FLY NASDAQ
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
1W: +22.0%
1M: -17.5%
3M: +11.6%
YTD: -16.2%
1Y: -26.1%
$19.89
+1.65 (+9.01%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.0%
$15
$17
$18
$20
$22
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 1.6% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.05 (down 99.7%), Firefly Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $53.4M against a stock market value of $3.33B.
Distance to default 4.28 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 106.7%; Altman Z 3.53. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.05 (down 99.7%), Firefly Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $53.4M against a stock market value of $3.33B.
Distance to default 4.28 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 106.7%; Altman Z 3.53. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Balance Sheet Trends
Total Assets
$1.8B
+348.0% ▲
Total Liabilities
$635M
-46.0% ▼
Shareholders Equity
$1.2B
+255.0% ▲
Cash & Investments
$893M
+623.5% ▲
Total Debt
$309M
+83.3% ▲
Net Debt
-$484M
-1177.2% ▼
Assets vs Liabilities & Equity
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Balance Sheet
| Line Item | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| — Assets — | |||
| Cash | $82M | $123M | $793M |
| Short-Term Investments | $0 | $0 | $100M |
| Cash & ST Investments | $82M | $123M | $893M |
| Net Receivables | $3M | $1M | $46M |
| Inventory | $247K | $0 | $0 |
| Other Current Assets | $8M | $2M | $24M |
| Total Current Assets | $150M | $181M | $963M |
| Property, Plant & Equip. | $138M | $154M | $181M |
| Goodwill & Intangibles | $17M | $17M | $616M |
| Long-Term Investments | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Other Non-Current Assets | $16M | $56M | $65M |
| Total Non-Current Assets | $171M | $227M | $862M |
| Total Assets | $321M | $407M | $1.8B |
| — Liabilities — | |||
| Accounts Payable | $28M | $38M | $36M |
| Short-Term Debt | $965K | $6M | $9M |
| Deferred Revenue | $89M | $108M | $116M |
| Other Current Liabilities | $452K | $11M | $52M |
| Total Current Liabilities | $137M | $179M | $214M |
| Long-Term Debt | $96M | $142M | $281M |
| Other Non-Current Liab. | $537M | $790M | $30M |
| Total Non-Current Liabilities | $689M | $996M | $421M |
| Total Liabilities | $826M | $1.2B | $635M |
| — Equity — | |||
| Common Stock | $1K | $1K | $17K |
| Retained Earnings | -$504M | -$768M | -$1.0B |
| Accumulated OCI | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Total Stockholders Equity | -$504M | -$768M | $1.2B |
| Total Liabilities & Equity | $321M | $407M | $1.8B |
| — Key Metrics — | |||
| Total Debt | $121M | $168M | $309M |
| Net Debt | $39M | $45M | -$484M |
| Total Investments | $0 | $0 | $100M |