ADM NYSE
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
1W: -2.8%
1M: -2.7%
3M: -2.7%
YTD: +33.4%
1Y: +24.5%
3Y: +16.3%
5Y: +36.8%
$78.20
-0.81 (-1.03%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$75
$77
$80
$83
$86
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 77% of companies Debt: 19.9% of company value Bonds: $70.1M held by 127 funds, 68 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.17 (down 98%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $37.69B.
Distance to default 8.90 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.17 (down 98%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $37.69B.
Distance to default 8.90 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Cash Flow
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Cash Flow Trends
Operating Cash Flow
$5.5B
+95.4% ▲
Capital Expenditures
$1.2B
+20.2% ▲
5Y CAGR: +8.7%
Free Cash Flow
$4.2B
+242.6% ▲
Dividends Paid
$987M
-0.2% ▼
Buybacks
$0
+100.0% ▲
Net Change in Cash
$1.6B
+207.8% ▲
Cash Flow Composition
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Cash Flow Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Operating Activities — | |||||
| Net Income | $2.7B | $4.4B | $3.5B | $1.8B | $1.1B |
| Depreciation & Amort. | $996M | $1.0B | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.2B |
| Stock-Based Comp. | $161M | $147M | $112M | $74M | $0 |
| Change in Working Capital | $2.7B | -$1.8B | -$267M | -$492M | $2.8B |
| Other Non-Cash Items | $178M | -$184M | $96M | $418M | $435M |
| Operating Cash Flow | $6.6B | $3.5B | $4.5B | $2.8B | $5.5B |
| — Investing Activities — | |||||
| Capital Expenditures | -$1.2B | -$1.3B | -$1.5B | -$1.6B | -$1.2B |
| Acquisitions (Net) | -$1.4B | $32M | $0 | -$869M | $0 |
| Investment Purchases | -$34M | -$155M | $0 | -$366M | -$43M |
| Investment Sales | $1M | $0 | $0 | $84M | $277M |
| Other Investing | -$114M | $42M | -$2M | $12M | -$3M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -$2.7B | -$1.4B | -$1.5B | -$2.7B | -$1.0B |
| — Financing Activities — | |||||
| Net Debt Issuance | -$290M | -$158M | -$852M | $1.8B | -$1.9B |
| Stock Repurchased | $0 | -$1.4B | -$2.7B | -$2.3B | $0 |
| Dividends Paid | -$834M | -$899M | -$977M | -$985M | -$987M |
| Other Financing | $6M | $8M | -$102M | -$44M | -$25M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -$1.1B | -$2.5B | -$4.6B | -$1.5B | -$2.9B |
| Net Change in Cash | $2.8B | -$421M | -$1.6B | -$1.5B | $1.6B |
| Cash End of Period | $7.5B | $7.0B | $5.4B | $3.9B | $5.5B |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.4B | $2.2B | $3.0B | $1.2B | $4.2B |