— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: VET.TO (TSX) · $vol 14M

VET NYSE

Vermilion Energy Inc.
1W: +3.7% 1M: +21.6% 3M: +36.1% YTD: +65.1% 1Y: +87.0% 3Y: -0.4% 5Y: +48.3%
$13.61
-0.49 (-3.48%)
After Hours: $13.20 (-0.41, -2.98%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$13 $13 $14 $14 $15
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 71 · $2.2B mcap · 151M float · 0.948% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 31.0% of company value Bonds: $69.1M held by 73 funds, 276 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 96%), Vermilion Energy Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $967.7M against a stock market value of $2.15B.
Distance to default 4.22 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $467.1M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.1%; Altman Z'' -1.12. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.

Analyst Insights

Wall Street analyst consensus based on price targets and buy/sell/hold recommendations from institutional research coverage over the trailing 12 months.

Analyst Price Targets
Analyst Recommendations
Strong Buy: 0Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 3Strong Sell: 0
Rating Summary
ConsensusHold
Avg Target$—
Analysts0
Consensus Change History
DateFieldFromTo
2026-03-06 consensus Buy Hold
Price Target Change History
DateFirmAnalystOldNewChangeUpside @ CallStock@Call
2021-06-22 Canaccord Genuity Anthony Petrucci Initiated $14 — +48.7% $9.08

Financial Rating

Composite financial health rating (A+ to F) based on discounted cash flow valuation, return on equity, return on assets, debt-to-equity leverage, and relative P/E and P/B multiples.

C+
Oct 27, 2026
DCF
4
ROE
1
ROA
1
D/E
2
P/E
1
P/B
4
The Financial Rating evaluates six fundamental factors — discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), debt-to-equity leverage (D/E), and relative price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) multiples — each scored 1–5. VET receives an overall rating of C+. Strongest factors: DCF (4/5), P/B (4/5). Areas of concern: ROE (1/5), ROA (1/5), D/E (2/5), P/E (1/5).
Rating Change History
DateFromTo
2026-10-16 B- C+
2026-10-12 C+ B-
2026-10-01 B- C+
2026-09-28 C+ B-
2026-09-25 B- C+
2026-09-22 C+ B-
2026-08-28 B- C+
2026-08-24 C+ B-
2026-08-21 B- C+
2026-07-31 C+ B-

InsiderStreet Scorecard

Proprietary multi-factor scorecard rating companies across seven fundamental dimensions — profitability, balance sheet strength, earnings quality, growth, value, momentum, and safety — each scored 0–100.

★ ★ ★ ★ ★ — Grade D
Profitability
45
Balance Sheet
34
Earnings Quality
27
Growth
24
Value
—
Momentum
29
Safety
—
Cash Flow
55

Risk & Quality Signals

Academic financial models used by institutional investors to assess bankruptcy risk, earnings manipulation, financial strength, and credit quality.

Altman Z-Score
—
—
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
✗ ✓ ✗ ✓ ✓ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗
Beneish M-Score
-2.75
Unlikely Manipulator
Ohlson O-Score
-6.53
Bankruptcy prob: 0.1%
Low Risk
Credit Rating
BB-
Score: 37.1/100
Trend: Deteriorating
Earnings Quality
—
OCF/NI: -2.06x
Accruals: -22.4%
The Piotroski F-Score (2000) is a 9-point binary checklist — four profitability tests (positive ROA, positive cash flow, improving ROA, cash flow exceeding net income), three leverage tests (declining debt ratio, improving current ratio, no share dilution), and two efficiency tests (improving gross margin, improving asset turnover). Each pass scores 1 point. VET scores 3/9, suggesting weak financial fundamentals — the company fails the majority of these accounting tests. The Beneish M-Score (1999) is an 8-variable model that detects earnings manipulation by comparing year-over-year changes in receivables, gross margins, asset quality, sales growth, depreciation, SG&A, leverage, and accruals. Scores above −1.78 statistically resemble past manipulators. VET's score of -2.75 falls below this threshold, suggesting earnings are unlikely to be manipulated. The Ohlson O-Score (1980) is a 9-variable logistic regression that estimates bankruptcy probability using firm size, leverage, working capital, current ratio, profitability (ROA), cash flow coverage, negative equity flag, consecutive losses flag, and earnings trajectory. The raw score is converted to a probability via logistic transformation. VET's implied 0.1% bankruptcy probability is well within safe territory. Our Credit Rating model scores companies on five weighted components — solvency (30%), earning power (25%), leverage (20%), liquidity (15%), and cash flow quality (10%) — then blends the absolute score with sector and industry peer rankings. For companies with large buyback programs, equity is adjusted by adding back cumulative 5-year repurchases (capped at 80% of FCF generated) to avoid penalizing shareholder-friendly capital allocation. VET receives an estimated rating of BB- (score: 37.1/100), with a deteriorating trend.

Valuation

Key valuation multiples comparing the stock's market price to its earnings, revenue, book value, and cash flows. Lower multiples may indicate relative undervaluation versus peers.

P/E
-6.47x
PEG
0.04x
P/S
1.57x
P/B
1.36x
P/FCF
—
P/OCF
—
EV/EBITDA
—
EV/Revenue
—
EV/EBIT
—
EV/FCF
—
Earnings Yield
—
FCF Yield
—
Shareholder Yield
—
Graham Number
—
Equity-based multiples (P/E, P/B, P/FCF) compare the stock price to per-share fundamentals and are affected by capital structure. Enterprise value multiples (EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue, EV/FCF) strip out debt and cash, making them more useful for cross-company comparisons regardless of how companies are financed. The Graham Number — √(22.5 × EPS × Book Value) — is Benjamin Graham's formula for the maximum price a defensive investor should pay. VET currently has negative earnings — the P/E ratio is not meaningful.

DuPont Decomposition (5-Factor)

The 5-factor DuPont framework breaks Return on Equity into its component drivers — tax efficiency, interest burden, operating profitability, asset utilization, and financial leverage — to reveal what truly drives shareholder returns.

Tax Burden
0.902
NI / EBT
×
Interest Burden
1.022
EBT / EBIT
×
EBIT Margin
-0.260
EBIT / Rev
×
Asset Turnover
0.305
Rev / Assets
×
Equity Multiplier
2.512
Assets / Equity
=
ROE
-18.4%
The 5-factor DuPont identity decomposes ROE as: Tax Burden × Interest Burden × EBIT Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier = ROE. This reveals whether returns are driven by operating performance, financial leverage, or tax efficiency — three very different sources of profitability. VET's ROE of -18.4% is driven by Asset Turnover (0.305), indicating efficient use of assets to generate revenue. A tax burden ratio of 0.90 indicates minimal tax leakage — the company retains over 90% of pre-tax earnings.

Graham-Dodd Adjusted Valuation

Our adaptation of Graham's growth formula (Fair P/E = 8.5 + 2g) from The Intelligent Investor. The classic version relies on analyst growth projections, which can be unreliable. This adjusted model substitutes the company's realized 3-year EPS CAGR — a backward-looking, verifiable measure of actual earnings power — grounding the valuation in demonstrated performance rather than forecasts.

Two adjustments we make, and why. Growth is capped at 15%. Graham defined g as expected growth over the next seven to ten years, not last year's rate. Across US companies since 1994 the median realized 7-year EPS growth is 5–8% regardless of how fast a company grew beforehand, and of 4,457 company-quarters that grew faster than 200%, none sustained it. Uncapped, the formula assigned fair multiples in the hundreds to companies that had never held that rate — and scored worse than simply reading the P/E. Capped, it carries real information. The verdict has three states, not two. Tested over 377,249 stock-months, this ratio only separates outcomes at its extremes: below 0.25 beat the universe by 1.3 points a year, above 3.0 lagged by 2.7, and everything in between sat inside a one-point band. Rather than call two-thirds of the market "undervalued" on a threshold of 1.0, we say Neutral where the model cannot tell — which is most of the time.

Adj. Growth Rate
0.00%
Fair P/E
8.50x
Intrinsic Value
—
Price/Value
—
Margin of Safety
—
Premium
—

Profitability Trends

Historical profitability ratios tracking how efficiently the company converts revenue into returns for shareholders over time.

Leverage & Solvency Trends

Debt and liquidity metrics showing the company's financial leverage and ability to meet short-term and long-term obligations.

Efficiency & Working Capital Trends

Operating efficiency metrics measuring how quickly the company converts inventory to sales, collects receivables, and manages its cash conversion cycle.

Growth Trends (YoY %)

Year-over-year growth rates for key financial metrics, showing the trajectory of revenue, earnings, and cash flow generation.

Earnings Stability

R-squared of linear regression measuring how predictably revenue, earnings, and margins follow a trend over the trailing 5 years. 1.0 = perfectly predictable; lower values indicate erratic or cyclical behavior.

Monte Carlo Price Simulation

Geometric Brownian Motion with 1,000 antithetic paths over 1 year, seeded from 1800 days of historical volatility. Percentile bands show the range of statistically plausible outcomes — this is a statistical model, not a forecast.

Current Price
$13.61
Median 1Y
$11.16
5th Pctile
$3.71
95th Pctile
$33.99
Ann. Volatility
66.4%
25th–75th percentile 5th–95th percentile Median path Historical

Workforce & Productivity

Workforce efficiency metrics measuring revenue, profit, and R&D spend per employee — key indicators of operational leverage and human capital productivity.

Employees
—
Revenue / Employee
—
Rev: $1,763,702,526
Profit / Employee
—
NI: $-653,068,358
SGA / Employee
—
Avg labor cost proxy

Scaling Efficiency

All Ratios & Metrics

Complete fundamental data with up to 20 periods of history, sparkline trends, and current values across 13 categories and 130+ financial metrics.

Profitability
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
ROE 55.0% 76.8% 49.9% 37.2% 54.6% 48.0% 46.1% 36.1% 28.5% -7.4% -18.2% -24.8% -24.7% -1.6% -1.2% -6.7% -8.4% -26.0% -33.0% -18.4% -18.38%
ROA 15.1% 22.9% 17.1% 14.4% 20.4% 20.4% 20.9% 17.5% 14.0% -3.6% -9.0% -12.4% -12.6% -0.8% -0.5% -2.9% -3.9% -11.4% -12.9% -7.3% -7.32%
ROIC 17.9% 26.7% 37.7% 37.8% 44.7% 35.3% 31.0% 24.8% 14.8% 11.4% 7.2% 2.5% 3.5% 4.6% 4.4% 5.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.7% 10.5% 10.50%
ROCE 20.6% 28.8% 19.8% 19.5% 29.8% 35.9% 34.6% 27.9% 21.3% -7.9% -10.5% -14.3% -14.1% 0.8% 0.5% 4.2% 4.0% -3.7% -9.5% -9.8% -9.85%
Gross Margin 74.7% 81.4% 82.5% 82.6% 83.5% 79.6% 67.1% 62.6% 55.5% 39.0% 51.4% 52.2% 53.0% 58.3% 58.6% 52.7% 58.9% 6.6% 25.4% 31.8% 31.84%
Operating Margin 70.6% 78.0% 77.1% 79.6% 81.2% 77.2% 58.1% 56.7% 0.0% 5.7% 11.3% 4.8% 10.8% 16.1% 19.1% 9.2% 53.0% -0.8% 20.8% 25.9% 25.92%
Net Margin -30.1% 48.7% 38.4% 46.8% 30.7% 51.1% 78.4% 30.1% 10.9% -1.4% 0.4% -21.6% 10.2% -3.6% 2.6% -49.4% 0.6% -1.0% -29.8% 25.9% 25.87%
EBITDA Margin -1.4% 75.5% 58.1% 91.0% 70.5% 1.4% 80.2% 75.3% 45.5% -1.1% 46.2% 27.1% 53.7% 19.8% 40.6% 74.0% 59.0% -53.7% -6.7% 61.6% 61.62%
FCF Margin 29.2% 24.3% 29.5% 34.0% 33.5% 39.8% 42.5% 32.4% 25.2% 28.6% 24.3% 32.2% 33.7% 17.3% 13.7% 6.8% 18.7% 16.0% 16.6% 18.1% 18.13%
OCF Margin 48.8% 44.1% 45.9% 49.2% 50.6% 57.2% 63.8% 58.7% 53.2% 51.3% 48.1% 53.7% 55.1% 49.7% 45.0% 37.0% 51.3% 49.4% 49.1% 49.5% 49.54%
ROE 3Y Avg snapshot only -18.90%
ROE 5Y Avg snapshot only 1.10%
ROA 3Y Avg snapshot only -8.08%
ROIC 3Y Avg snapshot only -2.29%
ROIC Economic snapshot only 10.36%
Cash ROA snapshot only 16.78%
Cash ROIC snapshot only 26.81%
CROIC snapshot only 9.81%
NOPAT Margin snapshot only 19.40%
Pretax Margin snapshot only -26.62%
R&D / Revenue snapshot only 0.00%
SGA / Revenue snapshot only 5.92%
SBC / Revenue snapshot only 0.32%
Valuation
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
P/E Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — -6.471
P/S Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.575
P/B Ratio — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 1.357
P/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
P/OCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBITDA — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/Revenue — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/EBIT — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EV/FCF — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Earnings Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
PEG Ratio snapshot only 0.041
Leverage & Solvency
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Current Ratio 0.51 0.63 0.52 0.55 0.61 0.80 0.83 0.85 0.90 1.18 1.16 1.09 1.25 0.95 0.71 1.94 0.81 0.84 0.63 1.00 0.999
Quick Ratio 0.49 0.61 0.50 0.53 0.58 0.78 0.80 0.83 0.86 1.10 1.11 1.02 1.19 0.89 0.64 1.84 0.71 0.76 0.58 0.90 0.900
Debt/Equity 1.05 0.83 0.62 0.59 0.51 0.33 0.26 0.25 0.26 0.31 0.32 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.67 0.74 0.49 0.59 0.64 0.63 0.627
Net Debt/Equity 1.05 0.83 0.61 0.59 0.50 0.33 0.23 0.24 0.26 0.27 0.24 0.26 0.29 0.32 0.66 0.72 0.47 0.58 0.63 0.59 0.589
Debt/Assets 0.32 0.29 0.23 0.25 0.22 0.16 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.27 0.30 0.22 0.24 0.23 0.25 0.247
Debt/EBITDA 1.15 0.83 0.87 0.95 0.64 0.40 0.35 0.39 0.49 3.01 5.41 -26.40 -153.44 1.40 2.71 2.09 1.41 2.15 3.90 4.44 4.436
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.15 0.83 0.87 0.95 0.64 0.39 0.31 0.37 0.49 2.56 3.98 -19.39 -124.86 1.22 2.67 2.02 1.36 2.12 3.85 4.17 4.168
Interest Coverage 13.06 20.36 14.86 14.61 21.87 26.46 24.07 19.76 16.16 -5.12 -7.14 -9.54 -9.40 0.53 0.33 2.21 1.71 -1.33 -3.59 -4.21 -4.214
Equity Multiplier 3.31 2.86 2.66 2.34 2.29 2.06 1.93 1.88 1.86 2.06 2.12 2.18 2.11 2.18 2.46 2.49 2.20 2.41 2.71 2.54 2.539
Cash Ratio snapshot only 0.143
Debt Service Coverage snapshot only 2.659
Cash to Debt snapshot only 0.060
FCF to Debt snapshot only 0.249
Defensive Interval snapshot only 1237.6 days
Efficiency & Turnover
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.38 0.42 0.46 0.50 0.49 0.43 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.29 0.30 0.305
Inventory Turnover 24.18 29.29 20.89 19.10 20.22 28.59 21.91 26.37 24.65 23.27 31.71 30.72 36.64 18.36 21.65 16.95 22.94 23.83 26.49 21.64 21.636
Receivables Turnover 6.40 7.22 7.22 9.42 9.22 9.03 7.98 7.81 6.38 6.48 5.88 7.38 6.92 7.20 5.92 7.72 8.63 6.82 6.31 6.59 6.591
Payables Turnover 1.58 1.33 1.42 1.35 1.34 1.23 1.38 1.46 1.75 2.08 2.29 2.60 2.88 2.23 1.84 2.40 2.25 2.35 2.37 3.17 3.171
DSO 57 51 51 39 40 40 46 47 57 56 62 49 53 51 62 47 42 54 58 55 55.4 days
DIO 15 12 17 19 18 13 17 14 15 16 12 12 10 20 17 22 16 15 14 17 16.9 days
DPO 231 275 256 270 273 296 265 250 209 176 160 141 127 163 198 152 162 156 154 115 115.1 days
Cash Conversion Cycle -159 -212 -188 -212 -215 -243 -203 -189 -137 -104 -86 -79 -64 -93 -119 -83 -104 -87 -82 -43 -42.8 days
Fixed Asset Turnover snapshot only 0.409
Operating Cycle snapshot only 72.3 days
Cash Velocity snapshot only 22.738
Capital Intensity snapshot only 2.952
Growth (YoY)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 37.4% 86.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 67.4% 26.8% -5.3% -28.8% -37.0% -29.4% -21.4% -9.8% -2.5% -3.5% 3.1% 0.1% -2.0% -8.7% -10.5% -10.48%
Net Income 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 2.5% 69.1% 14.3% 51.1% 39.2% -23.9% -1.2% -1.4% -1.7% -1.9% 80.3% 94.5% 77.6% 71.8% -13.0% -22.9% -1.4% -1.41%
EPS 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% -0.0% 62.5% 13.4% 51.6% 40.7% -22.9% -1.2% -1.4% -1.7% -1.9% 80.0% 94.2% 76.8% 70.7% -13.7% -23.3% -1.4% -1.41%
FCF 1.1% 2.5% 4.5% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 82.5% -10.0% -46.6% -54.8% -59.6% -21.7% 20.8% -40.8% -45.6% -78.2% -44.5% -9.5% 10.5% 1.4% 1.38%
EBITDA 1.9% 3.8% 53.9% -1.3% 43.9% 39.0% 70.5% 46.4% -10.5% -89.0% -93.7% -1.0% -1.0% 1.3% 3.0% 26.1% 141.4% -16.9% -53.0% -68.2% -68.15%
Op. Income 84.5% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 1.8% 91.0% 31.0% -11.9% -54.4% -77.8% -84.9% -93.9% -85.1% -60.9% -20.1% 1.6% 1.8% 72.9% 36.8% 56.0% 56.03%
OCF Growth snapshot only 19.99%
Asset Growth snapshot only -18.13%
Equity Growth snapshot only -19.70%
Debt Growth snapshot only -32.35%
Shares Change snapshot only 0.10%
Dividend Growth snapshot only 32.63%
Growth (CAGR)
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue 3Y -1.4% 4.1% 7.1% 11.0% 17.7% 20.9% 22.6% 26.9% 27.2% 25.4% 25.3% 17.7% 10.6% 0.9% -4.8% -8.5% -13.7% -15.6% -14.7% -10.2% -10.17%
Revenue 5Y 11.5% 16.5% 18.9% 21.5% 24.4% 23.6% 20.3% 14.9% 7.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 4.7% 10.6% 13.2% 13.5% 11.6% 8.5% 8.51%
EPS 3Y — 58.9% 43.9% 30.8% 48.6% 2.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EPS 5Y — — — 52.5% 78.9% 74.2% 89.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 3Y — 61.4% 48.0% 34.1% 52.7% 2.4% — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Income 5Y — — — 62.6% 91.1% 84.0% 1.0% — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
EBITDA 3Y 38.0% 42.0% 26.9% 20.6% 33.4% 46.7% 51.0% 55.1% 55.1% -10.0% -45.1% — — -29.3% -24.4% -16.7% -25.7% -40.4% -50.8% -49.9% -49.92%
EBITDA 5Y 33.0% 42.3% 31.7% 27.0% 37.4% 40.1% 37.6% 35.1% 27.6% -15.2% -26.1% — — -4.3% -2.7% 8.0% 11.3% 7.0% -20.8% -28.9% -28.92%
Gross Profit 3Y 5.3% 15.0% 21.1% 30.2% 42.7% 44.4% 44.9% 46.5% 36.8% 27.8% 21.6% 8.7% -0.9% -9.3% -14.8% -19.1% -23.6% -30.6% -34.5% -33.7% -33.68%
Gross Profit 5Y 27.7% 36.1% 35.5% 37.1% 39.4% 37.3% 32.1% 23.7% 12.0% 3.6% 0.9% -0.0% 1.9% 3.9% 7.8% 13.4% 14.3% 10.5% 2.0% -6.0% -5.96%
Op. Income 3Y 37.9% 53.3% 63.3% 83.7% 1.3% 96.3% 79.1% 69.7% 32.3% 9.4% -11.5% -44.9% -42.9% -45.0% -45.9% -48.0% -42.7% -46.8% -45.1% -37.1% -37.11%
Op. Income 5Y — — — 1.2% 1.0% 86.5% 75.2% 54.2% 26.9% 8.9% -2.9% -19.7% -4.3% -8.0% -7.0% -4.9% -0.9% -2.4% -5.4% -7.4% -7.35%
FCF 3Y 1.2% 2.1% 2.5% 1.3% 73.8% 61.4% 51.2% 51.1% 39.0% 62.6% 59.3% 23.2% 16.0% -9.8% -26.3% -46.5% -29.0% -37.7% -37.6% -25.9% -25.94%
FCF 5Y 18.6% 22.2% 23.9% 29.0% 41.0% 38.7% 50.9% 52.3% 67.3% 1.0% 1.0% 55.2% 27.7% 2.4% -5.4% -10.1% 12.5% 18.1% 19.4% -0.6% -0.61%
OCF 3Y -2.8% 1.0% 7.8% 15.6% 26.1% 30.1% 27.5% 27.8% 26.2% 27.0% 42.7% 21.7% 15.2% 5.1% -5.4% -16.8% -13.3% -19.6% -21.8% -15.1% -15.09%
OCF 5Y 6.9% 10.4% 11.7% 16.8% 21.1% 25.0% 25.7% 19.6% 8.5% 4.8% 3.3% 4.6% 7.0% 3.3% -0.1% 1.3% 11.8% 13.5% 21.2% 8.9% 8.91%
Assets 3Y -1.0% -2.0% -0.1% 1.3% 3.5% 6.0% 18.6% 18.1% 20.2% 14.9% 10.2% 4.6% 1.9% 1.2% 4.5% 2.2% -3.4% -8.6% -8.6% -8.5% -8.55%
Assets 5Y 8.0% 7.6% 9.2% 9.4% 10.5% 12.0% 11.7% 4.8% 3.9% -0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 10.1% 9.0% 7.6% 5.4% 3.3% 0.3% 0.31%
Equity 3Y -11.8% -9.8% -5.2% 0.5% 4.5% 11.5% 48.6% 54.8% 57.9% 48.5% 28.3% 15.0% 18.4% 10.8% 7.4% 0.2% -2.1% -13.3% -18.4% -17.3% -17.29%
Book Value 3Y -13.5% -11.2% -7.9% -2.0% 1.7% 10.0% 45.2% 51.9% 55.3% 47.9% 27.8% 15.9% 18.6% 11.0% 10.2% 2.9% 0.6% -11.4% -15.8% -15.3% -15.32%
Dividend 3Y — — — — — — — 71.8% 41.5% 23.4% 12.1% 10.2% 6.7% 5.8% 7.7% 6.6% 5.9% 12.8% 13.6% 12.5% 12.53%
Growth Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Revenue Stability 0.16 0.28 0.32 0.36 0.45 0.55 0.64 0.61 0.37 0.26 0.21 0.12 0.06 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.16 0.160
Earnings Stability 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.10 0.15 0.15 0.36 0.32 0.30 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.56 0.555
Margin Stability 0.76 0.73 0.75 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.76 0.78 0.83 0.79 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.77 0.76 0.76 0.78 0.76 0.72 0.69 0.694
Rev. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
Earn. Growth Consistency 0.50 0.50 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.000
FCF Positive Streak 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Earnings Persistence 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.84 0.90 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.500
Earnings Smoothness — — 0.00 0.98 0.49 0.87 0.59 0.67 0.73 — — — — — — — — — — — —
ROE Trend 1.10 1.37 0.87 0.77 0.97 0.93 0.07 -0.07 -0.18 -0.55 -0.59 -0.60 -0.63 -0.17 -0.10 -0.08 -0.07 -0.25 -0.29 -0.03 -0.026
Gross Margin Trend 0.17 0.24 0.26 0.25 0.22 0.19 0.12 0.04 -0.07 -0.23 -0.27 -0.29 -0.27 -0.15 -0.10 -0.07 -0.01 -0.09 -0.18 -0.22 -0.220
FCF Margin Trend 0.14 0.09 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.21 0.22 0.01 -0.06 -0.03 -0.12 -0.01 0.04 -0.17 -0.20 -0.25 -0.11 -0.07 -0.02 -0.01 -0.014
Sustainable Growth Rate 55.0% 76.8% 49.9% 36.7% 53.7% 46.8% 44.7% 34.5% 26.8% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Internal Growth Rate 17.8% 29.8% 20.6% 16.7% 25.2% 24.8% 25.4% 20.0% 15.1% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Cash Flow Quality
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
OCF/Net Income 0.96 0.73 1.13 1.58 1.24 1.38 1.32 1.28 1.22 -4.31 -1.61 -1.31 -1.32 -20.71 -26.22 -4.15 -4.37 -1.44 -1.09 -2.06 -2.065
FCF/OCF 0.60 0.55 0.64 0.69 0.66 0.70 0.67 0.55 0.47 0.56 0.51 0.60 0.61 0.35 0.30 0.18 0.36 0.32 0.34 0.37 0.366
FCF/Net Income snapshot only -0.756
OCF/EBITDA snapshot only 3.015
CapEx/Revenue 19.6% 19.8% 16.4% 15.2% 17.0% 17.4% 21.3% 26.3% 28.0% 22.7% 23.8% 21.5% 21.4% 32.3% 31.3% 30.2% 32.6% 33.4% 32.5% 31.4% 31.41%
CapEx/Depreciation snapshot only 0.740
Accruals Ratio 0.01 0.06 -0.02 -0.08 -0.05 -0.08 -0.07 -0.05 -0.03 -0.19 -0.24 -0.29 -0.29 -0.16 -0.14 -0.15 -0.21 -0.28 -0.27 -0.22 -0.224
Sloan Accruals snapshot only -0.223
Cash Flow Adequacy snapshot only 1.344
Dividends & Buybacks
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Dividend Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — 2.79%
Dividend/Share $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.06 $0.12 $0.20 $0.27 $0.31 $0.35 $0.38 $0.40 $0.42 $0.44 $0.45 $0.48 $0.49 $0.50 $0.64 $0.66 $0.65 $0.54
Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 6.1% — — — — — — — — — — — —
FCF Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.7% 6.3% 10.5% 10.9% 13.0% 10.5% 10.5% 21.6% 27.7% 53.8% 20.7% 32.2% 33.4% 30.0% 30.00%
Total Payout Ratio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.2% 7.2% 7.9% 10.5% 15.2% 13.0% — — — — — — — — — — — —
Div. Increase Streak — — — 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Chowder Number — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Net Buyback Yield — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Total Shareholder Return — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
DuPont Factors
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Tax Burden (NI/EBT) 0.71 0.77 0.84 0.77 0.79 0.64 0.65 0.64 0.64 0.85 1.01 0.95 0.96 1.18 0.51 -1.33 -2.55 2.11 1.40 0.90 0.902
Interest Burden (EBT/EBIT) 1.04 1.00 1.09 1.05 0.95 0.94 1.00 1.05 1.09 0.64 1.05 1.10 1.11 -0.87 -2.06 0.55 0.42 1.75 1.28 1.02 1.022
EBIT Margin 0.68 0.79 0.44 0.38 0.54 0.69 0.74 0.69 0.62 -0.22 -0.28 -0.39 -0.39 0.02 0.02 0.12 0.11 -0.09 -0.25 -0.26 -0.260
Asset Turnover 0.30 0.38 0.42 0.46 0.50 0.49 0.43 0.38 0.32 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.32 0.30 0.32 0.33 0.33 0.29 0.30 0.305
Equity Multiplier 3.64 3.35 2.92 2.57 2.67 2.36 2.21 2.07 2.04 2.06 2.01 2.01 1.97 2.11 2.29 2.33 2.15 2.28 2.56 2.51 2.512
Per Share
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
EPS (Diluted TTM) $4.61 $7.09 $5.54 $4.99 $7.49 $8.04 $8.40 $7.02 $5.78 $-1.45 $-3.76 $-5.13 $-5.16 $-0.29 $-0.22 $-1.19 $-1.51 $-4.27 $-5.33 $-2.86 $-2.86
Book Value/Share $10.71 $12.76 $13.83 $15.85 $17.15 $20.84 $22.52 $22.84 $23.15 $18.53 $18.22 $17.57 $17.87 $17.45 $18.52 $17.29 $17.48 $14.51 $13.42 $13.87 $14.12
Tangible Book/Share $10.71 $12.76 $13.83 $15.85 $17.15 $20.84 $22.52 $22.84 $23.15 $18.53 $18.22 $17.57 $17.87 $17.45 $18.52 $17.29 $17.48 $14.51 $13.42 $13.87 $13.87
Revenue/Share $9.10 $11.69 $13.67 $16.02 $18.42 $19.42 $17.38 $15.33 $13.29 $12.21 $12.58 $12.52 $12.38 $12.09 $12.77 $13.34 $12.88 $12.48 $11.87 $11.93 $12.14
FCF/Share $2.66 $2.84 $4.04 $5.45 $6.18 $7.73 $7.39 $4.96 $3.34 $3.49 $3.06 $4.03 $4.17 $2.10 $1.75 $0.91 $2.41 $2.00 $1.97 $2.16 $2.21
OCF/Share $4.44 $5.15 $6.28 $7.88 $9.31 $11.11 $11.09 $8.99 $7.07 $6.26 $6.05 $6.72 $6.82 $6.01 $5.74 $4.93 $6.60 $6.17 $5.83 $5.91 $6.02
Cash/Share $0.00 $0.04 $0.03 $0.00 $0.05 $0.08 $0.59 $0.30 $0.00 $0.86 $1.56 $1.66 $1.19 $0.82 $0.15 $0.44 $0.30 $0.12 $0.11 $0.52 $0.53
EBITDA/Share $9.83 $12.70 $9.82 $9.83 $13.59 $17.52 $16.80 $14.54 $12.33 $1.92 $1.09 $-0.24 $-0.04 $4.52 $4.59 $6.16 $6.05 $3.96 $2.20 $1.96 $1.96
Debt/Share $11.28 $10.57 $8.53 $9.34 $8.69 $6.94 $5.84 $5.70 $6.03 $5.79 $5.88 $6.26 $6.36 $6.32 $12.41 $12.86 $8.55 $8.50 $8.55 $8.69 $8.69
Net Debt/Share $11.28 $10.53 $8.50 $9.33 $8.64 $6.86 $5.24 $5.40 $6.03 $4.92 $4.32 $4.60 $5.18 $5.51 $12.26 $12.42 $8.26 $8.38 $8.45 $8.17 $8.17
Academic Models
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Altman Z-Score — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — —
Piotroski F-Score 6 7 7 6 8 7 8 7 6 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 4 5 3 3
Beneish M-Score -1.92 -1.36 -1.68 -1.98 -2.19 -2.70 -3.02 -2.86 -2.81 -3.36 -3.13 -3.84 -4.00 -3.31 -3.50 -3.08 -3.95 0.31 -2.24 -2.75 -2.751
Ohlson O-Score snapshot only -6.530
ROIC (Greenblatt) snapshot only -10.64%
Net-Net WC snapshot only $-17.68
EVA snapshot only $17134117.99
Credit
Metric Trend Q3'21 Q4'21 Q1'22 Q2'22 Q3'22 Q4'22 Q1'23 Q2'23 Q3'23 Q4'23 Q1'24 Q2'24 Q3'24 Q4'24 Q1'25 Q2'25 Q3'25 Q4'25 Q1'26 Q2'26 Current
Credit Rating snapshot only BB-
Credit Score 60.70 68.28 74.99 76.80 80.10 80.26 79.95 80.14 79.92 49.08 47.64 54.58 55.44 53.53 39.37 55.38 52.01 41.02 36.77 37.12 37.119
Credit Grade snapshot only 13
Credit Trend snapshot only -18.259
Implied Spread (bps) snapshot only 550.000
Industry Credit Rank snapshot only 30
Sector Credit Rank snapshot only 28

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