— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: STRC (NASDAQ) · $vol 195M · STRD (NASDAQ) · $vol 9M · STRK (NASDAQ) · $vol 8M · MSTR.TO (TSX) · $vol 3M · 0A7O.L (LSE) · $vol 2M

MSTR NASDAQ

Strategy Inc
1W: -0.9% 1M: -10.0% 3M: +51.5% YTD: -10.0% 1Y: -51.1% 3Y: +306.3% 5Y: +94.4%
$141.40
+1.58 (+1.13%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±9.6%
$118 $132 $146 $160 $174
NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Application · Tech Score Sell · Power 35 · $56.9B mcap · 364M float · 6.29% daily turnover · Short 48% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 70% of companies Debt: 10.6% of company value Bonds: $319.8M held by 69 funds → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.63 (down 98%), Strategy Inc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $6.77B against a stock market value of $56.90B.
Distance to default 3.43 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $3.37B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 81.0%; Altman Z'' 3.12. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+29.8% YTD avg
Midterm Year
🌧️
Rainy
-2.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+29.8%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-2.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-10.0%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
60%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+7.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.7%
60% win 61% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+11.0%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
55% win 76% vol
Mar
20yr
💨
+18.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.7%
55% win 72% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+15.6%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.6%
55% win 61% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+15.0%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.4%
40% win 64% vol
Jun
20yr
⛈️
+17.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-13.7%
40% win 55% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+20.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.8%
55% win 61% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+15.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.5%
40% win 50% vol
Sep
20yr
💨
+18.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.5%
50% win 49% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+31.6%
Midterm
☁️
+0.2%
67% win 60% vol
Now: -7.6%
Nov
20yr
💨
+47.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
55% win 64% vol
Dec
20yr
⛈️
-3.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.1%
35% win 48% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -10.0%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms