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HCBN OTC

HCB Financial Corp.
1W: +0.0% 1M: +2.9% 3M: +8.2% YTD: +87.5% 1Y: +113.0% 3Y: +305.9% 5Y: +226.2%
$73.11
Last traded 2026-07-01 — delisted
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · $73.1M mcap · Short 54% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 52 Grade A
Profitability
53
Balance Sheet
63
Earnings Quality
89
Growth
57
Value
83
Momentum
78
Safety
80
Cash Flow
63
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. HCBN scores highest in Earnings Quality (89/100) and lowest in Profitability (53/100). An overall grade of A places HCBN among the highest-quality companies in its peer group.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
3.18
Safe Zone
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-4.43
Bankruptcy prob: 1.2%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
AA-
Score: 84.4/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.06x
Accruals: -0.1%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. HCBN scores 3.18, placing it in the Safe Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Bankruptcy is statistically unlikely within the next two years. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. HCBN scores 6/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. HCBN's score of -2.58 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. HCBN's implied 1.2% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. HCBN receives an estimated rating of AA- (score: 84.4/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). HCBN's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
12.76x
PEG
-73.24x
P/S
2.36x
P/B
1.54x
P/FCF
11.35x
P/OCF
10.62x
EV/EBITDA
-12.12x
EV/Revenue
-2.73x
EV/EBIT
-12.12x
EV/FCF
-14.23x
Earnings Yield
8.88%
FCF Yield
8.81%
Shareholder Yield
2.74%
Graham Number
$80.09
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 12.8x earnings, HCBN trades at a reasonable valuation. An earnings yield of 8.9% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $80.09 per share, suggesting a potential 10% margin of safety at the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.858
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.225
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.051
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
13.557
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
13.5%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. HCBN's ROE of 13.5% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 13.56x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$231.00
Price/Value
0.29x
Margin of Safety
70.76%
Premium
-70.76%
Assessment
Neutral
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with HCBN's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. HCBN actually compounded EPS at 35.3% over three years; the model uses 15%, the highest rate it will extrapolate — of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it over the following seven years. HCBN trades at a -71% premium to its adjusted intrinsic value of $231.00, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth beyond what historical earnings support. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 12.8x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$73.11
Median 1Y
$79.38
5th Pctile
$43.16
95th Pctile
$146.06
Ann. Volatility
37.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
ROE 7.8% 8.2% 8.7% 8.3% 6.6% 7.0% 6.0% 7.4% 9.0% 9.1% 12.2% 13.5% 14.3% 15.6% 15.4% 14.8% 15.1% 14.6% 15.0% 13.5% 13.50%
ROA 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.00%
ROIC -20.4% -21.3% -22.6% -21.6% -3.9% -4.1% -3.5% 7.8% 1.0% 9.4% 12.4% 13.0% -4.8% 14.6% 14.4% 13.6% -3.4% -3.4% -3.5% -5.7% -5.73%
ROCE 4.8% 5.1% 5.4% 5.1% 4.2% 4.5% 3.7% 4.6% 6.3% 6.8% 9.4% 9.8% 11.0% 9.0% 0.7% 0.6% 8.0% 10.8% 14.5% 1.2% 1.20%
Gross Margin 1.0% 92.3% 93.0% 93.2% 93.6% 94.0% 93.3% 94.2% 92.4% 92.2% 84.9% 76.1% 74.8% 1.0% 73.5% 71.3% 74.3% 73.0% 76.0% 69.3% 69.34%
Operating Margin 24.5% 18.6% 20.1% 14.8% 11.4% 21.8% 8.3% 23.0% 22.5% 18.5% 26.7% 21.2% 23.9% 31.7% 25.0% 18.9% 25.9% 19.8% 27.2% 16.1% 16.07%
Net Margin 22.3% 17.0% 18.2% 14.1% 11.7% 19.8% 9.5% 21.0% 20.8% 17.9% 23.5% 18.9% 20.7% 28.6% 21.4% 16.6% 21.9% 17.3% 23.0% 14.3% 14.33%
EBITDA Margin -1.3% 18.6% 20.1% 14.8% 11.4% 21.8% 8.3% 23.0% 22.5% 18.5% 26.7% 21.2% 23.9% -29.4% -20.3% 18.9% 25.9% 19.8% 27.2% 16.1% 16.07%
FCF Margin 17.4% 20.5% 23.3% 26.3% 23.7% 20.1% 17.1% 10.2% 7.0% 9.1% 10.1% 13.2% 18.7% 21.8% 23.8% 26.2% 24.1% 21.3% 20.0% 19.2% 19.18%
OCF Margin 24.0% 25.2% 26.4% 28.0% 25.8% 22.4% 19.8% 12.4% 8.3% 10.2% 10.8% 14.2% 19.8% 22.8% 24.7% 27.0% 25.1% 22.3% 21.2% 20.5% 20.49%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only 13.07%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 11.02%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only 0.90%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 11.13%
Cash ROA snapshot only 1.08%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.33%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 22.53%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
P/E Ratio 7.06 8.25 7.94 6.89 10.55 9.16 11.30 9.32 7.09 7.04 4.39 4.55 4.77 4.35 4.07 4.79 5.12 5.90 5.69 11.26 12.759
P/S Ratio 1.36 1.58 1.54 1.24 1.61 1.47 1.58 1.48 1.29 1.25 0.92 0.93 0.97 0.98 0.89 1.02 1.11 1.15 1.13 2.18 2.356
P/B Ratio 0.53 0.65 0.67 0.55 0.70 0.65 0.68 0.73 0.66 0.66 0.54 0.59 0.64 0.64 0.59 0.65 0.73 0.82 0.83 1.42 1.539
P/FCF 7.83 7.73 6.61 4.71 6.80 7.32 9.23 14.47 18.51 13.66 9.09 7.01 5.20 4.49 3.75 3.90 4.59 5.38 5.65 11.35 11.346
P/OCF 5.68 6.28 5.84 4.43 6.27 6.56 7.97 11.92 15.47 12.26 8.52 6.55 4.92 4.30 3.62 3.78 4.42 5.13 5.34 10.62 10.620
EV/EBITDA 547.02 -38.99 -17.40 -14.55 -28.35 -27.39 -33.19 8.90 -2.51 6.70 4.01 4.13 -20.94 7.40 220.68 371.49 -342.71 -52.46 -25.35 -12.12 -12.116
EV/Revenue -2.15 -1.75 -1.64 -1.85 -4.62 -4.70 -4.75 1.48 -0.49 1.25 0.92 0.93 -4.79 0.98 0.89 1.02 -6.70 -6.02 -5.88 -2.73 -2.730
EV/EBIT -10.53 -8.55 -7.83 -9.61 -28.35 -27.39 -33.19 8.90 -2.51 6.70 4.01 4.13 -20.94 5.00 6.57 7.75 -46.98 -34.25 -25.35 -12.12 -12.116
EV/FCF -12.37 -8.56 -7.04 -7.04 -19.45 -23.40 -27.79 14.47 -7.00 13.66 9.09 7.01 -25.57 4.49 3.75 3.90 -27.81 -28.26 -29.33 -14.23 -14.230
Earnings Yield 14.2% 12.1% 12.6% 14.5% 9.5% 10.9% 8.8% 10.7% 14.1% 14.2% 22.8% 22.0% 21.0% 23.0% 24.6% 20.9% 19.5% 17.0% 17.6% 8.9% 8.88%
FCF Yield 12.8% 12.9% 15.1% 21.2% 14.7% 13.7% 10.8% 6.9% 5.4% 7.3% 11.0% 14.3% 19.2% 22.3% 26.6% 25.6% 21.8% 18.6% 17.7% 8.8% 8.81%
Price/Tangible Book snapshot only 1.422
EV/OCF snapshot only -13.319
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only -3.725
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only -12.116
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 2.74%
Graham Number snapshot only $80.09
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 — — 0.39 0.39 0.39 23.01 23.006
Quick Ratio 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 — — 0.39 0.39 0.39 23.01 23.006
Debt/Equity 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.00 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.15 0.147
Net Debt/Equity -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -1.38 -2.72 -2.72 -2.72 0.00 -0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 -3.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 -5.12 -5.12 -5.12 -3.20 -3.204
Debt/Assets 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.012
Debt/EBITDA -434.78 36.10 16.42 11.82 9.55 8.97 11.03 0.00 5.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.89 2.02 0.98 1.00 1.001
Net Debt/EBITDA 893.47 -74.19 -33.74 -24.29 -38.25 -35.95 -44.22 0.00 -9.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 -25.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 -399.32 -62.44 -30.23 -21.78 -21.777
Interest Coverage — 10.11 5.63 3.68 2.34 2.63 2.22 2.69 2.97 2.66 2.40 1.55 1.21 0.78 0.49 0.45 0.49 0.65 0.88 0.86 0.863
Equity Multiplier 11.05 11.05 11.05 11.05 13.06 13.06 13.06 15.32 14.34 14.34 15.85 16.79 15.08 15.75 13.69 14.86 14.82 14.82 14.82 12.42 12.425
Cash Ratio snapshot only 22.750
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 0.863
Cash to Debt snapshot only 22.750
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.850
Defensive Interval snapshot only 3731.9 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.051
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover 4.85 5.10 5.35 5.51 6.79 6.85 6.69 15.79 5.36 13.88 15.95 — 6.50 — — — 7.45 16.67 17.05 34.62 34.616
Payables Turnover 0.00 0.18 0.35 0.51 0.65 0.62 0.59 1.15 0.71 1.54 2.41 — 2.05 — — — 2.00 5.27 5.26 5.38 5.382
DSO 75 72 68 66 54 53 55 23 68 26 23 0 56 0 0 0 49 22 21 11 10.5 days
DIO — 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DPO — 1979 1029 710 560 593 616 316 513 237 151 0 178 0 0 0 183 69 69 68 67.8 days
Cash Conversion Cycle — -1908 -961 -644 -506 -539 -561 -293 -445 -210 -129 0 -122 0 0 0 -134 -47 -48 -57 -57.3 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 3.560
Cash Velocity snapshot only 0.195
Capital Intensity snapshot only 19.022
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 7.5% 13.9% 19.1% 21.0% 9.9% 5.6% -1.8% -0.6% 9.1% 13.2% 33.3% 40.4% 46.0% 39.9% 27.5% 19.1% 12.9% 22.4% 19.6% 17.2% 17.18%
Net Income 18.9% 24.5% 33.2% 21.8% -12.8% -11.7% -29.5% -12.4% 29.7% 25.2% 1.0% 80.3% 63.7% 77.6% 33.5% 24.6% 19.8% 5.6% 8.2% 6.3% 6.31%
EPS 18.9% 24.5% 33.7% 22.2% -11.2% -9.2% -27.5% -10.7% 30.9% 25.2% 1.0% 80.3% 63.7% 77.6% 35.2% 26.1% 21.3% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 8.87%
FCF -2.2% 32.6% 74.6% 1.3% 50.1% 3.5% -28.1% -61.4% -68.0% -48.5% -21.0% 81.6% 2.9% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 45.3% 19.7% 0.6% -14.2% -14.21%
EBITDA -30.4% 16.7% 35.5% 49.0% 46.6% 3.0% 48.8% 29.6% 30.2% 23.0% 1.1% 89.7% 71.8% -0.7% -97.7% -98.5% -90.3% 6.2% 67.4% 95.0% 94.99%
Op. Income 21.6% 27.3% 36.6% 22.4% -14.0% -13.3% -34.2% -15.9% 30.2% 23.0% 1.1% 89.7% 71.8% 91.4% 39.2% 29.2% 23.0% 8.3% 10.7% 8.4% 8.42%
OCF Growth snapshot only -11.10%
Asset Growth snapshot only -4.00%
Equity Growth snapshot only 14.79%
Shares Change snapshot only -2.35%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 34.08%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue 3Y 5.3% 6.4% 7.6% 8.3% 6.6% 6.5% 5.6% 6.9% 8.8% 10.8% 16.0% 19.1% 20.5% 18.7% 18.6% 18.5% 21.6% 24.7% 26.7% 25.1% 25.14%
Revenue 5Y 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 6.1% 6.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 10.3% 12.1% 14.0% 13.8% 14.9% 15.3% 16.3% 18.4% 18.9% 18.7% 18.71%
EPS 3Y 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 10.9% 3.6% 4.8% -0.2% 4.1% 11.4% 12.2% 24.8% 25.3% 24.0% 26.4% 25.3% 26.6% 37.5% 33.6% 43.4% 35.3% 35.26%
EPS 5Y 9.4% 10.6% 12.0% 10.6% 6.2% 7.5% 3.0% 5.4% 8.6% 8.8% 14.6% 17.0% 18.9% 20.7% 21.9% 20.7% 22.4% 21.9% 23.4% 22.0% 21.98%
Net Income 3Y 9.2% 10.3% 10.8% 10.6% 2.9% 3.8% -1.1% 3.1% 10.4% 11.2% 23.5% 24.3% 22.8% 25.2% 23.6% 25.3% 36.5% 32.9% 42.6% 33.6% 33.65%
Net Income 5Y 9.4% 10.6% 12.0% 10.5% 5.8% 6.9% 2.4% 4.8% 8.0% 8.2% 14.0% 16.4% 18.3% 20.0% 21.0% 19.7% 21.4% 20.9% 22.2% 20.5% 20.54%
EBITDA 3Y — — — — — — — — — — — — — 70.0% -58.5% -67.0% -40.0% 9.1% 48.8% 38.5% 38.50%
EBITDA 5Y — -44.6% -37.4% -27.5% -24.4% -12.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Gross Profit 3Y 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 4.0% 4.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.4% 8.2% 12.2% 13.1% 12.4% 12.2% 11.3% 11.1% 14.6% 14.9% 17.0% 15.2% 15.24%
Gross Profit 5Y 5.0% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 4.6% 4.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 6.0% 8.1% 8.7% 9.4% 9.6% 9.7% 9.8% 10.6% 11.2% 11.9% 11.6% 11.56%
Op. Income 3Y 7.1% 8.3% 9.4% 9.0% 0.1% 1.5% -4.3% 1.2% 10.8% 10.7% 24.4% 25.0% 24.4% 26.8% 25.2% 27.3% 40.1% 36.6% 48.8% 38.5% 38.50%
Op. Income 5Y 6.9% 8.5% 10.2% 8.5% 3.7% 5.2% -0.2% 2.4% 6.6% 6.2% 13.0% 15.6% 17.6% 19.7% 21.2% 20.5% 23.5% 23.0% 24.3% 22.3% 22.29%
FCF 3Y 9.5% 17.6% 24.7% 31.0% 20.8% 11.0% 1.3% -15.8% -22.2% -10.9% -0.2% 16.6% 23.6% 21.2% 19.5% 18.2% 22.2% 27.2% 33.6% 54.3% 54.34%
FCF 5Y 28.3% 29.1% 29.7% 30.1% 22.9% 16.0% 9.2% -2.7% -8.8% -2.8% 2.0% 9.5% 17.3% 18.7% 19.8% 20.7% 21.8% 23.1% 24.5% 26.3% 26.26%
OCF 3Y 15.0% 18.7% 22.2% 25.5% 16.3% 7.6% -0.7% -16.3% -24.5% -17.3% -10.8% 1.6% 13.1% 14.7% 16.0% 17.1% 20.5% 24.6% 29.6% 47.9% 47.92%
OCF 5Y 20.3% 21.8% 23.1% 24.3% 18.8% 13.5% 8.2% -2.2% -8.7% -4.2% -0.4% 6.9% 14.0% 15.0% 15.8% 16.4% 16.4% 16.3% 16.3% 16.2% 16.22%
Assets 3Y 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2% 15.6% 13.3% 13.9% 18.8% 21.9% 12.4% 14.9% 11.0% 15.9% 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 6.3% 6.25%
Assets 5Y 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 9.7% 7.7% 8.0% 10.8% 12.5% 12.0% 13.5% 11.1% 14.0% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 12.7% 12.73%
Equity 3Y 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 4.9% 4.9% 1.6% -0.4% 0.1% 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 3.3% 5.0% 6.2% 6.2% 6.2% 13.9% 13.95%
Book Value 3Y 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.4% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.7% 6.1% 7.0% 6.8% 6.8% 15.3% 15.32%
Dividend 3Y 2.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 2.0% 3.6% 4.8% -3.6% -16.9% -19.0% -20.9% -1.8% 25.2% 28.1% 31.6% 15.8% 6.4% 7.5% 8.8% 10.7% 10.72%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.98 0.91 0.83 0.81 0.95 0.93 0.85 0.85 0.95 0.91 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.76 0.81 0.85 0.86 0.87 0.91 0.94 0.939
Earnings Stability 0.93 0.91 0.83 0.93 0.72 0.76 0.26 0.72 0.72 0.76 0.47 0.62 0.66 0.64 0.70 0.77 0.81 0.81 0.83 0.88 0.884
Margin Stability 1.00 0.99 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.94 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.90 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.873
Rev. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.92 0.90 0.87 0.91 0.95 0.95 0.88 0.95 0.88 0.90 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.87 0.90 0.92 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.975
Earnings Smoothness 0.83 0.78 0.72 0.80 0.86 0.88 0.65 0.87 0.74 0.78 0.33 0.43 0.52 0.44 0.71 0.78 0.82 0.95 0.92 0.94 0.939
ROE Trend 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 -0.01 -0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 -0.01 -0.007
Gross Margin Trend 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 -0.05 -0.07 -0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.09 -0.12 -0.10 -0.12 -0.11 -0.09 -0.15 -0.11 -0.09 -0.086
FCF Margin Trend -0.00 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.01 -0.03 -0.10 -0.14 -0.11 -0.10 -0.05 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.06 0.03 -0.01 -0.005
Sustainable Growth Rate 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 5.9% 4.2% 4.5% 3.3% 5.3% 7.6% 7.8% 10.9% 11.5% 11.7% 12.9% 12.8% 12.1% 12.4% 11.7% 12.0% 10.5% 10.54%
Internal Growth Rate 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.78%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 1.24 1.32 1.36 1.55 1.68 1.40 1.42 0.78 0.46 0.57 0.51 0.69 0.97 1.01 1.12 1.27 1.16 1.15 1.07 1.06 1.060
FCF/OCF 0.73 0.81 0.88 0.94 0.92 0.90 0.86 0.82 0.84 0.90 0.94 0.93 0.95 0.96 0.96 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.936
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 0.992
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.910
CapEx/Revenue 6.6% 4.8% 3.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.7% 2.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.31%
Accruals Ratio -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 -0.001
Sloan Accruals snapshot only 0.256
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 3.690
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Dividend Yield 4.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 3.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 3.5% 3.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.44%
Dividend/Share $0.78 $0.78 $0.78 $0.79 $0.83 $0.87 $0.90 $0.70 $0.47 $0.45 $0.43 $0.65 $0.89 $0.91 $0.95 $0.98 $1.06 $1.14 $1.21 $1.32 $1.05
Payout Ratio 30.7% 29.3% 27.6% 29.0% 36.6% 35.9% 43.9% 28.8% 15.7% 14.8% 10.5% 14.8% 18.3% 17.1% 17.2% 17.8% 18.0% 19.8% 20.1% 21.9% 21.94%
FCF Payout Ratio 34.1% 27.5% 23.0% 19.8% 23.6% 28.7% 35.8% 44.7% 41.1% 28.8% 21.7% 22.7% 20.0% 17.6% 15.9% 14.5% 16.2% 18.0% 20.0% 22.1% 22.12%
Total Payout Ratio 30.7% 29.3% 27.6% 29.0% 45.4% 52.4% 73.2% 53.5% 29.3% 21.4% 10.5% 14.8% 18.3% 17.1% 17.2% 17.8% 20.3% 24.3% 26.7% 30.9% 30.89%
Div. Increase Streak 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Chowder Number 0.13 0.09 0.06 0.04 0.07 0.12 0.16 -0.10 -0.42 -0.46 -0.50 -0.04 0.95 1.08 1.23 0.54 0.21 0.26 0.30 0.33 0.329
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.80%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.80%
Total Shareholder Return 4.3% 3.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 5.7% 6.5% 5.7% 4.1% 3.0% 2.4% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 4.2% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 4.7% 2.7% 2.74%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.858
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.30 1.84 1.85 1.75 1.28 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.19 0.16 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.19 0.19 0.23 0.22 0.23 0.20 0.14 0.13 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.23 0.225
Asset Turnover 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.051
Equity Multiplier 10.41 10.41 10.41 10.41 12.05 12.05 12.05 13.07 13.68 13.68 14.43 16.09 14.73 15.09 14.69 15.74 14.94 15.26 14.28 13.56 13.557
Per Share
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $2.54 $2.66 $2.82 $2.71 $2.26 $2.41 $2.05 $2.42 $2.95 $3.02 $4.11 $4.37 $4.84 $5.37 $5.55 $5.51 $5.87 $5.76 $6.03 $6.00 $6.00
Book Value/Share $33.55 $33.55 $33.55 $33.81 $33.80 $34.11 $34.11 $30.98 $31.76 $32.28 $33.08 $33.73 $35.91 $36.71 $38.51 $40.42 $41.39 $41.53 $41.53 $47.51 $47.51
Tangible Book/Share $33.55 $33.55 $33.55 $33.81 $33.80 $34.11 $34.11 $30.98 $31.76 $32.28 $33.08 $33.73 $35.91 $36.71 $38.51 $40.42 $41.39 $41.53 $41.53 $47.51 $47.51
Revenue/Share $13.17 $13.86 $14.53 $15.06 $14.76 $15.04 $14.68 $15.28 $16.25 $17.03 $19.57 $21.45 $23.72 $23.83 $25.25 $25.86 $27.13 $29.65 $30.33 $31.03 $31.03
FCF/Share $2.29 $2.84 $3.39 $3.97 $3.50 $3.02 $2.51 $1.56 $1.13 $1.56 $1.98 $2.84 $4.44 $5.19 $6.02 $6.78 $6.54 $6.32 $6.08 $5.95 $0.00
OCF/Share $3.16 $3.50 $3.84 $4.21 $3.80 $3.37 $2.90 $1.90 $1.35 $1.73 $2.11 $3.04 $4.69 $5.43 $6.24 $6.99 $6.80 $6.62 $6.43 $6.36 $0.00
Cash/Share $68.78 $68.78 $68.78 $69.32 $114.89 $115.94 $115.94 $0.00 $47.19 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $150.18 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $218.75 $219.45 $219.45 $159.25 $0.00
EBITDA/Share $-0.05 $0.62 $1.37 $1.92 $2.40 $2.58 $2.10 $2.54 $3.16 $3.17 $4.49 $4.82 $5.43 $3.15 $0.10 $0.07 $0.53 $3.40 $7.03 $6.99 $6.99
Debt/Share $22.51 $22.51 $22.51 $22.69 $22.94 $23.15 $23.15 $0.00 $18.33 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $13.51 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $6.84 $6.86 $6.86 $7.00 $7.00
Net Debt/Share $-46.27 $-46.27 $-46.27 $-46.63 $-91.95 $-92.79 $-92.79 $0.00 $-28.86 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $-136.68 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $-211.90 $-212.59 $-212.59 $-152.25 $-152.25
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 3.182
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only 2.169
Piotroski F-Score 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 5 6 6 6 5 7 7 6 6 8 7 7 6 6
Beneish M-Score -2.74 -2.74 -2.75 -2.81 -1.98 -2.25 -2.19 -3.08 -1.98 -3.03 -2.47 -1.90 -2.23 -2.44 -2.24 -2.35 -2.51 -1.98 -2.35 -2.58 -2.585
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -4.426
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only 4.30%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-381.77
Credit
Metric Trend Q4'20 Q1'21 Q2'21 Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q1'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only AA-
Credit Score 48.07 49.80 51.45 49.18 44.83 43.97 42.78 30.12 42.49 33.43 39.12 37.63 72.87 44.57 51.49 46.89 85.98 83.19 85.81 84.38 84.376
Credit Grade snapshot only 4
Credit Trend snapshot only 37.481
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 100.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 89
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 79

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