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Bonds · Sovereign

Kazakhstan government bonds

Kazakhstan's bonds as US funds mark them in their filings (SEC Form N-PORT), by currency. Fund marks as of Jul 2026; they lag the market by about two months.

By currency

BondsMeasured againstCountSpread10-year spreadPriced-in 5y odds1-month changeMedian yieldHeld by US funds
USD Emerging markets, US-dollar bonds vs US Treasuries13 92 bp 88 bp7.4% +23 bp5.57% $307.6M
KZT Own-currency bonds own currency: yield only, no default number18 — —— —14.76% $55.2M
EUR Euro bonds of non-euro countries vs German Bunds3 n/a —— —3.67% $7.5M

Priced-in odds = spread ÷ (1 − 40% recovery) over five years; it includes a risk premium and overstates actual defaults. Own-currency bonds get a yield and no odds: a government can print its own currency.

USD spread history

Median spread vs US Treasuries, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

56 bp191 bp327 bpJan 2021Jul 20262021-01-31: 125 bp2021-02-28: 148 bp2021-03-31: 66 bp2021-04-30: 122 bp2021-05-31: 115 bp2021-06-30: 117 bp2021-07-31: 132 bp2021-08-31: 134 bp2021-09-30: 154 bp2021-10-31: 140 bp2021-11-30: 149 bp2021-12-31: 98 bp2022-01-31: 177 bp2022-02-28: 185 bp2022-03-31: 214 bp2022-04-30: 233 bp2022-05-31: 240 bp2022-06-30: 296 bp2022-07-31: 309 bp2022-08-31: 303 bp2022-09-30: 327 bp2022-10-31: 305 bp2022-11-30: 180 bp2022-12-31: 212 bp2023-01-31: 202 bp2023-02-28: 192 bp2023-03-31: 205 bp2023-04-30: 198 bp2023-05-31: 203 bp2023-06-30: 185 bp2023-07-31: 163 bp2023-08-31: 152 bp2023-09-30: 159 bp2023-10-31: 142 bp2023-11-30: 104 bp2023-12-31: 94 bp2024-01-31: 104 bp2024-02-29: 91 bp2024-03-31: 94 bp2024-04-30: 84 bp2024-05-31: 56 bp2024-06-30: 66 bp2024-07-31: 76 bp2024-08-31: 79 bp2024-09-30: 87 bp2024-10-31: 103 bp2024-11-30: 77 bp2024-12-31: 98 bp2025-01-31: 74 bp2025-02-28: 72 bp2025-03-31: 88 bp2025-04-30: 114 bp2025-05-31: 103 bp2025-06-30: 86 bp2025-07-31: 86 bp2025-08-31: 82 bp2025-09-30: 77 bp2025-10-31: 91 bp2025-11-30: 87 bp2025-12-31: 86 bp2026-01-31: 99 bp2026-02-28: 91 bp2026-03-31: 109 bp2026-04-30: 84 bp2026-05-31: 63 bp2026-06-30: 69 bp2026-07-31: 92 bp

EUR spread history

Median spread vs German Bunds, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

69 bp208 bp348 bpJan 2021Jul 20252021-01-31: 131 bp2021-03-31: 136 bp2021-04-30: 120 bp2021-06-30: 114 bp2021-07-31: 142 bp2021-09-30: 115 bp2021-10-31: 117 bp2021-12-31: 137 bp2022-01-31: 173 bp2022-03-31: 339 bp2022-04-30: 272 bp2022-06-30: 291 bp2022-07-31: 348 bp2022-09-30: 254 bp2022-10-31: 317 bp2022-12-31: 181 bp2023-01-31: 212 bp2023-03-31: 221 bp2023-04-30: 220 bp2023-05-31: 260 bp2023-06-30: 215 bp2023-07-31: 182 bp2023-08-31: 219 bp2023-09-30: 203 bp2023-10-31: 219 bp2023-12-31: 137 bp2024-01-31: 130 bp2024-03-31: 76 bp2024-04-30: 82 bp2024-06-30: 69 bp2024-07-31: 120 bp2024-10-31: 115 bp2025-01-31: 110 bp2025-04-30: 146 bp2025-06-30: 98 bp2025-07-31: 94 bp

Kazakhstan's KZT curve

Yield to maturity of each KZT bond US funds hold (52 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

13.89%15.22%16.56%0y6y12yREPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 0.0 2027-02-05: 16.12%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 9.0 2027-03-06: 16.44%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 13.0 2027-04-15: 16.47%Kazakhstan Treasury Bill - MEKKAM 0.0 2027-05-08: 15.90%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 10.4 2027-05-19: 16.08%Republic of Kazakhstan 9.0 2027-07-03: 16.03%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 5.49 2027-09-18: 15.83%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 5.3 2027-10-19: 15.81%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 6.5 2027-10-24: 15.67%Republic of Kazakhstan 15.35 2027-11-18: 15.83%Republic of Kazakhstan 10.4 2028-04-12: 15.67%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 5.0 2028-04-18: 15.18%Development Bank of Kazakhstan JSC 13.4892 2028-05-23: 16.56%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 5.5 2028-09-20: 15.22%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 18.4 2028-10-16: 16.29%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 10.47 2028-10-27: 15.48%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 7.22 2028-12-10: 15.27%Republic of Kazakhstan 15.3 2029-03-03: 15.25%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 16.95 2029-05-08: 15.98%Republic of Kazakhstan 15.1 2029-07-09: 14.73%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 10.55 2029-07-28: 14.74%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEOKAM 17.01 2029-08-07: 14.92%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 7.68 2029-08-13: 14.70%Republic of Kazakhstan 12.0 2030-03-07: 14.98%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 16.95 2030-10-09: 14.48%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEOKAM 16.95 2030-10-09: 14.41%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 8.44 2031-05-10: 14.36%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 14.0 2031-05-12: 14.76%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.0 2031-05-12: 14.96%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEOKAM 14.94 2031-06-18: 14.24%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 15.18 2032-02-05: 14.29%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.6 2032-03-06: 14.75%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 5.5 2032-04-24: 14.03%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.0 2032-05-19: 14.42%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 8.66 2033-04-04: 14.08%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.45 2033-06-05: 13.89%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 10.69 2033-08-23: 14.25%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 10.12 2034-02-17: 14.25%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.5 2034-03-06: 14.34%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 15.1 2034-03-12: 14.31%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 15.1 2034-03-12: 14.02%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.0 2035-02-13: 14.08%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 14.0 2035-02-13: 14.30%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 8.48 2036-07-30: 14.24%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 10.78 2036-08-25: 14.42%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 11.05 2037-01-28: 14.00%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 11.05 2037-01-28: 15.08%KAZAKH GOV BOND - MEUKAM 14.1 2038-05-22: 14.00%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 7.9 2038-12-20: 13.94%

Kazakhstan's USD curve

Yield to maturity of each USD bond US funds hold (24 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

5.00%5.55%6.09%0y9y19yDevelopment Bank of Kazakhstan JSC 5.5 2027-04-15: 5.25%BAITEREK NATIONAL MANAGI 5.45 2028-05-08: 5.22%Baiterek National Investment Holding JSC 5.45 2028-05-08: 5.25%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 5.25 2029-10-23: 5.15%Development Bank of Kazakhstan JSC 5.625 2030-04-07: 5.28%BAITEREK NATIONAL MANAGI 4.65 2030-10-01: 5.25%BAITEREK NATL INV HOLD 4.65 2030-10-01: 5.29%Kazakhstan Government International Bond 4.412 2030-10-28: 5.00%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 4.412 2030-10-28: 5.07%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 4.6 2031-01-31: 5.38%DEVELOPMENT BANK OF KAZA 4.6 2031-01-31: 5.37%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 5.0 2032-07-01: 5.25%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 5.0 2032-07-01: 5.25%Baiterek National Investment Holding JSC 5.2 2033-05-06: 5.50%Baiterek National Investment Holding JSC 5.2 2033-05-06: 5.53%Republic of Kazakhstan 4.714 2035-04-09: 5.39%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 4.714 2035-04-09: 5.37%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 5.5 2037-07-01: 5.59%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 5.5 2037-07-01: 5.57%REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN 4.875 2044-10-14: 5.99%Kazakhstan Government International Bond 4.875 2044-10-14: 5.95%Kazakhstan Government International Bond 6.5 2045-07-21: 6.08%Republic of Kazakhstan 6.5 2045-07-21: 6.09%

Who holds Kazakhstan's debt

Fund series holding Kazakhstan's government and government-related bonds in their latest quarterly report: 178 now, 163 a quarter earlier. Names as reported in the filings.

Fund seriesReportBondsFace valueValue
Global Macro Absolute Return Advantage Portfolio2026-07-31 23$277.24B$551.4M
Eaton Vance Emerging Markets Debt Opportunities Fund2026-07-31 23$136.67B$278.2M
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF2026-07-31 6$168.2M$164.3M
Global Macro Portfolio2026-07-31 23$73.40B$145.3M
American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 12$28.65B$76.6M
American Beacon Developing World Income Fund2026-07-31 26$38.47B$75.4M
Emerging Markets Local Income Portfolio2026-07-31 23$34.50B$70.2M
MFS Emerging Markets Debt Fund2026-07-31 4$61.9M$61.0M
Lord Abbett Short Duration Income Fund2026-05-31 3$46.9M$47.6M
Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF2026-07-31 3$41.1M$39.9M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND2026-07-31 9$40.3M$39.3M
Artisan Global Unconstrained Fund2026-06-30 10$19.81B$39.0M
New World Fund Inc2026-07-31 5$9.63B$36.6M
Global Opportunities Portfolio2026-07-31 11$17.05B$36.2M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS BOND FUND2026-06-30 3$35.2M$35.1M
T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 1$26.0M$28.2M
VANGUARD SHORT-TERM INVESTMENT-GRADE FUND2026-07-31 2$27.8M$28.0M
Capital World Bond Fund2026-06-30 9$13.67B$27.9M
Templeton Emerging Markets Income Fund2026-06-30 15$13.20B$25.3M
Morgan Stanley Emerging Markets Domestic Debt Fund, Inc.2026-07-31 18$11.77B$24.1M

ETFs holding Kazakhstan's bonds

From each ETF's own latest N-PORT report, as a share of its net assets. A holdings list, not a recommendation.

ETFReportBondsValue% of net assets
EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-07-316$164.3M 1.12%
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF 2026-07-313$39.9M 2.88%
VWOB VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-319$39.3M 0.59%
IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF 2026-07-3112$13.2M 0.03%
XEMD BondBloxx JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF 2026-07-313$8.6M 1.02%
VCRB VANGUARD CORE BOND ETF 2026-06-303$5.2M 0.07%
BNDX VANGUARD TOTAL INTERNATIONAL BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-311$2.7M 0.00%
EMHC State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets USD Bond ETF 2026-06-306$2.3M 0.83%
DIAL Columbia Diversified Fixed Income Allocation ETF 2026-07-312$2.1M 0.55%
VPLS VANGUARD CORE-PLUS BOND ETF 2026-06-302$2.0M 0.12%
ISTB iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF 2026-07-315$1.4M 0.03%
HFSI Hartford Strategic Income ETF 2026-07-316$1.3M 0.12%
EMBX VanEck Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-06-301$1.2M 0.48%
NFLT Virtus Newfleet Multi-Sector Bond ETF 2026-07-312$1.1M 0.24%
FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF 2026-05-311$779K 0.00%

Sources: fund holdings and fund-reported marks from SEC Form N-PORT (published about 60 days after each month-end); 13F filings; House and Senate periodic transaction reports and OGE Form 278-T; Treasury yields from FRED. Findings from filings, not advice. How each number is computed.

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms