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Not Investment Advice

BSPA OTC

Ballston Spa Bancorp, Inc.
1W: -2.5% 1M: -0.2% 3M: +3.9% YTD: +18.6% 1Y: +12.9% 3Y: +59.0% 5Y: +58.1%
$80.02
+0.29 (+0.36%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.5%
$78 $79 $80 $81 $82
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Sell · Power 46 · $59.4M mcap · 508323 float · 0.051% daily turnover · Short 75% of daily vol

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

B
Oct 02, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
2
ROA
4
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
3
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. BSPA receives an overall rating of B. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), ROA (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (2/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-01 B- B
2026-08-21 C+ B-
2026-08-18 B- C+
2026-08-14 B B-
2026-08-14 B- B
2026-07-31 B B-
2026-06-30 None ADDED
2026-06-29 EXISTED None
2026-06-24 None ADDED
2026-06-22 EXISTED None

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 25 Grade C
Profitability
15
Balance Sheet
48
Earnings Quality
89
Growth
25
Value
47
Momentum
58
Safety
30
Cash Flow
35
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. BSPA scores highest in Earnings Quality (89/100) and lowest in Profitability (15/100). A grade of C represents mixed fundamentals — strengths in some areas offset by weaknesses.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.51
Grey Zone
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-1.65
Possible Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.19
Bankruptcy prob: 1.5%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
B+
Score: 31.0/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.70x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. BSPA scores 1.51, placing it in the Grey Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Financial distress is possible and warrants monitoring. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. BSPA scores 4/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. BSPA's score of -1.65 exceeds the −1.78 red flag threshold — this does not confirm manipulation but indicates the earnings profile resembles past manipulators statistically. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. BSPA's implied 1.5% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. BSPA receives an estimated rating of B+ (score: 31.0/100), with a deteriorating trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). BSPA's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
33.62x
PEG
-0.51x
P/S
1.38x
P/B
0.93x
P/FCF
48.89x
P/OCF
23.51x
EV/EBITDA
17.39x
EV/Revenue
1.06x
EV/EBIT
18.70x
EV/FCF
27.61x
Earnings Yield
2.51%
FCF Yield
2.05%
Shareholder Yield
4.07%
Graham Number
$60.42
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 33.6x earnings, BSPA commands a growth premium. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $60.42 per share, 32% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.830
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.056
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.039
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
14.196
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
2.6%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. BSPA's ROE of 2.6% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 14.20x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
$15.99
Price/Value
4.69x
Margin of Safety
-369.14%
Premium
369.14%
Assessment
Overvalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with BSPA's realized 0.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. BSPA trades at a 369% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $15.99, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 8.5x compares to the current market P/E of 33.6x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$80.02
Median 1Y
$84.32
5th Pctile
$60.68
95th Pctile
$117.19
Ann. Volatility
20.1%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 11.6% 11.4% 11.1% 11.7% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 11.6% 11.9% 12.0% 11.3% 10.4% 8.5% 7.9% 7.7% 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 6.2% 2.6% 2.60%
ROA 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.18%
ROIC -32.6% 7.9% 7.7% 8.7% -7.3% -6.0% 51.7% -33.8% 9.3% 7.3% 3.8% 7.7% 4.8% 5.5% 3.6% 2.7% 4.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.5% 3.51%
ROCE 2.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 8.0% 8.2% 8.6% 8.5% 7.3% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 4.2% 0.6% 3.3% 0.6% 4.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.18%
Gross Margin 1.0% 92.2% 92.3% 94.0% 92.3% 92.8% 93.9% 92.2% 83.3% 79.5% 73.3% 68.0% 59.0% 65.2% 62.9% 61.8% 64.4% 63.0% 58.5% 41.6% 41.56%
Operating Margin 26.3% 22.8% 23.8% 32.2% 20.5% 25.0% 29.3% 30.2% 19.6% 21.4% 19.3% 17.2% 6.0% 14.6% 14.6% 14.0% 14.5% 13.5% 4.6% -9.9% -9.89%
Net Margin 20.7% 18.6% 18.1% 22.6% 18.1% 20.0% 24.2% 24.8% 18.7% 17.3% 15.6% 13.9% 7.3% 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 11.7% 10.9% 2.3% -6.3% -6.30%
EBITDA Margin -2.7% 22.8% 23.8% 32.2% 20.5% 25.0% 29.3% 30.2% 19.6% 21.4% 19.3% 17.2% 6.0% 14.6% 14.6% 14.0% 14.5% 13.5% 6.4% -9.9% -9.89%
FCF Margin 25.4% 25.6% 26.0% 25.8% 26.6% 27.4% 27.5% 28.3% 25.0% 21.9% 19.3% 16.8% 16.5% 16.1% 15.8% 14.7% 13.4% 12.4% 5.6% 3.8% 3.82%
OCF Margin 28.4% 27.6% 27.2% 26.2% 27.0% 27.8% 27.9% 28.7% 26.7% 24.8% 23.2% 21.6% 20.3% 18.8% 17.6% 15.9% 14.7% 13.8% 8.7% 7.9% 7.95%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 6.30%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 8.27%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.42%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 1.37%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.26%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 5.95%
CROIC snapshot only 2.86%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 4.69%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 5.64%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 12.55%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio 5.93 6.78 7.37 6.99 6.29 6.78 6.78 7.05 6.82 6.22 5.95 6.74 7.71 8.17 8.66 9.47 9.36 8.89 12.97 39.88 33.622
P/S Ratio 1.27 1.39 1.45 1.40 1.23 1.35 1.45 1.55 1.49 1.31 1.12 1.10 1.03 0.99 0.98 1.01 1.09 1.01 1.19 1.87 1.380
P/B Ratio 0.65 0.73 0.78 0.78 0.65 0.71 0.76 0.80 0.79 0.71 0.64 0.66 0.62 0.62 0.63 0.66 0.72 0.67 0.75 0.87 0.928
P/FCF 5.00 5.41 5.57 5.43 4.61 4.92 5.28 5.48 5.97 5.96 5.82 6.53 6.25 6.16 6.19 6.88 8.14 8.17 21.12 48.89 48.892
P/OCF 4.48 5.02 5.33 5.35 4.54 4.85 5.20 5.40 5.58 5.26 4.84 5.08 5.10 5.27 5.54 6.37 7.44 7.36 13.74 23.51 23.509
EV/EBITDA 77.61 49.86 20.73 9.95 -13.26 -15.07 -0.20 -3.91 7.57 9.46 19.17 8.03 13.52 11.33 19.50 26.95 16.68 22.87 18.26 17.39 17.387
EV/Revenue -1.38 2.26 2.25 1.96 -3.34 -3.88 -0.05 -1.04 1.96 2.35 4.28 1.55 2.13 1.61 2.57 3.37 2.40 3.22 2.22 1.06 1.055
EV/EBIT -5.34 9.13 9.34 7.58 -13.26 -15.07 -0.20 -3.91 7.57 9.46 19.17 8.03 13.52 11.33 19.50 26.95 16.68 22.87 18.92 18.70 18.699
EV/FCF -5.41 8.83 8.63 7.59 -12.57 -14.19 -0.20 -3.67 7.84 10.72 22.23 9.22 12.86 10.01 16.30 22.90 17.91 25.95 39.39 27.61 27.614
Earnings Yield 16.9% 14.8% 13.6% 14.3% 15.9% 14.7% 14.8% 14.2% 14.7% 16.1% 16.8% 14.8% 13.0% 12.2% 11.5% 10.6% 10.7% 11.3% 7.7% 2.5% 2.51%
FCF Yield 20.0% 18.5% 17.9% 18.4% 21.7% 20.3% 18.9% 18.2% 16.8% 16.8% 17.2% 15.3% 16.0% 16.2% 16.2% 14.5% 12.3% 12.2% 4.7% 2.0% 2.05%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 0.959
EV/OCF snapshot only 13.278
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.858
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 18.699
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 4.07%
Graham Number snapshot only $60.42
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.20 11.94 7.18 13.56 0.21 0.22 0.10 0.13 0.04 0.64 0.36 — 0.04 — 0.03 — 0.03 0.03 — — —
Quick Ratio 0.20 11.94 7.18 13.56 0.21 0.22 0.10 0.13 0.04 0.64 0.36 — 0.04 — 0.03 — 0.03 0.03 — — —
Debt/Equity 0.64 0.62 0.56 0.47 0.46 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.66 0.69 1.98 0.67 1.05 0.79 1.39 1.93 1.25 1.81 0.75 0.60 0.603
Net Debt/Equity -1.36 0.46 0.43 0.31 -2.42 -2.75 -0.78 -1.34 0.25 0.57 1.80 0.27 0.65 0.39 1.03 1.53 0.86 1.46 0.65 -0.38 -0.378
Debt/Assets 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.14 0.04 0.08 0.06 0.10 0.14 0.09 0.13 0.06 0.04 0.042
Debt/EBITDA -69.87 26.03 9.68 4.34 3.44 3.41 3.19 3.32 4.85 5.11 15.50 5.74 11.18 8.89 16.28 23.78 13.16 19.43 9.88 21.36 21.356
Net Debt/EBITDA 149.41 19.28 7.35 2.83 -18.13 -20.30 -5.54 -9.76 1.81 4.20 14.15 2.35 6.95 4.36 12.10 18.85 9.10 15.67 8.47 -13.40 -13.398
Interest Coverage — 11.93 6.05 4.75 3.48 3.63 4.05 3.68 2.66 1.88 1.21 0.79 0.52 0.42 0.36 0.33 0.39 0.38 0.31 0.13 0.132
Equity Multiplier 15.26 15.76 14.82 15.74 15.41 16.19 14.52 15.47 14.33 13.94 14.35 16.00 13.76 14.04 14.02 13.93 13.55 13.55 13.32 14.38 14.380
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.142
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.627
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.029
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1578.4 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.039
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 25.53 — — — 14.92 — — — 13.59 — — — 13.89 — — 26.38 31.50 — 28.30 11.47 11.471
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DSO 14 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 27 0 0 0 26 0 0 14 12 0 13 32 31.8 days
DIO — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 —
Cash Conversion Cycle — 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 27 0 0 0 26 0 0 14 12 0 13 32 —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 2.347
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.474
Capital Intensity snapshot only 30.907
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 11.4% 16.2% 18.6% 21.1% 13.8% 7.0% 4.4% -2.9% 5.3% 14.4% 20.5% 30.9% 28.2% 26.7% 25.0% 22.7% 22.1% 17.7% 11.2% 5.6% 5.59%
Net Income 27.8% 26.1% 22.0% 20.1% 3.3% 3.8% 13.6% 6.4% 18.2% 21.2% 6.1% -3.2% -21.5% -26.9% -25.3% -19.4% 6.2% 10.8% -9.2% -53.7% -53.66%
EPS 28.3% 26.3% 21.6% 20.4% 3.1% 3.9% 13.7% 6.4% 18.2% 21.2% 6.1% -3.2% -21.5% -26.9% -25.3% -19.4% 6.1% 10.8% -9.2% -68.7% -68.72%
FCF 0.6% 8.2% 16.1% 24.2% 19.0% 14.4% 10.2% 6.4% -1.1% -8.4% -15.5% -22.4% -15.1% -7.0% 2.3% 7.5% -1.1% -9.1% -60.2% -72.6% -72.56%
EBITDA -47.7% 6.1% 12.8% 19.1% 17.2% 5.1% 1.6% 30.8% 8.0% 10.2% -0.9% -4.9% -22.0% -27.4% -26.3% -20.5% 11.7% 16.8% 2.7% -48.7% -48.71%
Op. Income 28.2% 28.9% 23.1% 24.6% 4.3% 4.8% 12.5% -2.8% 8.0% 10.2% -0.9% -4.9% -22.0% -27.4% -26.3% -20.5% 11.7% 16.8% -0.9% -52.3% -52.31%
OCF Growth snapshot only -47.13%
Asset Growth snapshot only 51.94%
Equity Growth snapshot only 47.13%
Debt Growth snapshot only -53.94%
Shares Change snapshot only 48.13%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -23.74%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 8.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.8% 7.7% 7.4% 8.4% 7.9% 10.1% 12.5% 14.3% 15.5% 15.4% 15.8% 16.3% 16.0% 18.1% 19.5% 18.8% 19.2% 19.24%
Revenue 5Y 9.2% 9.9% 10.3% 11.8% 10.9% 10.1% 9.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.1% 9.7% 10.3% 11.0% 12.4% 13.9% 15.1% 15.9% 16.3% 15.7% 14.8% 14.81%
EPS 3Y 15.0% 10.1% 4.7% 3.4% 2.8% 3.5% 10.1% 13.0% 16.1% 16.7% 13.6% 7.4% -1.5% -2.7% -3.4% -6.0% -0.5% -0.6% -10.4% -37.5% -37.51%
EPS 5Y 18.7% 17.6% 16.7% 20.6% 16.6% 15.1% 14.8% 13.1% 13.1% 11.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.1% -0.4% 1.2% 2.4% 5.4% 5.2% -0.1% -20.7% -20.74%
Net Income 3Y 15.0% 10.2% 4.7% 3.4% 2.8% 3.5% 10.1% 13.1% 16.0% 16.6% 13.7% 7.3% -1.4% -2.8% -3.4% -6.0% -0.5% -0.6% -10.4% -28.8% -28.77%
Net Income 5Y 18.6% 17.6% 16.8% 20.4% 16.7% 15.0% 14.8% 13.0% 13.2% 11.0% 6.7% 2.6% 0.1% -0.4% 1.1% 2.5% 5.4% 5.2% -0.1% -14.3% -14.32%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 69.4% 24.1% -0.4% -2.0% -2.3% -9.1% -27.1% -27.06%
EBITDA 5Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 8.4% 7.4% 6.6% 6.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 6.4% 7.3% 6.8% 5.2% 2.2% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 4.1% 5.0% 3.6% 1.2% 1.24%
Gross Profit 5Y 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.5% 9.2% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 6.6% 6.1% 5.3% 4.3% 3.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.0% 5.2% 2.5% 2.53%
Op. Income 3Y 14.2% 9.7% 5.1% 4.7% 2.1% 3.1% 8.9% 10.6% 13.0% 14.2% 11.1% 4.8% -4.2% -5.7% -6.3% -9.8% -2.0% -2.3% -10.2% -28.8% -28.81%
Op. Income 5Y 15.4% 14.3% 13.3% 17.4% 13.5% 12.7% 12.0% 9.4% 10.9% 8.8% 5.3% 1.2% -2.2% -2.6% -1.1% 0.5% 4.7% 4.8% 0.1% -15.3% -15.26%
FCF 3Y 8.3% 12.2% 16.3% 20.5% 16.4% 12.9% 9.9% 7.2% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9% -0.0% -0.9% -1.6% -3.9% -6.0% -8.2% -29.9% -38.8% -38.82%
FCF 5Y 12.5% 12.6% 12.7% 12.8% 11.6% 10.5% 9.5% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 5.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% -0.1% -0.8% -15.1% -21.3% -21.25%
OCF 3Y 8.8% 9.2% 9.5% 9.8% 8.5% 7.3% 6.2% 5.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.6% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% -1.9% -3.6% -5.4% -19.5% -22.3% -22.28%
OCF 5Y 11.5% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 10.1% 9.4% 8.7% 8.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.3% 4.0% 2.7% 0.7% -0.1% -0.9% -9.9% -11.5% -11.48%
Assets 3Y 11.3% 12.8% 11.5% 13.6% 12.9% 13.9% 10.1% 10.4% 8.7% 7.0% 7.6% 10.5% 6.1% 5.4% 7.2% 5.6% 5.2% 4.3% 8.6% 20.5% 20.47%
Assets 5Y 9.3% 10.6% 11.1% 11.6% 11.6% 11.9% 9.6% 10.0% 8.6% 8.7% 9.7% 11.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 7.8% 8.0% 15.3% 15.28%
Equity 3Y 9.9% 10.3% 10.0% 10.2% 11.4% 9.7% 9.4% 8.5% 9.0% 9.9% 9.4% 8.9% 9.8% 9.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.7% 23.4% 23.44%
Book Value 3Y 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 11.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.3% 9.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.0% 9.7% 9.5% 9.2% 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.7% 8.3% 8.29%
Dividend 3Y -0.0% -0.1% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% -0.2% 0.1% 0.1% -0.1% 0.1% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -8.6% -8.64%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.95 0.95 0.93 0.91 0.94 0.96 0.96 0.90 0.97 0.93 0.88 0.79 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.87 0.90 0.93 0.95 0.93 0.935
Earnings Stability 0.83 0.83 0.81 0.75 0.79 0.78 0.80 0.71 0.78 0.79 0.81 0.56 0.27 0.21 0.27 0.20 0.22 0.15 0.01 0.35 0.349
Margin Stability 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.89 0.86 0.85 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.76 0.758
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.89 0.90 0.91 0.92 0.99 0.98 0.95 0.97 0.93 0.92 0.98 0.99 0.91 0.89 0.90 0.92 0.98 0.96 0.96 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness 0.76 0.77 0.80 0.82 0.97 0.96 0.87 0.94 0.83 0.81 0.94 0.97 0.76 0.69 0.71 0.79 0.94 0.90 0.90 0.27 0.267
ROE Trend -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.062
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.06 -0.09 -0.13 -0.18 -0.22 -0.24 -0.24 -0.22 -0.16 -0.13 -0.11 -0.12 -0.122
FCF Margin Trend 0.01 0.00 -0.00 -0.01 -0.00 0.01 0.01 0.03 -0.01 -0.05 -0.07 -0.10 -0.09 -0.09 -0.08 -0.08 -0.07 -0.07 -0.12 -0.12 -0.119
Sustainable Growth Rate 9.3% 9.2% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 8.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.0% 10.1% 9.4% 8.5% 6.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.8% 6.5% 6.4% 4.7% 1.2% 1.21%
Internal Growth Rate 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.09%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.32 1.35 1.38 1.31 1.38 1.40 1.30 1.31 1.22 1.18 1.23 1.33 1.51 1.55 1.56 1.49 1.26 1.21 0.94 1.70 1.696
FCF/OCF 0.90 0.93 0.96 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.93 0.88 0.83 0.78 0.82 0.86 0.90 0.93 0.91 0.90 0.65 0.48 0.481
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.816
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 1.310
CapEx/Revenue 3.0% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 3.7% 2.7% 1.8% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 3.0% 4.1% 4.13%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 9.691
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.061
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.198
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield 3.3% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 1.65%
Dividend/Share $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.32 $1.01 $1.32
Payout Ratio 19.6% 19.6% 19.7% 18.2% 19.0% 18.9% 17.3% 17.1% 16.1% 15.6% 16.3% 17.7% 20.5% 21.4% 21.9% 21.9% 19.3% 19.3% 24.1% 53.5% 53.50%
FCF Payout Ratio 16.6% 15.7% 14.9% 14.2% 13.9% 13.7% 13.5% 13.3% 14.1% 15.0% 16.0% 17.1% 16.6% 16.1% 15.6% 15.9% 16.8% 17.7% 39.3% 65.6% 65.60%
Total Payout Ratio 19.6% 19.6% 19.7% 18.2% 19.0% 18.9% 17.3% 17.1% 16.1% 15.6% 16.3% 17.7% 20.5% 21.4% 21.9% 21.9% 19.3% 19.3% 24.1% 1.6% 1.62%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chowder Number 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.14 0.143
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 2.73%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.7% 2.73%
Total Shareholder Return 3.3% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 3.0% 2.8% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.2% 1.9% 4.1% 4.07%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.83 0.83 0.82 0.78 0.77 0.77 0.79 0.83 0.85 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.81 0.81 0.78 0.83 0.830
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.26 0.25 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.19 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.06 0.056
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.039
Equity Multiplier 14.86 15.45 14.93 15.53 15.34 15.99 14.67 15.60 14.85 15.01 14.43 15.75 14.03 13.99 14.18 14.90 13.65 13.78 13.65 14.20 14.196
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $6.73 $6.72 $6.70 $7.24 $6.94 $6.98 $7.61 $7.71 $8.20 $8.46 $8.08 $7.46 $6.44 $6.18 $6.03 $6.01 $6.83 $6.85 $5.48 $1.88 $1.88
Book Value/Share $60.99 $62.09 $63.44 $65.23 $67.16 $66.87 $68.25 $67.93 $71.00 $74.13 $75.09 $76.05 $80.56 $81.56 $82.61 $86.84 $88.88 $90.68 $95.15 $86.26 $86.26
Tangible Book/Share $58.84 $62.09 $63.44 $65.23 $65.01 $66.87 $68.25 $67.93 $68.85 $74.13 $75.09 $76.05 $78.42 $81.56 $82.61 $84.70 $88.88 $90.68 $93.01 $78.24 $78.24
Revenue/Share $31.35 $32.82 $34.07 $36.09 $35.60 $35.15 $35.58 $35.07 $37.49 $40.22 $42.88 $45.89 $48.05 $50.98 $53.58 $56.30 $58.62 $59.98 $59.59 $40.14 $39.15
FCF/Share $7.97 $8.41 $8.86 $9.32 $9.47 $9.62 $9.77 $9.92 $9.37 $8.81 $8.26 $7.70 $7.95 $8.20 $8.45 $8.28 $7.86 $7.45 $3.36 $1.53 $-0.03
OCF/Share $8.90 $9.07 $9.26 $9.45 $9.61 $9.76 $9.92 $10.07 $10.03 $9.99 $9.95 $9.90 $9.75 $9.59 $9.43 $8.94 $8.60 $8.27 $5.17 $3.19 $2.08
Cash/Share $121.88 $10.04 $8.59 $10.69 $193.58 $214.67 $84.36 $121.59 $29.47 $9.14 $12.96 $30.07 $31.96 $32.76 $29.55 $34.66 $34.29 $31.83 $10.22 $84.67 $84.67
EBITDA/Share $-0.56 $1.49 $3.69 $7.11 $8.98 $9.06 $9.66 $9.30 $9.70 $9.98 $9.58 $8.85 $7.56 $7.24 $7.06 $7.04 $8.44 $8.46 $7.25 $2.44 $2.44
Debt/Share $38.83 $38.74 $35.72 $30.83 $30.84 $30.84 $30.84 $30.84 $47.00 $51.04 $148.45 $50.83 $84.56 $64.36 $114.99 $167.30 $111.04 $164.34 $71.63 $52.03 $52.03
Net Debt/Share $-83.05 $28.70 $27.14 $20.14 $-162.74 $-183.83 $-53.52 $-90.75 $17.53 $41.90 $135.49 $20.76 $52.60 $31.61 $85.44 $132.64 $76.75 $132.51 $61.41 $-32.64 $-32.64
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.513
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 0.695
Piotroski F-Score 8 6 5 6 6 7 8 6 6 7 7 5 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 4 4
Beneish M-Score -2.28 -2.11 -2.15 -2.10 -2.33 -2.58 -2.44 -2.57 -2.07 -2.01 -2.00 -1.93 -2.06 -2.10 -2.18 -2.30 -3.21 -2.34 -4.44 -1.65 -1.650
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.190
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 2.14%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-1065.42
EVA snapshot only $-3829600.00
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only B+
Credit Score 49.07 56.65 56.83 57.10 58.93 59.92 61.33 62.08 40.67 42.34 36.29 48.40 37.14 42.43 33.75 36.52 36.18 31.83 35.40 30.98 30.979
Credit Grade snapshot only 14
Credit Trend snapshot only -5.540
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 650.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 9
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 16

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