 43.3 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 26 67 61 44 28 62 57 43 37 52 55 40 36 51 59 43 33 44 58 44 43.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.385
Operating Cycle snapshot only 87.2 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 65.330
Capital Intensity snapshot only 1.538
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 1.0% 1.0% 66.9% 11.9% 1.6% -2.3% -22.1% -27.7% -29.6% -32.4% -21.0% -6.2% -5.0% -11.1% -13.5% -16.8% -15.7% -11.1% -16.9% -17.6% -17.58%
Net Income 7.0% 3.2% 1.5% -5.6% -17.6% -34.1% -76.0% -1.0% -1.1% -1.1% -1.2% 2.2% -4.1% 97.7% 1.0% -2.3% -68.9% -188.2% -562.4% -8.1% -8.09%
EPS 4.1% 1.7% 1.2% 14.6% 4.7% -16.0% -69.6% -1.0% -1.1% -1.1% -1.2% 2.2% -8.6% 97.7% 1.0% -2.4% -72.4% -194.1% -573.7% -8.2% -8.19%
FCF 5.4% 2.5% 1.2% -26.1% -50.9% -40.2% -71.0% -97.7% -99.8% -1.0% -77.8% 5.1% 37.7% 4.2% -19.3% -70.4% -89.5% -2.8% -3.6% -6.6% -6.60%
EBITDA 4.5% 2.6% 1.3% -1.7% -14.5% -27.9% -65.5% -86.1% -87.2% -84.4% -64.7% 64.3% 28.9% 20.7% -0.1% -53.9% -32.9% -1.8% -2.1% -2.7% -2.73%
Op. Income 5.8% 2.8% 1.4% -7.7% -19.9% -36.3% -77.7% -1.1% -1.1% -1.1% -1.2% 1.7% 35.6% 1.0% 1.1% -2.3% -31.8% -56.5% -27.2% -3.1% -3.14%
OCF Growth snapshot only -1.20%
Asset Growth snapshot only -15.46%
Equity Growth snapshot only -19.57%
Debt Growth snapshot only 15.11%
Shares Change snapshot only -1.13%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.96%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 27.7% 33.0% 37.5% 38.1% 41.5% 37.4% 31.4% 22.2% 13.2% 9.7% 0.9% -8.8% -12.1% -16.3% -19.0% -17.4% -17.4% -18.8% -17.2% -13.7% -13.69%
Revenue 5Y 25.3% 25.8% 27.1% 23.9% 22.4% 21.0% 16.3% 10.7% 8.3% 9.2% 9.9% 12.3% 13.6% 9.3% 9.2% 7.3% 3.1% 0.9% -5.9% -12.3% -12.27%
EPS 3Y 37.1% 48.5% 72.6% 1.4% — — — — — — — -62.9% — — -90.8% — — — — — —
EPS 5Y 64.7% 55.0% 52.7% 43.8% 43.9% 31.7% 7.9% — — — — -8.4% — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y 56.5% 70.9% 98.1% 1.8% — — — — — — — -67.5% — — -91.6% — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y 75.4% 64.6% 61.8% 50.7% 46.5% 33.3% 9.2% — — — — -5.3% — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 52.3% 65.5% 86.4% 1.2% 2.8% 2.5% 1.7% 30.5% -15.5% -25.9% -34.2% -39.2% -47.9% -48.7% -50.5% -52.7% -52.0% — — — —
EBITDA 5Y 59.4% 54.6% 54.1% 44.4% 40.8% 31.3% 13.7% -12.6% -17.3% -12.7% -4.6% 21.0% 56.1% 51.5% 46.8% 10.9% -12.2% — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 39.7% 47.6% 58.8% 65.4% 79.1% 67.6% 56.5% 27.0% 5.4% -2.2% -14.6% -26.0% -29.7% -32.1% -34.7% -38.4% -46.0% -60.5% -73.5% -71.2% -71.18%
Gross Profit 5Y 40.9% 39.6% 40.4% 32.5% 29.2% 24.8% 13.5% 1.5% -1.6% 0.8% 4.5% 12.6% 17.6% 13.0% 17.1% 4.9% -13.6% -32.2% -55.2% -60.9% -60.87%
Op. Income 3Y 55.7% 71.6% 97.5% 1.8% — — — — — — — -68.7% — -87.9% -82.8% — — — — — —
Op. Income 5Y 69.6% 61.3% 59.4% 46.8% 42.4% 30.1% 6.2% — — — — -6.9% — — — — — — — — —
FCF 3Y 74.9% 95.2% 1.2% — — — — -14.4% -82.8% — -48.0% -53.1% -68.7% -60.5% -62.7% -65.5% -81.3% — — — —
FCF 5Y 77.1% 56.2% 59.2% 44.6% 34.8% 31.2% 16.6% -38.4% -66.5% — -6.2% — — — — 2.6% -53.9% — — — —
OCF 3Y 57.2% 74.8% 89.4% 1.2% 3.2% 2.0% 1.1% 20.6% -10.7% -23.4% -23.9% -36.6% -45.2% -42.6% -44.4% -42.6% -42.7% -65.1% — — —
OCF 5Y 58.1% 46.9% 48.7% 38.0% 31.2% 25.6% 14.6% -7.0% -11.2% -7.1% 5.3% 25.6% 78.5% 53.6% 31.6% 9.9% -9.2% -37.9% — — —
Assets 3Y 40.0% 55.7% 44.0% 41.6% 41.8% 40.4% 39.6% 40.4% 25.5% 21.0% -9.2% -4.4% -3.2% -12.9% -7.6% -4.7% -5.1% 1.5% -8.0% -8.5% -8.51%
Assets 5Y 30.4% 37.7% 30.7% 27.9% 24.0% 22.7% 21.8% 21.1% 21.4% 21.8% 20.3% 21.2% 21.3% 19.5% 19.3% 20.2% 11.6% 14.4% -9.3% -7.1% -7.06%
Equity 3Y 47.5% 66.1% 60.2% 58.0% 58.3% 58.7% 60.1% 59.8% 39.0% 31.8% -4.5% -2.6% -1.4% -10.6% -6.7% -4.2% -5.1% 1.7% -9.3% -9.1% -9.11%
Book Value 3Y 29.2% 44.3% 39.6% 39.7% 46.8% 48.7% 50.0% 49.8% 30.3% 24.4% 0.6% 11.2% 9.4% -2.0% 2.4% 3.5% -2.1% 3.9% -7.3% -7.1% -7.12%
Dividend 3Y 6.5% 4.8% 8.8% 6.5% 4.4% 3.0% 2.8% -0.2% -1.9% -2.5% 1.4% 10.2% 8.1% 6.8% 11.1% 9.3% 3.5% 2.1% 8.9% 1.1% 1.13%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.56 0.61 0.68 0.73 0.74 0.74 0.65 0.48 0.39 0.36 0.28 0.18 0.13 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.35 0.99 0.988
Earnings Stability 0.39 0.44 0.53 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.26 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.18 0.31 0.50 0.65 0.84 0.837
Margin Stability 0.67 0.71 0.65 0.65 0.68 0.73 0.66 0.64 0.71 0.75 0.73 0.64 0.60 0.64 0.60 0.61 0.58 0.48 0.40 0.27 0.266
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0
Earnings Persistence 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.93 0.86 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.20 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.94 0.81 0.59 0.00 — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 0.35 0.22 0.34 0.16 0.05 -0.01 -0.17 -0.36 -0.37 -0.31 -0.27 -0.15 -0.17 -0.11 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.10 -0.19 -0.21 -0.206
Gross Margin Trend 0.28 0.24 0.23 0.11 0.04 -0.01 -0.17 -0.28 -0.26 -0.23 -0.18 -0.09 -0.09 -0.07 -0.02 -0.07 -0.14 -0.23 -0.28 -0.25 -0.254
FCF Margin Trend 0.31 0.23 0.18 0.04 -0.06 -0.05 -0.13 -0.25 -0.24 -0.23 -0.15 -0.06 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.01 -0.01 -0.07 -0.11 -0.13 -0.131
Sustainable Growth Rate 55.7% 44.5% 39.0% 32.5% 30.5% 21.2% 8.7% — — — — -0.0% — — -1.4% — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 60.2% 44.7% 38.5% 32.4% 29.5% 18.8% 7.1% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.22 1.20 1.07 1.07 0.97 1.14 1.70 -7.05 -3.62 -2.10 -4.94 8.24 -4.04 -133.03 311.50 -4.18 -1.78 -0.10 0.00 0.09 0.093
FCF/OCF 0.92 0.82 0.82 0.76 0.69 0.78 0.62 0.08 0.01 -0.12 0.28 0.38 0.17 0.27 0.25 0.17 0.02 -3.38 295.44 4.58 4.580
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.426
CapEx/Revenue 2.9% 6.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 4.6% 5.9% 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 7.9% 7.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.0% 7.98%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.762
Accruals Ratio -0.09 -0.06 -0.02 -0.02 0.01 -0.02 -0.05 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.09 -0.07 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.07 -0.08 -0.11 -0.14 -0.13 -0.130
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.134
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only -0.222
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 1.6% 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.88%
Dividend/Share $0.61 $0.70 $0.80 $0.92 $1.10 $1.19 $1.34 $1.33 $1.30 $1.34 $1.22 $1.22 $1.25 $1.25 $1.29 $1.30 $1.29 $1.29 $1.59 $1.28 $1.25
Payout Ratio 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.9% 5.1% 13.8% — — — — 1.0% — — 51.5% — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 4.3% 5.9% 5.7% 13.0% 2.3% 41.9% — 52.2% 33.4% 1.0% 56.6% 67.0% 1.2% 9.6% — — — —
Total Payout Ratio 43.8% 47.0% 44.2% 1.0% 85.1% 1.1% 2.4% — — — — 3.2% — — 141.0% — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
Chowder Number 0.80 0.76 0.96 0.76 0.44 0.34 0.34 0.22 0.17 0.12 -0.10 -0.09 -0.06 -0.06 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.23 -0.01 -0.012
Buyback Yield 13.9% 13.7% 17.1% 36.4% 32.7% 34.4% 31.5% 4.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 2.9% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.92%
Net Buyback Yield 13.8% 13.6% 17.0% 36.4% 32.7% 34.4% 31.5% 4.7% 2.4% 1.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 2.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 1.6% 0.9% 0.92%
Total Shareholder Return 14.6% 14.4% 18.1% 37.6% 34.3% 36.1% 33.4% 6.3% 4.2% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 4.5% 3.5% 4.6% 4.2% 4.6% 4.8% 4.1% 2.8% 2.80%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.73 0.72 0.74 0.77 0.71 0.77 -0.14 0.04 0.99 1.65 0.91 0.87 0.87 0.873
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.97 0.94 2.83 1.59 3.81 -4.92 0.38 -6.14 0.59 0.71 1.17 1.23 1.03 1.05 1.06 1.055
EBIT Margin 0.39 0.38 0.40 0.34 0.31 0.26 0.13 -0.01 -0.02 -0.01 0.01 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.01 -0.02 -0.02 -0.18 -0.24 -0.26 -0.260
Asset Turnover 1.31 1.13 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.88 0.84 0.76 0.72 0.72 0.72 0.74 0.71 0.68 0.66 0.65 0.64 0.57 0.61 0.60 0.596
Equity Multiplier 1.48 1.44 1.40 1.33 1.34 1.34 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.31 1.30 1.30 1.30 1.28 1.28 1.28 1.30 1.28 1.31 1.30 1.300
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $26.59 $27.67 $31.93 $26.48 $27.83 $23.24 $9.70 $-0.99 $-1.67 $-2.65 $-1.71 $1.18 $-1.81 $-0.06 $0.03 $-1.61 $-3.13 $-12.08 $-14.34 $-14.79 $-14.79
Book Value/Share $67.66 $91.50 $80.93 $78.74 $89.60 $91.18 $90.63 $88.61 $89.91 $88.28 $88.47 $88.92 $88.59 $86.13 $86.87 $87.28 $84.05 $102.30 $72.24 $71.00 $70.97
Tangible Book/Share $42.73 $57.94 $54.62 $51.16 $58.31 $58.76 $58.40 $56.61 $58.23 $55.48 $55.90 $56.45 $55.83 $54.69 $55.30 $55.53 $39.96 $66.25 $46.05 $45.14 $45.14
Revenue/Share $90.82 $98.76 $106.86 $104.00 $117.28 $122.95 $105.20 $89.89 $85.06 $84.90 $85.04 $86.46 $84.32 $76.47 $75.19 $73.97 $72.59 $70.11 $63.71 $61.66 $71.52
FCF/Share $29.90 $27.16 $28.05 $21.36 $18.67 $20.70 $10.28 $0.58 $0.03 $-0.69 $2.33 $3.65 $1.25 $2.21 $1.93 $1.11 $0.13 $-4.04 $-5.13 $-6.30 $-6.31
OCF/Share $32.53 $33.08 $34.32 $28.20 $27.07 $26.41 $16.47 $6.99 $6.04 $5.57 $8.45 $9.74 $7.32 $8.24 $7.80 $6.73 $5.57 $1.20 $-0.02 $-1.37 $-1.40
Cash/Share $19.17 $18.74 $17.17 $12.84 $15.22 $13.91 $10.14 $11.88 $14.37 $11.00 $8.70 $12.33 $12.41 $7.94 $4.88 $8.18 $6.93 $3.53 $1.04 $0.94 $0.94
EBITDA/Share $40.25 $42.53 $48.38 $41.16 $43.72 $39.07 $21.07 $6.86 $5.77 $6.21 $7.61 $11.56 $7.75 $7.59 $7.78 $5.48 $5.31 $-5.89 $-9.03 $-9.59 $-9.59
Debt/Share $4.54 $6.30 $4.72 $5.00 $5.74 $6.41 $6.27 $6.38 $6.32 $6.58 $6.40 $6.42 $6.55 $2.84 $2.80 $4.16 $4.10 $5.83 $6.77 $4.85 $4.85
Net Debt/Share $-14.62 $-12.44 $-12.45 $-7.84 $-9.48 $-7.49 $-3.87 $-5.50 $-8.04 $-4.42 $-2.30 $-5.90 $-5.86 $-5.10 $-2.08 $-4.01 $-2.83 $2.30 $5.73 $3.90 $3.90
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.535
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 3.915
Piotroski F-Score 7 7 8 6 5 6 5 3 4 4 4 6 3 6 7 5 5 4 2 2 2
Beneish M-Score -2.24 -1.50 -2.67 -2.72 -2.25 -2.60 -2.34 -2.05 -2.83 -3.02 -3.03 -3.11 -2.91 -3.02 -2.83 3.06 -4.90 -4.73 -2.95 -3.00 -3.002
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -7.971
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -30.16%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-6.90
EVA snapshot only $-1088682175.27
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 96.82 96.86 96.84 97.11 97.14 97.01 92.89 66.59 61.73 57.42 74.38 90.44 69.58 78.62 82.76 66.23 62.54 48.51 43.97 51.07 51.068
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only -15.164
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 57
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 35

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms