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Bonds · Sovereign

Brazil government bonds

Brazil's bonds as US funds mark them in their filings (SEC Form N-PORT), by currency. Fund marks as of Jul 2026; they lag the market by about two months.

By currency

BondsMeasured againstCountSpread10-year spreadPriced-in 5y odds1-month changeMedian yieldHeld by US funds
USD Emerging markets, US-dollar bonds vs US Treasuries20 178 bp 179 bp13.8% +16 bp6.27% $1.30B
BRL Own-currency bonds own currency: yield only, no default number4 — —— —7.62% $111.7M
EUR Euro bonds of non-euro countries vs German Bunds3 216 bp —16.5% +7 bp5.21% $50.3M

Priced-in odds = spread ÷ (1 − 40% recovery) over five years; it includes a risk premium and overstates actual defaults. Own-currency bonds get a yield and no odds: a government can print its own currency.

USD spread history

Median spread vs US Treasuries, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

136 bp233 bp331 bpJan 2021Jul 20262021-01-31: 224 bp2021-02-28: 255 bp2021-03-31: 270 bp2021-04-30: 216 bp2021-05-31: 199 bp2021-06-30: 224 bp2021-07-31: 228 bp2021-08-31: 262 bp2021-09-30: 293 bp2021-10-31: 306 bp2021-11-30: 318 bp2021-12-31: 285 bp2022-01-31: 287 bp2022-02-28: 288 bp2022-03-31: 291 bp2022-04-30: 267 bp2022-05-31: 254 bp2022-06-30: 331 bp2022-07-31: 250 bp2022-08-31: 289 bp2022-09-30: 319 bp2022-10-31: 236 bp2022-11-30: 189 bp2022-12-31: 248 bp2023-01-31: 191 bp2023-02-28: 227 bp2023-03-31: 198 bp2023-04-30: 228 bp2023-05-31: 230 bp2023-06-30: 208 bp2023-07-31: 176 bp2023-08-31: 171 bp2023-09-30: 187 bp2023-10-31: 174 bp2023-11-30: 136 bp2023-12-31: 152 bp2024-01-31: 174 bp2024-02-29: 185 bp2024-03-31: 192 bp2024-04-30: 197 bp2024-05-31: 186 bp2024-06-30: 219 bp2024-07-31: 199 bp2024-08-31: 210 bp2024-09-30: 207 bp2024-10-31: 200 bp2024-11-30: 180 bp2024-12-31: 261 bp2025-01-31: 205 bp2025-02-28: 196 bp2025-03-31: 218 bp2025-04-30: 220 bp2025-05-31: 208 bp2025-06-30: 186 bp2025-07-31: 178 bp2025-08-31: 172 bp2025-09-30: 170 bp2025-10-31: 171 bp2025-11-30: 170 bp2025-12-31: 175 bp2026-01-31: 172 bp2026-02-28: 165 bp2026-03-31: 189 bp2026-04-30: 165 bp2026-05-31: 154 bp2026-06-30: 162 bp2026-07-31: 178 bp

EUR spread history

Median spread vs German Bunds, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

208 bp212 bp216 bpApr 2026Jul 20262026-04-30: 216 bp2026-05-31: 208 bp2026-06-30: 209 bp2026-07-31: 216 bp

Brazil's BRL curve

Yield to maturity of each BRL bond US funds hold (15 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

-1.79%6.31%14.41%0y14y29ySecretaria Tesouro Nacional 10.0 2027-01-01: 13.74%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 10.0 2027-01-01: 13.34%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 10.25 2028-01-10: 11.15%Secretaria Tesouro Nacional 10.0 2029-01-01: 13.48%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 10.0 2029-01-01: 13.71%International Finance Corp. 11.75 2030-07-18: 12.62%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 6.0 2030-08-15: 8.27%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 10.0 2031-01-01: 13.90%Secretaria Tesouro Nacional 10.0 2031-01-01: 14.12%Secretaria Tesouro Nacional 10.0 2033-01-01: 14.34%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 10.0 2033-01-01: 14.32%NOTA DO TESOURO NACIONAL 10.0 2035-01-01: 14.41%Republica Federativa do Brasil 6.0 2045-05-15: 7.62%Brazil Notas do Tesouro Nacional 6.0 2055-05-15: -1.79%

Brazil's EUR curve

Yield to maturity of each EUR bond US funds hold (3 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

4.27%4.74%5.21%0y3y7yFED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 4.0 2030-04-23: 4.27%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 4.88 2033-04-23: 5.21%

Brazil's USD curve

Yield to maturity of each USD bond US funds hold (20 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

4.56%6.02%7.48%0y14y28yFED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 4.625 2028-01-13: 4.56%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 4.5 2029-05-30: 4.74%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 3.875 2030-06-12: 5.32%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 5.5 2030-11-06: 5.38%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 6.25 2031-03-18: 5.50%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 3.75 2031-09-12: 5.61%Brazilian Government International Bond 6.125 2032-01-22: 5.86%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 5.5 2033-02-04: 6.05%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 6.0 2033-10-20: 6.11%BRAZIL, FEDERATIVE REPUBLIC OF 8.25 2034-01-20: 6.27%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 6.125 2034-03-15: 6.26%Brazil Government International Bonds 6.625 2035-03-15: 6.47%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 6.25 2036-05-22: 6.68%BRAZIL, FEDERATIVE REPUBLIC OF 7.13 2037-01-20: 6.41%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 5.625 2041-01-07: 6.70%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 5.0 2045-01-27: 7.26%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 5.625 2047-02-21: 7.34%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 4.75 2050-01-14: 7.38%FED REPUBLIC OF BRAZIL 7.125 2054-05-13: 7.48%

Who holds Brazil's debt

Fund series holding Brazil's government and government-related bonds in their latest quarterly report: 540 now, 511 a quarter earlier. Names as reported in the filings.

Fund seriesReportBondsFace valueValue
PIMCO Income Fund2026-06-30 2$55.22B$9.93B
Bridge Builder Core Plus Bond Fund2026-06-30 10$4.07B$742.0M
PIMCO Total Return Fund2026-06-30 5$3.15B$636.2M
Global Opportunities Portfolio2026-07-31 2$3.14B$618.7M
PIMCO Low Duration Income Fund2026-06-30 3$3.26B$598.0M
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF2026-07-31 20$583.6M$551.7M
American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 14$32.0M$434.7M
PIMCO International Bond Fund (U.S. Dollar-Hedged)2026-06-30 2$2.12B$387.5M
Capital World Growth & Income Fund2026-05-31 2$1.9M$326.1M
T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 12$560.0M$297.1M
American Funds Strategic Bond Fund2026-06-30 6$21.7M$293.5M
VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF2026-06-30 13$1.83B$278.9M
Templeton Global Bond Fund2026-06-30 3$1.62B$273.8M
T. Rowe Price Dynamic Global Bond Fund2026-06-30 2$1.40B$242.5M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND2026-07-31 20$245.6M$232.4M
Capital World Bond Fund2026-06-30 11$5.0M$205.3M
Eaton Vance Emerging Markets Debt Opportunities Fund2026-07-31 2$634.4M$205.2M
T. Rowe Price International Bond Fund (USD Hedged)2026-06-30 4$1.08B$201.0M
Dodge & Cox Global Bond Fund2026-06-30 1$1.16B$185.8M
Invesco International Bond Fund2026-07-31 2$822.0M$183.9M

ETFs holding Brazil's bonds

From each ETF's own latest N-PORT report, as a share of its net assets. A holdings list, not a recommendation.

ETFReportBondsValue% of net assets
EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-07-3120$551.7M 3.78%
EMLC VanEck J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF 2026-06-3013$278.9M 5.72%
VWOB VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-3120$232.4M 3.48%
EBND State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets Local Bond ETF 2026-06-3014$99.2M 4.39%
IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF 2026-07-3120$55.5M 0.13%
JPIB JPMorgan International Bond Opportunities ETF 2026-05-312$45.7M 2.27%
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF 2026-07-313$39.6M 2.87%
FEMB First Trust Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF 2026-07-315$37.4M 10.33%
WIP State Street(R) SPDR(R) FTSE International Government Inflation-Protected Bond ETF 2026-06-3013$36.0M 7.02%
XEMD BondBloxx JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF 2026-07-3113$31.4M 3.73%
LEMB iShares J.P. Morgan EM Local Currency Bond ETF 2026-07-3112$28.9M 4.03%
EMBD Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-05-318$16.0M 6.24%
EMHY iShares J.P. Morgan EM High Yield Bond ETF 2026-07-3120$15.6M 2.50%
EMHC State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets USD Bond ETF 2026-06-3019$13.4M 4.91%
ELD WisdomTree Emerging Markets Local Debt Fund 2026-05-3110$12.0M 8.92%

Sources: fund holdings and fund-reported marks from SEC Form N-PORT (published about 60 days after each month-end); 13F filings; House and Senate periodic transaction reports and OGE Form 278-T; Treasury yields from FRED. Findings from filings, not advice. How each number is computed.

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms