TKR Smart Money
The Timken Company
1W: -1.9%
1M: -5.9%
3M: -21.0%
YTD: +28.5%
1Y: +42.8%
3Y: +64.5%
5Y: +65.6%
$113.06
+2.57 (+2.33%)
After Hours: $110.09 (-2.97, -2.62%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$100
$104
$109
$114
$119
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 67% of companies Debt: 21.3% of company value Bonds: $44.8M held by 72 funds, 83 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.10 (down 98%), The Timken Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $7.66B.
Distance to default 7.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.06B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.5%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.10 (down 98%), The Timken Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $7.66B.
Distance to default 7.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.06B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.5%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026669
Institutions Holding
+90 vs prior
121.6%
Ownership
+41.68%
137
New
213
Increased
226
Reduced
57
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | BOLDEA LUCIAN | officer: president and ceo | A-Grant/Award | 30,286 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | BOLDEA LUCIAN | officer: president and ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 3,333 | $119.78 | $399K | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | BOLDEA LUCIAN | officer: president and ceo | A-Grant/Award | 7,918 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-01 | BOLDEA LUCIAN | officer: president and ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 12,750 | $119.78 | $1.5M | Filing |
| 2026-08-10 | Kyle Richard G | director | S-Sale | 13,637 | $126.63 | $1.7M | Filing |
| 2026-06-05 | Rajendra Ajita G | director | S-Sale | 8,450 | $131.34 | $1.1M | Filing |
| 2026-05-27 | Kyle Richard G | director | S-Sale | 8,448 | $127.35 | $1.1M | Filing |
| 2026-05-18 | Kyle Richard G | director | G-Gift | 646 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | Kyle Richard G | director | S-Sale | 37,181 | $117.34 | $4.4M | Filing |
| 2026-05-08 | TIMKEN JOHN M JR | director | S-Sale | 15,000 | $116.51 | $1.7M | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Harrell Elizabeth Ann | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | TIMKEN WARD J JR | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | TIMKEN JOHN M JR | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Leombruno Todd M. | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Rajendra Ajita G | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | MAPES CHRISTOPHER L | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | SULLIVAN FRANK C | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | RYAN KIMBERLY K | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Crowe Maria A | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-05-02 | Lauber Sarah C | director | A-Grant/Award | 2,270 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-13 | TIMKEN WARD J JR | director | G-Gift | 10,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-12 | TIMKEN WARD J JR | director | G-Gift | 52,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-12 | TIMKEN WARD J JR | director | G-Gift | 7,500 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-02-24 | Discenza Michael Anthony | officer: evp, chief financial officer | S-Sale | 1,532 | $109.59 | $168K | Filing |
| 2026-02-24 | Discenza Michael Anthony | officer: evp, chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 293 | $109.59 | $32K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
10 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-17 | Lisa McClain | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-06-11 | Lisa McClain | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2025-06-10 | Lisa C. McClain | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2024-08-26 | Michael McCaul | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2023-11-17 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2023-11-17 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2023-11-01 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2023-11-01 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $15,001 - $50,000 | Filing |
| 2023-09-29 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2023-09-29 | Michael McCaul | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 5,986,764 | $870M | +188,722 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 3,329,199 | $484M | +49,739 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 3,078,676 | $447M | +191,721 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,832,647 | $412M | +8,372 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 2,034,545 | $296M | +63,448 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 1,986,664 | $289M | +66,905 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,816,406 | $264M | +620,397 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BROWN ADVISORY INC | 1,703,339 | $248M | -9,477 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 1,524,927 | $219M | +1,303,050 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC | 1,347,754 | $196M | -481,444 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| EARNEST PARTNERS LLC | 1,135,223 | $165M | -33,361 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1,043,434 | $152M | +221,857 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Nuveen, LLC | 1,008,031 | $146M | +718,638 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 995,434 | $145M | +995,434 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 975,764 | $142M | -1,655 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 968,590 | $141M | -65,521 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WILLIAM BLAIR INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT, LLC | 954,839 | $139M | +949,663 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| SEGALL BRYANT & HAMILL, LLC | 828,448 | $120M | +376,932 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| KEYBANK NATIONAL ASSOCIATION/OH | 828,340 | $120M | +3,449 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | 809,574 | $118M | -710,152 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |