— Know what they know.
Not Investment Advice
Also trades as: CUK (NYSE) · $vol 85M · CCL.L (LSE) · $vol 29M · 0EV1.L (LSE) · $vol 2M · POH1.DE (XETRA) · $vol 1M

CCL NYSE

Carnival Corporation & plc
1W: +1.6% 1M: +20.7% 3M: -4.3% YTD: -12.7% 1Y: -8.8% 3Y: +135.8% 5Y: +16.1%
$27.74
+0.89 (+3.30%)
After Hours: $27.70 (-0.04, -0.14%)
Weekly Expected Move ±8.0%
$22 $24 $26 $28 $30
NYSE · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services · Tech Score Strong Buy · Power 78 · $36.1B mcap · 1.25B float · 1.71% daily turnover · Short 39% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 68% of companies Debt: 41.1% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.58 (down 94%), Carnival Corporation & plc would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $25.16B against a stock market value of $36.12B.
Distance to default 3.55 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-08-31, debt counted $12.97B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 49.1%; Altman Z'' 0.24. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Oct Typical
🌧️
Rainy
-2.2% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-10.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
-2.2%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-10.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-9.9%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
42%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
+0.8%
Midterm
⛅
+1.4%
40% win 38% vol
Feb
20yr
🌫️
-1.5%
Midterm
🌧️
-1.4%
55% win 40% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-3.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.2%
45% win 68% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-3.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.9%
55% win 56% vol
May
20yr
💨
-1.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-10.0%
55% win 46% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
-0.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-20.1%
50% win 55% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
-1.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-18.4%
60% win 44% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
-1.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-17.9%
60% win 39% vol
Sep
20yr
🌫️
-0.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-11.8%
55% win 44% vol
Oct
20yr
💨
-1.1%
Midterm
⛈️
-9.2%
52% win 42% vol
Now: +13.0%
Nov
20yr
💨
+1.8%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.5%
60% win 56% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+4.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.5%
65% win 38% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -9.9%

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms