ADM NYSE
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
1W: -2.8%
1M: -2.7%
3M: -2.7%
YTD: +33.4%
1Y: +24.5%
3Y: +16.3%
5Y: +36.8%
$78.20
-0.81 (-1.03%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$75
$77
$80
$83
$86
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 77% of companies Debt: 19.9% of company value Bonds: $70.1M held by 127 funds, 68 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.17 (down 98%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $37.69B.
Distance to default 8.90 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.17 (down 98%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $37.69B.
Distance to default 8.90 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-63
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
22
Momentum (25%)
0
Volume (20%)
12
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
62
Price vs SMA 20$80.90
Price vs SMA 50$82.15
Price vs SMA 200$76.20
EMA 9/21 Cross79.96/80.88
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 14
Supertrend$84.89
Parabolic SAR$83.00
SMA Slope-0.060
RSI38.2
Stochastic K/D16/22
Williams %R-98
CCI-119
TSI vs Signal-11.5
CMO-23.7
ROC-6.00%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF-0.050
MFI31
Force Index-706.5K
Elder Ray Bull-1.03
ADM is trading above its 200-day but below its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 38 shows bearish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow near zero at -0.050. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 14 suggests the market is range-bound. 1 bullish candlestick pattern detected: Inverted Hammer.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $80.90 | $2.69 | -3.33% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $82.15 | $3.94 | -4.80% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $76.20 | +$2.01 | +2.64% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $79.96 | $1.75 | -2.19% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $80.88 | $2.67 | -3.30% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $81.37 | $3.16 | -3.88% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $75.74 | +$2.47 | +3.26% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $81.02 | $2.81 | -3.47% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $80.66 | $2.45 | -3.04% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $79.89 | $1.68 | -2.10% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $79.22 | $1.01 | -1.27% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Distribution
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Neutral Flow
Volatility & Range
52-Week
11.9% from high
20-Day
7.2% from high
Bollinger
6th pctile
Donchian
2th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $78.15
Turtle Short Stop: $84.21
S2
$77.55
S1
$78.28
Pivot
$79.73
R1
$80.46
R2
$81.91
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
1 bullish: Inverted Hammer
Bullish Patterns
—
3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
—
Bullish Engulfing
—
Hammer
✔
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji