NOG Smart Money
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc.
1W: +2.2%
1M: +23.7%
3M: +33.8%
YTD: +27.9%
1Y: +30.6%
3Y: -21.2%
5Y: +34.6%
$28.15
-0.33 (-1.16%)
After Hours: $28.05 (-0.09, -0.34%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.6%
$26
$27
$28
$30
$31
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 67% of companies Debt: 47.3% of company value Bonds: $254.6M held by 225 funds, 325 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.86 (down 93%), Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.72B against a stock market value of $3.03B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.36B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 45.4%; Altman Z'' -0.03. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.86 (down 93%), Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.72B against a stock market value of $3.03B.
Distance to default 3.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.36B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 45.4%; Altman Z'' -0.03. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026417
Institutions Holding
+22 vs prior
67.2%
Ownership
-42.13%
58
New
129
Increased
181
Reduced
70
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
0 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No insider trades found | |||||||
🏛️ Congressional Trades
5 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-04 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-08-03 | Lisa C. McClain | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-16 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-07-15 | Lisa C. McClain | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2015-01-16 | John Hoeven | Senate | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 16,041,709 | $291M | +322,767 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 8,457,296 | $153M | +483,024 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 7,183,786 | $134M | +643,818 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 6,858,909 | $124M | +276,857 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 6,005,719 | $109M | +491,923 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 4,583,855 | $83M | +79,738 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 4,487,842 | $81M | +341,639 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 2,710,135 | $49M | +267,291 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,301,454 | $42M | +1,763,260 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 2,092,574 | $38M | -521,856 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 1,930,360 | $35M | +536,295 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1,873,765 | $34M | -524,066 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 1,849,231 | $34M | +167,188 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 1,849,231 | $34M | +1,849,231 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Hood River Capital Management LLC | 1,533,460 | $28M | -53,139 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 1,500,013 | $27M | -4,890,520 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 1,474,859 | $27M | +14,784 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DEPRINCE RACE & ZOLLO INC | 1,375,011 | $25M | +205,896 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VOYA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LLC | 1,308,703 | $24M | -7,595 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FIRST TRUST ADVISORS LP | 1,251,573 | $23M | +83,602 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |