ADM Smart Money
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
1W: -1.9%
1M: -2.6%
3M: -5.0%
YTD: +34.8%
1Y: +27.5%
3Y: +15.9%
5Y: +39.8%
$78.20
-0.81 (-1.03%)
After Hours: $78.66 (+0.45, +0.58%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.4%
$75
$77
$80
$83
$86
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 77% of companies Debt: 19.7% of company value Bonds: $70.1M held by 127 funds, 68 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.18 (down 99%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $38.08B.
Distance to default 8.92 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.18 (down 99%), Archer-Daniels-Midland Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $9.34B against a stock market value of $38.08B.
Distance to default 8.92 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $4.79B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 27.6%; Altman Z'' 3.50. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 20261,260
Institutions Holding
+45 vs prior
86.7%
Ownership
+10.47%
144
New
445
Increased
466
Reduced
84
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Jones Regina | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 1,706 | $84.61 | $144K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Rowe Jeffrey D | officer: executive vice president & coo | A-Grant/Award | 259,935 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-03 | Patolawala Monish D | officer: executive vice president & cfo | F-Tax Withholding | 6,720 | $79.27 | $533K | Filing |
| 2026-03-20 | LUCIANO JUAN R | officer: president & ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 16,882 | $68.64 | $1.2M | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Weber Jennifer L | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 2,033 | $72.12 | $147K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Pinner Ian R | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 2,904 | $72.12 | $209K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Cuddy Christopher M | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 3,001 | $72.12 | $216K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Morris Gregory A | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 3,195 | $72.12 | $230K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Jones Regina | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 2,421 | $72.12 | $175K | Filing |
| 2026-03-13 | Pinner Ian R | officer: senior vice president | S-Sale | 34,106 | $71.53 | $2.4M | Filing |
| 2026-03-13 | Cuddy Christopher M | officer: senior vice president | S-Sale | 35,000 | $73.50 | $2.6M | Filing |
| 2026-03-10 | Morris Gregory A | officer: senior vice president | S-Sale | 50,000 | $68.48 | $3.4M | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | Nichol Carrie Ann | officer: vice president & cao | F-Tax Withholding | 5,367 | $69.61 | $374K | Filing |
| 2026-02-17 | Weber Jennifer L | officer: senior vice president | S-Sale | 25,000 | $67.04 | $1.7M | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Weber Jennifer L | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 2,536 | $69.50 | $176K | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Pinner Ian R | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 3,769 | $69.50 | $262K | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Patolawala Monish D | officer: executive vice president & cfo | F-Tax Withholding | 9,161 | $69.50 | $637K | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Morris Gregory A | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 4,350 | $69.50 | $302K | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | LUCIANO JUAN R | officer: president & ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 23,330 | $69.50 | $1.6M | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Jones Regina | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 2,958 | $69.50 | $206K | Filing |
| 2026-02-13 | Cuddy Christopher M | officer: senior vice president | F-Tax Withholding | 4,318 | $69.50 | $300K | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | Jones Regina | officer: senior vice president | A-Grant/Award | 16,116 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | Patolawala Monish D | officer: executive vice president & cfo | A-Grant/Award | 40,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | Morris Gregory A | officer: senior vice president | A-Grant/Award | 18,993 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-12 | Cuddy Christopher M | officer: senior vice president | A-Grant/Award | 23,022 | $— | $0 | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
25 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-20 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-19 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-01-29 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Thomas Hawley Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-15 | Tommy Tuberville | Senate | Sell | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-08 | Rob Bresnahan | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-04-07 | Robert P. Bresnahan | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-09-09 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-03-25 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-03-20 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-02-13 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-02-13 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-01-10 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-11-03 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-08-29 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-07-28 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-07-12 | Daniel Goldman | House | Sell | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2023-06-26 | Ro Khanna | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-05-23 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE C | 46,796,552 | $3.6B | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 44,621,586 | $3.4B | +1,762,804 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 33,639,018 | $2.6B | -26,721 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 31,490,457 | $2.4B | +251,068 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 26,918,972 | $2.1B | +875,233 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 17,670,220 | $1.4B | +382,460 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 16,617,425 | $1.3B | +1,307,192 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 16,617,425 | $1.3B | +16,617,425 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Dodge & Cox | 14,182,325 | $1.1B | -1,574,815 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 13,308,967 | $1.0B | +271,330 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 11,454,768 | $875M | -637,277 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 7,030,807 | $537M | -614,594 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 6,820,493 | $521M | +6,820,493 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 5,769,300 | $441M | -338,214 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 4,810,146 | $367M | -953,809 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 4,794,426 | $366M | +1,195,733 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 4,151,390 | $317M | +4,151,390 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 3,887,602 | $297M | +81,410 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 3,674,099 | $281M | +1,086,623 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 3,385,086 | $259M | -468,162 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |