— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: VET.TO (TSX) · $vol 14M

VET NYSE

Vermilion Energy Inc.
1W: +3.7% 1M: +21.6% 3M: +36.1% YTD: +65.1% 1Y: +87.0% 3Y: -0.4% 5Y: +48.3%
$13.61
-0.49 (-3.48%)
After Hours: $13.20 (-0.41, -2.98%)
Weekly Expected Move ±3.9%
$13 $13 $14 $14 $15
NYSE · Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 69 · $2.2B mcap · 151M float · 0.948% daily turnover · Short 45% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 31.0% of company value Bonds: $69.1M held by 73 funds, 276 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
If the stock fell to about $0.54 (down 96%), Vermilion Energy Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $967.7M against a stock market value of $2.15B.
Distance to default 4.22 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $467.1M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.1%; Altman Z'' -1.12. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+6.3% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+19.7% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+6.3%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+19.7%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+59.4%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
42%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
-0.1%
Midterm
☀️
+7.4%
38% win 44% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+3.1%
Midterm
☀️
+11.5%
62% win 44% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+3.2%
Midterm
☀️
+18.8%
44% win 77% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+2.8%
Midterm
☀️
+18.5%
56% win 57% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
+3.7%
Midterm
☀️
+30.1%
44% win 45% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+3.9%
Midterm
☀️
+23.7%
62% win 51% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+1.9%
Midterm
☀️
+34.6%
50% win 43% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+1.2%
Midterm
☀️
+37.1%
38% win 41% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
+3.8%
Midterm
☀️
+21.9%
59% win 47% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
+5.5%
Midterm
☀️
+19.2%
59% win 42% vol
Now: +19.5%
Nov
20yr
💨
+1.3%
Midterm
⛅
+2.6%
56% win 52% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+1.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-1.4%
56% win 42% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +59.4%

Sign in to InsiderStreet

You'll also get our free weekly newsletter with
smart money signals, market insights, and alpha ideas.
Unsubscribe anytime.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms