2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling Euro FX into speculator demand. Open interest surging — unusual volume.
Spec:
-24,925
(+11,427)
·
Comm:
-8,727
3Y Percentile15%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-24,925
Commercial Net
-8,727
Small Trader Net
33,652
Long/Short Ratio
0.89
Open Interest
865,412
Total Traders
320
British Pound Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling British Pound into speculator demand.
Spec:
-49,575
(-5,051)
·
Comm:
45,803
3Y Percentile20%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-49,575
Commercial Net
45,803
Small Trader Net
3,772
Long/Short Ratio
0.63
Open Interest
317,961
Total Traders
112
Japanese Yen Futures
BULLISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBULLISH
Commercials accumulating Japanese Yen while speculators exit — smart money positioning bullish.
Spec:
-92,227
(-28,929)
·
Comm:
97,561
3Y Percentile33%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-92,227
Commercial Net
97,561
Small Trader Net
-5,334
Long/Short Ratio
0.56
Open Interest
411,882
Total Traders
161
Canadian Dollar Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling Canadian Dollar into speculator demand.
Spec:
-108,143
(+13,379)
·
Comm:
115,282
3Y Percentile42%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-108,143
Commercial Net
115,282
Small Trader Net
-7,139
Long/Short Ratio
0.25
Open Interest
334,800
Total Traders
127
Australian Dollar Futures
BULLISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBULLISH
Commercials accumulating Australian Dollar while speculators exit — smart money positioning bullish. Open interest surging — unusual volume.
Spec:
-39,406
(+5,049)
·
Comm:
18,810
3Y Percentile64%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-39,406
Commercial Net
18,810
Small Trader Net
20,596
Long/Short Ratio
0.74
Open Interest
391,678
Total Traders
129
USD Index Futures
BULLISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBULLISH
Commercials accumulating USD Index while speculators exit — smart money positioning bullish.
Spec:
17,025
(-1,657)
·
Comm:
-18,724
3Y Percentile84%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
17,025
Commercial Net
-18,724
Small Trader Net
1,699
Long/Short Ratio
2.52
Open Interest
50,020
Total Traders
112
Mexican Peso Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling Mexican Peso into speculator demand.
Spec:
93,247
(+10,865)
·
Comm:
-97,717
3Y Percentile82%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
93,247
Commercial Net
-97,717
Small Trader Net
4,470
Long/Short Ratio
2.15
Open Interest
313,188
Total Traders
217
Swiss Franc Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling Swiss Franc into speculator demand. Open interest surging — unusual volume.
Spec:
-22,876
(-2,930)
·
Comm:
36,088
3Y Percentile71%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-22,876
Commercial Net
36,088
Small Trader Net
-13,212
Long/Short Ratio
0.47
Open Interest
136,962
Total Traders
66
NZ Dollar Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling NZ Dollar into speculator demand. Open interest surging — unusual volume.
Spec:
-8,021
(+6,218)
·
Comm:
8,576
3Y Percentile68%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
-8,021
Commercial Net
8,576
Small Trader Net
-555
Long/Short Ratio
0.58
Open Interest
107,274
Total Traders
103
Brazilian Real Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling Brazilian Real into speculator demand.
Spec:
72,813
(+4,911)
·
Comm:
-79,718
3Y Percentile99%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
72,813
Commercial Net
-79,718
Small Trader Net
6,905
Long/Short Ratio
3.9
Open Interest
127,273
Total Traders
113
South African Rand Futures
BEARISH
2-year weekly history · Speculator, commercial, and small trader positioning
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Flow SignalBEARISH
Distribution phase — commercials selling South African Rand into speculator demand.
Spec:
11,907
(+10)
·
Comm:
-13,987
3Y Percentile79%
Latest Week
Speculator Net
11,907
Commercial Net
-13,987
Small Trader Net
2,080
Long/Short Ratio
3.13
Open Interest
36,349
Total Traders
51
How to Read COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercial)
Hedge funds, CTAs, and momentum traders. They follow trends and amplify moves. When their positioning reaches extremes, it often signals the trend is crowded and vulnerable to reversal.
Commercials (Hedgers)
Producers, refiners, and consumers who use futures to hedge their business. They tend to be contrarian — selling into rallies and buying dips. At extremes, they're historically on the right side.
The Percentile Bar
Shows where current speculator positioning ranks vs. the past 3 years. Above 80% = historically bullish, below 20% = historically bearish. Extremes (top/bottom 10%) are the highest-signal readings.
What To Watch For
The best signals come from extreme positioning + divergence: when speculators are max long but commercials are max short, it often precedes a reversal. The weekly change shows who's adding or liquidating.
Source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Commitments of Traders reports. Data is published weekly with a 3-day lag.