WMG Smart Money
Warner Music Group Corp.
1W: -3.3%
1M: +11.6%
3M: +3.8%
YTD: +0.2%
1Y: -7.1%
3Y: +1.0%
5Y: -30.8%
$30.31
+0.02 (+0.07%)
Pre-Market: $31.36 (+1.05, +3.46%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$28
$30
$31
$32
$34
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 64% of companies Debt: 23.7% of company value Bonds: $97.4M held by 58 funds, 95 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.64 (down 98%), Warner Music Group Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.92B against a stock market value of $15.86B.
Distance to default 6.65 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.35B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z'' -0.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.64 (down 98%), Warner Music Group Corp. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $4.92B against a stock market value of $15.86B.
Distance to default 6.65 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $2.35B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 35.0%; Altman Z'' -0.31. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026395
Institutions Holding
+31 vs prior
26.6%
Ownership
+2.52%
79
New
123
Increased
159
Reduced
55
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Hertz Noreena | director | A-Grant/Award | 45 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | Kreiz Ynon | director | A-Grant/Award | 45 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | Dubuc Nancy | director | A-Grant/Award | 45 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | Kurzman Cecelia | director | A-Grant/Award | 84 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | Dopfner Mathias | director | A-Grant/Award | 45 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | Lynton Michael | director | A-Grant/Award | 122 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Kreiz Ynon | director | A-Grant/Award | 38 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Hertz Noreena | director | A-Grant/Award | 38 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Lynton Michael | director | A-Grant/Award | 56 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Kurzman Cecelia | director | A-Grant/Award | 38 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Dopfner Mathias | director | A-Grant/Award | 38 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Dubuc Nancy | director | A-Grant/Award | 38 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-21 | ZERZA ARMIN | officer: coo & cfo | G-Gift | 27,521 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-12 | ZERZA ARMIN | officer: coo & cfo | F-Tax Withholding | 27,064 | $33.60 | $909K | Filing |
| 2026-05-12 | ZERZA ARMIN | officer: coo & cfo | A-Grant/Award | 209,132 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Dopfner Mathias | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,186 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Lynton Michael | director | A-Grant/Award | 9,014 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Kurzman Cecelia | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,186 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Kreiz Ynon | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,186 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Hertz Noreena | director | F-Tax Withholding | 1,629 | $28.29 | $46K | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Hertz Noreena | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,186 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Dubuc Nancy | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,186 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | Dopfner Mathias | director | F-Tax Withholding | 1,629 | $28.29 | $46K | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | Karp Hannah Jasmine | officer: evp, chief comm. officer | A-Grant/Award | 19,225 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-01-05 | Higginson Carletta | officer: evp, chief digital officer | F-Tax Withholding | 10,388 | $30.74 | $319K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent Franchise Partners LLP | 12,997,804 | $352M | -36,450 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Darsana Capital Partners LP | 11,943,199 | $323M | +93,199 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 11,188,756 | $298M | -2,519,152 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 10,209,746 | $276M | +551,090 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BARROW HANLEY MEWHINNEY & STRAUSS LLC | 8,909,122 | $241M | -352,552 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DARLINGTON PARTNERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, | 6,705,884 | $182M | -846,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 6,221,543 | $168M | -17,135 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 5,885,298 | $159M | -7,601 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FIL Ltd | 5,827,313 | $158M | -44,512 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 4,977,489 | $135M | +3,296,931 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| COOKE & BIELER LP | 4,620,824 | $125M | -149,770 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 2,701,899 | $73M | +38,068 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Qube Research & Technologies Ltd | 2,544,216 | $69M | +1,606,372 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 2,515,422 | $68M | +2,112,678 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 2,408,509 | $65M | +148,900 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,436,958 | $65M | -105,275 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2,213,818 | $60M | -4,812 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Point72 Asset Management, L.P. | 1,912,689 | $52M | -576,750 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 1,892,477 | $51M | -117,287 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 1,778,671 | $48M | +226,137 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |