WMG NASDAQ
Warner Music Group Corp.
1W: -3.3%
1M: +11.6%
3M: +3.8%
YTD: +0.2%
1Y: -7.1%
3Y: +1.0%
5Y: -30.8%
$30.31
+0.02 (+0.07%)
Pre-Market: $29.74 (-0.57, -1.86%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$28
$30
$31
$32
$34
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 64% of companies Debt: 23.7% of company value Bonds: $97.4M held by 58 funds, 95 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.64 (down 98%), Warner Music Group Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.92B against a stock market value of $15.86B.
Distance to default 6.65 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.35B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z'' -0.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.64 (down 98%), Warner Music Group Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.92B against a stock market value of $15.86B.
Distance to default 6.65 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.35B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z'' -0.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
🌧️
Rainy
-4.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-36.1% YTD avg
2026 Now
☁️
Cloudy
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
-4.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-36.1%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+0.2%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
29%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌧️
+2.1%
Midterm
⛅
+3.5%
50% win
35% vol
Feb
20yr
⛈️
-4.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-16.7%
33% win
36% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-5.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.5%
33% win
36% vol
Apr
20yr
🌧️
-9.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-29.0%
33% win
34% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-18.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-31.1%
33% win
48% vol
Jun
20yr
🌧️
-15.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-42.3%
57% win
32% vol
Jul
20yr
⛅
-5.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-26.9%
71% win
34% vol
Aug
20yr
⛅
-9.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-36.8%
57% win
30% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
-7.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-45.1%
43% win
33% vol
Oct
20yr
☀️
-3.5%
Midterm
⛈️
-38.5%
57% win
29% vol
Now:
+9.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
-4.2%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.5%
67% win
41% vol
Dec
20yr
☀️
+6.9%
Midterm
☀️
+2.2%
67% win
28% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +0.2%