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Bonds · Sovereign

Nigeria government bonds

Nigeria's bonds as US funds mark them in their filings (SEC Form N-PORT), by currency. Fund marks as of Jul 2026; they lag the market by about two months.

By currency

BondsMeasured againstCountSpread10-year spreadPriced-in 5y odds1-month changeMedian yieldHeld by US funds
USD Emerging markets, US-dollar bonds vs US Treasuries31 249 bp 274 bp18.7% -33 bp6.96% $864.7M
NGN Own-currency bonds own currency: yield only, no default number18 — —— —17.48% $213.5M

Priced-in odds = spread ÷ (1 − 40% recovery) over five years; it includes a risk premium and overstates actual defaults. Own-currency bonds get a yield and no odds: a government can print its own currency.

USD spread history

Median spread vs US Treasuries, month-ends with complete filings. Fund-reported.

248 bp680 bp1112 bpJan 2021Jul 20262021-01-31: 551 bp2021-02-28: 546 bp2021-03-31: 558 bp2021-04-30: 517 bp2021-05-31: 511 bp2021-06-30: 527 bp2021-07-31: 563 bp2021-08-31: 556 bp2021-09-30: 593 bp2021-10-31: 603 bp2021-11-30: 701 bp2021-12-31: 648 bp2022-01-31: 656 bp2022-02-28: 720 bp2022-03-31: 644 bp2022-04-30: 776 bp2022-05-31: 774 bp2022-06-30: 1017 bp2022-07-31: 1009 bp2022-08-31: 1006 bp2022-09-30: 1112 bp2022-10-31: 1071 bp2022-11-30: 805 bp2022-12-31: 849 bp2023-01-31: 867 bp2023-02-28: 826 bp2023-03-31: 856 bp2023-04-30: 922 bp2023-05-31: 833 bp2023-06-30: 691 bp2023-07-31: 617 bp2023-08-31: 715 bp2023-09-30: 748 bp2023-10-31: 686 bp2023-11-30: 625 bp2023-12-31: 561 bp2024-01-31: 625 bp2024-02-29: 576 bp2024-03-31: 521 bp2024-04-30: 568 bp2024-05-31: 563 bp2024-06-30: 607 bp2024-07-31: 623 bp2024-08-31: 622 bp2024-09-30: 601 bp2024-10-31: 586 bp2024-11-30: 552 bp2024-12-31: 538 bp2025-01-31: 497 bp2025-02-28: 485 bp2025-03-31: 583 bp2025-04-30: 657 bp2025-05-31: 565 bp2025-06-30: 477 bp2025-07-31: 433 bp2025-08-31: 419 bp2025-09-30: 418 bp2025-10-31: 405 bp2025-11-30: 355 bp2025-12-31: 310 bp2026-01-31: 316 bp2026-02-28: 312 bp2026-03-31: 364 bp2026-04-30: 283 bp2026-05-31: 248 bp2026-06-30: 282 bp2026-07-31: 249 bp

Nigeria's NGN curve

Yield to maturity of each NGN bond US funds hold (10 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

17.26%18.23%19.21%0y6y12yNIGERIA (FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF) 0.0 2027-01-19: 18.49%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 16.288 2027-03-17: 19.21%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 17.945 2030-08-27: 17.54%NIGERIA (FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF) 18.5 2031-02-21: 17.42%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 17.95 2032-06-25: 17.54%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 19.89 2033-05-15: 17.48%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 22.6 2035-01-29: 17.50%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 16.25 2037-04-18: 17.39%NIGERIA GOVERNMENT BOND 15.45 2038-06-21: 17.26%

Nigeria's USD curve

Yield to maturity of each USD bond US funds hold (31 bonds, government and government-related issuers, index-linked excluded), Jul 2026 fund marks. Hover a point for the bond.

5.92%7.01%8.11%0y13y25yREPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 6.5 2027-11-28: 5.93%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 6.5 2027-11-28: 5.96%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 6.125 2028-09-28: 6.04%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 6.125 2028-09-28: 5.92%Nigeria Government International Bonds 8.375 2029-03-24: 6.13%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 8.375 2029-03-24: 6.11%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.143 2030-02-23: 6.39%REPUBLIC OF NI 7.143% 02/23/30 7.143 2030-02-23: 6.43%Nigeria Government International Bonds 7.143 2030-02-23: 6.45%Federal Republic of Nigeria 8.747 2031-01-21: 6.74%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 9.625 2031-06-09: 6.76%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 9.625 2031-06-09: 6.76%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.875 2032-02-16: 6.74%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.875 2032-02-16: 6.75%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.375 2033-09-28: 6.93%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.375 2033-09-28: 6.96%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 10.375 2034-12-09: 7.23%Nigeria Government International Bonds 10.375 2034-12-09: 7.26%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 8.6308 2036-01-13: 7.32%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 8.6308 2036-01-13: 7.33%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.696 2038-02-23: 7.43%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.696 2038-02-23: 7.44%Federal Republic of Nigeria 9.1297 2046-01-13: 8.04%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 9.13 2046-01-13: 8.04%Nigeria (Federal Republic of) 7.625 2047-11-28: 7.88%Federal Republic of Nigeria 7.625 2047-11-28: 7.88%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 7.625 2047-11-28: 7.88%The Federal Republic of Nigeria 9.248 2049-01-21: 8.03%REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA 8.25 2051-09-28: 8.11%Nigeria Government International Bond 8.25 2051-09-28: 8.07%

Who holds Nigeria's debt

Fund series holding Nigeria's government and government-related bonds in their latest quarterly report: 246 now, 283 a quarter earlier. Names as reported in the filings.

Fund seriesReportBondsFace valueValue
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF2026-07-31 13$360.8M$377.9M
MFS Emerging Markets Debt Fund2026-07-31 6$119.37B$133.5M
American Funds Strategic Bond Fund2026-06-30 3$184.00B$125.0M
T. Rowe Price Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 17$64.96B$121.0M
VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND2026-07-31 19$91.7M$97.0M
Fidelity New Markets Income Fund2026-06-30 12$21.32B$91.5M
American Beacon Developing World Income Fund2026-07-31 16$111.97B$85.2M
American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 13$89.84B$80.5M
Emerging Markets Debt Fund2026-05-31 9$31.93B$74.0M
Strategic Advisers Fidelity Core Income Fund2026-05-31 11$12.57B$51.6M
LORD ABBETT BOND DEBENTURE FUND INC2026-06-30 1$44.4M$48.2M
PIMCO Emerging Markets Bond Fund2026-06-30 13$40.8M$43.1M
Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF2026-07-31 3$40.3M$41.8M
BlackRock Strategic Income Opportunities Portfolio2026-06-30 6$36.6M$38.2M
Fidelity Series Emerging Markets Debt Fund2026-06-30 13$8.11B$37.9M
JPMorgan Income Fund2026-05-31 6$35.7M$37.1M
New World Fund Inc2026-07-31 4$25.00B$36.1M
SIIT EMERGING MARKETS DEBT FUND2026-05-31 14$31.25B$35.5M
American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund2026-06-30 2$33.8M$35.1M
Emerging Markets Core Fund2026-07-31 12$18.12B$34.4M

ETFs holding Nigeria's bonds

From each ETF's own latest N-PORT report, as a share of its net assets. A holdings list, not a recommendation.

ETFReportBondsValue% of net assets
EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-07-3113$377.9M 2.59%
VWOB VANGUARD EMERGING MARKETS GOVERNMENT BOND INDEX FUND 2026-07-3119$97.0M 1.45%
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF 2026-07-313$41.8M 3.02%
XEMD BondBloxx JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets 1-10 Year Bond ETF 2026-07-318$23.6M 2.80%
IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF 2026-07-3115$23.0M 0.05%
JPIE JPMorgan Income ETF 2026-05-319$20.6M 0.23%
EMHY iShares J.P. Morgan EM High Yield Bond ETF 2026-07-3113$17.5M 2.81%
JCPB JPMorgan Core Plus Bond ETF 2026-05-313$7.5M 0.06%
FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF 2026-05-316$6.7M 0.03%
EMBD Global X Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-05-315$6.0M 2.36%
JEMB Janus Henderson Emerging Markets Debt Hard Currency ETF 2026-07-317$5.9M 1.36%
EMHC State Street(R) SPDR(R) Bloomberg Emerging Markets USD Bond ETF 2026-06-3010$5.0M 1.85%
EMBX VanEck Emerging Markets Bond ETF 2026-06-303$3.9M 1.57%
JPIB JPMorgan International Bond Opportunities ETF 2026-05-311$3.1M 0.16%
JPMB JPMorgan USD Emerging Markets Sovereign Bond ETF 2026-05-316$2.8M 4.39%

Sources: fund holdings and fund-reported marks from SEC Form N-PORT (published about 60 days after each month-end); 13F filings; House and Senate periodic transaction reports and OGE Form 278-T; Treasury yields from FRED. Findings from filings, not advice. How each number is computed.

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms