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MDVT OTC

Middlebury National Corporation
1W: +1.3% 1M: +4.6% 3M: +12.4% YTD: +12.7% 1Y: +35.8% 3Y: +100.1% 5Y: +26.4%
$50.19
+0.18 (+0.35%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±1.2%
$49 $50 $50 $51 $51
OTC · Financial Services · Banks - Regional · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 68 · $43.2M mcap · 737223 float · 0.126% daily turnover · Short 53% of daily vol

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ 58 Grade B
Profitability
48
Balance Sheet
55
Earnings Quality
93
Growth
76
Value
70
Momentum
92
Safety
30
Cash Flow
73
The InsiderStreet Scorecard rates companies across eight dimensions: Profitability (margins, ROA, ROE), Balance Sheet (leverage, liquidity, coverage), Earnings Quality (accruals, cash conversion), Growth (revenue and earnings trajectory), Value (P/E, P/B, earnings yield, Graham criteria), Momentum (revenue and earnings acceleration), Safety (Altman Z-Score risk adjustment), and Cash Flow (operating cash flow quality, FCF conversion, cash coverage). The overall score blends 35% quality, 35% value, and 30% momentum, with a penalty for distress-zone Altman scores. MDVT scores highest in Earnings Quality (93/100) and lowest in Safety (30/100). A grade of B indicates above-average fundamentals with room for improvement in select areas.

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman-B Score
1.45
Distress Zone
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
✓ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✓
Beneish M-Score
-2.32
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-1.59
Bankruptcy prob: 16.9%
Moderate
Credit Rating
BBB-
Score: 51.0/100
Trend: Improving
Earnings Quality
100/100
OCF/NI: 1.00x
Accruals: 0.0%
The Altman-B Score replaces the traditional Z-Score for banks and financial institutions. It weights equity-to-assets, return on assets, retained earnings, market value coverage, and cash reserves — metrics that better capture bank solvency than manufacturing-oriented ratios. MDVT scores 1.45, placing it in the Distress Zone (safe > 3.0, distress < 1.5). Historically, companies in this range face elevated bankruptcy risk. The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. MDVT scores 5/9, indicating moderate financial health — some areas of strength offset by weaknesses in others. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. MDVT's score of -2.32 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. MDVT's implied 16.9% bankruptcy probability is elevated and warrants attention to the balance sheet. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. MDVT receives an estimated rating of BBB- (score: 51.0/100), with a improving trend. The Earnings Quality score measures how well reported earnings are backed by real cash. It evaluates the operating cash flow to net income ratio (OCF/NI ≥ 1.0 means every dollar of earnings is cash-backed) and the accruals ratio (the gap between earnings and cash flow relative to assets — lower is better). MDVT's score of 100/100 is high — cash flows strongly support reported earnings.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
8.25x
PEG
-0.51x
P/S
1.70x
P/B
0.96x
P/FCF
7.91x
P/OCF
7.91x
EV/EBITDA
6.31x
EV/Revenue
1.28x
EV/EBIT
6.68x
EV/FCF
7.23x
Earnings Yield
12.65%
FCF Yield
12.65%
Shareholder Yield
0.00%
Graham Number
$49.46
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. At 8.3x earnings, MDVT trades at a deep value multiple. An earnings yield of 12.6% exceeds typical risk-free rates, suggesting equities are being compensated for risk. Graham's intrinsic value formula yields $49.46 per share, 1% below the current price.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.924
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.000
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
0.192
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.033
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
15.994
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
9.3%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. MDVT's ROE of 9.3% is driven by financial leverage (equity multiplier: 15.99x). Note: high leverage means ROE is amplified by debt rather than operational performance. A tax burden ratio of 0.92 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
15.00%
Fair P/E
38.50x
Intrinsic Value
$140.75
Price/Value
0.21x
Margin of Safety
79.46%
Premium
-79.46%
Assessment
Undervalued
Graham's classic formula uses analyst-projected growth to estimate a fair P/E (8.5 + 2g). Our adjusted version replaces that projection with MDVT's realized 15.0% 3-year EPS CAGR, capped at 15% — demonstrated performance rather than forecasts, held to a rate companies have historically sustained. At an intrinsic value of $140.75, MDVT appears undervalued with a 79% margin of safety. The adjusted fair P/E of 38.5x compares to the current market P/E of 8.3x.

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$50.19
Median 1Y
$51.87
5th Pctile
$33.02
95th Pctile
$81.29
Ann. Volatility
28.3%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical
All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
ROE 0.0% 8.6% 2.8% 3.3% 6.4% 20.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.29%
ROA 0.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.58%
ROIC 0.0% 10.4% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 4.8% 6.5% 13.4% 13.41%
ROCE 0.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.57%
Gross Margin 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.00%
Operating Margin 17.2% 20.8% 30.0% 3.6% 16.6% 24.7% 21.7% 14.1% 14.10%
Net Margin 13.8% 15.7% 25.6% 5.4% 15.6% 21.0% 20.4% 14.1% 14.05%
EBITDA Margin -0.0% 76.5% 31.2% 5.3% 18.1% 26.7% 21.7% 15.2% 15.25%
FCF Margin 6.0% 15.0% 31.7% 18.9% 17.9% 17.0% 15.7% 17.7% 17.74%
OCF Margin 6.8% 18.8% 33.3% 19.8% 18.4% 17.0% 15.7% 17.7% 17.74%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.25%
Cash ROA snapshot only 0.59%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 13.41%
CROIC snapshot only 13.41%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 17.74%
Pretax Margin snapshot only 19.20%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only -20.86%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
P/E Ratio 15611.51 7387.77 25.08 24.91 16.65 10.19 10.50 7.91 8.255
P/S Ratio 2149.00 1090.38 6.42 3.94 2.62 1.74 1.65 1.40 1.697
P/B Ratio 0.65 636.24 0.70 0.82 0.99 1.03 1.26 0.97 0.960
P/FCF 35653.83 72.86 20.25 20.77 14.65 10.19 10.50 7.91 7.908
P/OCF 31452.51 58.06 19.30 19.92 14.21 10.19 10.50 7.91 7.908
EV/EBITDA -153418939690356834304.00 27.42 27.22 16.43 20.56 17.44 15.37 6.31 6.306
EV/Revenue 1947.49 1090.05 12.92 4.44 4.97 3.58 2.77 1.28 1.282
EV/EBIT 11343.60 27.37 27.91 17.35 21.87 18.91 16.53 6.68 6.678
EV/FCF 32310.58 72.84 40.75 23.43 27.81 20.98 17.63 7.23 7.230
Earnings Yield 0.0% 0.0% 4.0% 4.0% 6.0% 9.8% 9.5% 12.6% 12.65%
FCF Yield 0.0% 1.4% 4.9% 4.8% 6.8% 9.8% 9.5% 12.6% 12.65%
EV/OCF snapshot only 7.230
EV/Gross Profit snapshot only 1.282
Acquirers Multiple snapshot only 6.678
Shareholder Yield snapshot only 0.00%
Graham Number snapshot only $49.46
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Current Ratio 0.02 — 4.24 6.64 1.54 1.28 0.70 0.05 0.048
Quick Ratio 0.02 — 4.24 6.64 1.54 1.28 0.70 0.05 0.048
Debt/Equity 0.12 0.11 0.50 0.30 0.68 0.78 0.52 0.21 0.213
Net Debt/Equity -0.06 -0.19 0.71 0.10 0.89 1.09 0.86 -0.08 -0.083
Debt/Assets 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.010
Debt/EBITDA -30971272229612937216.00 0.00 9.71 5.28 7.41 6.39 3.79 1.51 1.513
Net Debt/EBITDA 15874590552155484160.00 -0.01 13.69 1.86 9.73 8.97 6.22 -0.59 -0.591
Interest Coverage — — — — — — — — —
Equity Multiplier 10.84 10.58 12.47 13.02 15.70 18.41 23.71 20.90 20.901
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.024
Cash to Debt snapshot only 1.391
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.576
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.033
Inventory Turnover — — — — — — — — —
Receivables Turnover — — — — — — — — —
Payables Turnover — — — — — — — — —
DSO 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 days
DIO — — — — — — — — —
DPO — — — — — — — — —
Cash Conversion Cycle — — — — — — — — —
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 1.604
Cash Velocity snapshot only 2.336
Capital Intensity snapshot only 30.154
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue — — — — 1435.5% 917.2% 2.8% 1.0% 1.02%
Net Income — — — — 1640.7% 1059.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.27%
EPS — — — — 1690.4% 1089.5% 1.3% 1.3% 1.27%
FCF — — — — 4261.3% 9.5% 88.7% 89.2% 89.25%
EBITDA — — — — 27380232068924436480.0% 3.7% 44.6% 52.2% 52.17%
Op. Income — — — — 1421.1% 910.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.26%
OCF Growth snapshot only 81.48%
Asset Growth snapshot only -2.57%
Equity Growth snapshot only -39.32%
Debt Growth snapshot only -56.39%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.00%
Dividend Growth snapshot only -1.00%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Revenue Stability — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Stability — — — — — — — — —
Margin Stability — — — — — — — — —
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
FCF Positive Streak 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 0
Earnings Persistence — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Smoothness — — — — 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.22 0.223
ROE Trend — — — — — — — — —
Gross Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
FCF Margin Trend — — — — — — — — —
Sustainable Growth Rate 0.0% -5.7% 2.3% 2.8% 5.8% 20.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.29%
Internal Growth Rate 0.0% — 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.6% 0.58%
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.50 127.24 1.30 1.25 1.17 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/OCF 0.88 0.80 0.95 0.96 0.97 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
FCF/Net Income snapshot only 1.000
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 0.872
CapEx/Revenue 0.8% 3.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.000
Accruals Ratio 0.00 -1.03 -0.00 -0.00 -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.659
Earnings Quality Score snapshot only 1.000
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Dividend Yield 0.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.35%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.21 $0.22 $0.22 $0.22 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $1.18
Payout Ratio 15.1% 67.6% 16.1% 13.4% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
FCF Payout Ratio 34.4% 66.7% 13.0% 11.2% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Payout Ratio 15.1% 67.6% 16.1% 13.4% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Div. Increase Streak 0 0 0 0 1 — — — —
Chowder Number — — — — 999.18 — — — —
Buyback Yield 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Net Buyback Yield 0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% -0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
Total Shareholder Return 0.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.00%
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.80 0.00 0.55 0.62 0.69 0.90 0.94 0.92 0.924
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.000
EBIT Margin 0.17 39.83 0.46 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.17 0.19 0.192
Asset Turnover 0.00 0.06 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.033
Equity Multiplier 10.84 10.58 12.47 13.02 13.44 18.40 16.43 15.99 15.994
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $0.00 $0.00 $1.34 $1.61 $2.35 $3.39 $3.14 $3.66 $3.66
Book Value/Share $33.34 $0.04 $48.05 $49.00 $39.41 $33.43 $26.17 $29.73 $52.28
Tangible Book/Share $33.10 $0.04 $48.05 $-418.31 $39.41 $33.43 $26.17 $-529.35 $-529.35
Revenue/Share $0.01 $0.02 $5.25 $10.20 $14.95 $19.89 $20.02 $20.61 $29.57
FCF/Share $0.00 $0.32 $1.66 $1.93 $2.67 $3.39 $3.14 $3.66 $3.37
OCF/Share $0.00 $0.40 $1.75 $2.01 $2.76 $3.39 $3.14 $3.66 $4.58
Cash/Share $6.00 $0.01 $-9.91 $9.41 $-8.41 $-10.52 $-8.78 $8.82 $8.06
EBITDA/Share $-0.00 $0.84 $2.49 $2.75 $3.62 $4.08 $3.61 $4.19 $4.19
Debt/Share $3.97 $0.00 $24.17 $14.55 $26.79 $26.06 $13.67 $6.34 $6.34
Net Debt/Share $-2.03 $-0.01 $34.09 $5.13 $35.19 $36.59 $22.44 $-2.48 $-2.48
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Altman-B Score — — — — — — — — 1.449
Altman Z-Prime snapshot only -3.336
Piotroski F-Score 3 4 4 4 7 5 6 5 5
Beneish M-Score — — — — 405.05 389.82 -1.83 -2.32 -2.323
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -1.593
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-574.12
EVA snapshot only $800924.42
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'15 Q3'16 Q1'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BBB-
Credit Score 26.93 87.50 41.13 42.37 41.76 53.72 35.71 50.98 50.983
Credit Grade snapshot only 10
Credit Trend snapshot only 8.614
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 350.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 36
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 34

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms