TKR NYSE
The Timken Company
1W: -1.9%
1M: -5.9%
3M: -21.0%
YTD: +28.5%
1Y: +42.8%
3Y: +64.5%
5Y: +65.6%
$113.06
+2.57 (+2.33%)
After Hours: $110.09 (-2.97, -2.62%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$100
$104
$109
$114
$119
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 67% of companies Debt: 21.3% of company value Bonds: $44.8M held by 72 funds, 83 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.10 (down 98%), The Timken Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $7.66B.
Distance to default 7.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.06B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.5%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.10 (down 98%), The Timken Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $2.08B against a stock market value of $7.66B.
Distance to default 7.10 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $1.06B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.5%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-47
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
22
Momentum (25%)
30
Volume (20%)
25
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$114.62
Price vs SMA 50$117.96
Price vs SMA 200$116.82
EMA 9/21 Cross112.14/114.05
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 24
Supertrend$118.35
Parabolic SAR$106.25
SMA Slope-0.210
RSI45.6
Stochastic K/D39/27
Williams %R-38
CCI-52
TSI vs Signal-20.3
CMO-8.7
ROC-1.04%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF-0.020
MFI40
Force Index-100.5K
Elder Ray Bull-0.36
TKR is trading below its falling 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a downtrend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 46 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow near zero at -0.020. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 24 suggests the market is range-bound. Price is 22.7% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $114.62 | $1.54 | -1.34% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $117.96 | $4.88 | -4.14% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $116.82 | $3.74 | -3.20% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $112.14 | +$0.94 | +0.84% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $114.05 | $0.97 | -0.85% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $118.15 | $5.07 | -4.29% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $114.09 | $1.01 | -0.89% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $115.05 | $1.97 | -1.71% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $113.04 | +$0.04 | +0.04% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $110.95 | +$2.13 | +1.92% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $110.95 | +$2.13 | +1.92% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Mixed Volume Signals
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Neutral Flow
Volatility & Range
52-Week
22.7% from high
20-Day
8.2% from high
Bollinger
39th pctile
Donchian
41th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $113.05
Turtle Short Stop: $116.31
S2
$108.73
S1
$109.61
Pivot
$111.02
R1
$111.90
R2
$113.31
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
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Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji