UNP NYSE
Union Pacific Corporation
1W: +3.5%
1M: +8.5%
3M: +0.8%
YTD: +28.7%
1Y: +35.7%
3Y: +48.6%
5Y: +44.9%
$299.88
+2.91 (+0.98%)
After Hours: $299.00 (-0.88, -0.29%)
Weekly Expected Move ±2.6%
$278
$285
$293
$300
$308
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 87% of companies Debt: 15.1% of company value Bonds: $342.7M held by 292 funds, 72 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $2.78 (down 99.1%), Union Pacific Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $31.34B against a stock market value of $176.42B.
Distance to default 12.13 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $16.03B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 22.4%; Altman Z'' 4.84. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $2.78 (down 99.1%), Union Pacific Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $31.34B against a stock market value of $176.42B.
Distance to default 12.13 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $16.03B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 22.4%; Altman Z'' 4.84. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BULLISH
+73
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
100
Momentum (25%)
91
Volume (20%)
81
Volatility (10%)
100
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$284.31
Price vs SMA 50$287.24
Price vs SMA 200$268.97
EMA 9/21 Cross292.41/287.49
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 34
Supertrend$280.09
Parabolic SAR$278.59
SMA Slope1.290
RSI68.5
Stochastic K/D87/85
Williams %R-5
CCI146
TSI vs Signal22.4
CMO36.9
ROC6.23%
OBV SignalAccum
Chaikin MF0.210
MFI86
Force Index5.1M
Elder Ray Bull13.72
UNP is trading above its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, confirming a strong uptrend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 68 shows bullish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is rising (accumulation) with Chaikin Money Flow positive at 0.210. The squeeze is off with positive momentum, suggesting upward pressure. ADX at 34 confirms a trending market. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $284.31 | +$15.65 | +5.50% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $287.24 | +$12.72 | +4.43% | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | $268.97 | +$30.99 | +11.52% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $292.41 | +$7.55 | +2.58% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $287.49 | +$12.47 | +4.34% | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | $285.80 | +$14.16 | +4.95% | Bullish |
| EMA 200 | $270.30 | +$29.66 | +10.97% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $285.08 | +$14.88 | +5.22% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $288.64 | +$11.32 | +3.92% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $291.38 | +$8.58 | +2.94% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $296.34 | +$3.62 | +1.22% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Accumulation
OBV: Accumulation
CMF: Buying Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
5.1% from high
20-Day
0.4% from high
Bollinger
97th pctile
Donchian
96th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $283.95
Turtle Short Stop: $285.94
S2
$291.96
S1
$294.47
Pivot
$295.91
R1
$298.42
R2
$299.86
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
—
3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
—
Bullish Engulfing
—
Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji