FLY Smart Money
Firefly Aerospace Inc.
1W: +9.7%
1M: -25.1%
3M: -5.5%
YTD: -23.2%
1Y: -29.7%
$19.89
+1.65 (+9.01%)
After Hours: $19.83 (-0.07, -0.33%)
Weekly Expected Move ±9.0%
$15
$17
$18
$20
$22
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 1.7% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.05 (down 99.7%), Firefly Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $53.4M against a stock market value of $3.06B.
Distance to default 4.21 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 106.4%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.05 (down 99.7%), Firefly Aerospace Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $53.4M against a stock market value of $3.06B.
Distance to default 4.21 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $21.3M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 106.4%; Altman Z 3.13. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026312
Institutions Holding
+67 vs prior
89.9%
Ownership
+4.24%
96
New
118
Increased
70
Reduced
36
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Ambrose Richard F | director | A-Grant/Award | 6,716 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | ROWE DAVID H. | 10% owner | J-J | 42,215 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | GREENE MICHAEL ROBERT | 10% owner | J-J | 42,215 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | Glow Holdings Aggregator, LLC | 10% owner | J-J | 42,215 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | Glow NS Holdings, LLC | 10% owner | J-J | 42,215 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-30 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | 10% owner | J-J | 42,215 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-16 | Ferring Russell Shea | officer: chief technology officer | F-Tax Withholding | 16,700 | $20.28 | $339K | Filing |
| 2026-09-16 | Wu Remington | officer: chief accounting officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,827 | $20.28 | $37K | Filing |
| 2026-09-16 | Kim Jesung | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 86,265 | $20.28 | $1.7M | Filing |
| 2026-09-16 | Ma Darren | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 18,309 | $20.28 | $371K | Filing |
| 2026-08-24 | Ma Darren | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 256 | $23.10 | $6K | Filing |
| 2026-08-14 | Boland Ryan Michael | director | J-J | 40,821 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-14 | Boland Ryan Michael | director | J-J | 3,193 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-04 | O'Konek Nathan | officer: general counsel & secretary | A-Grant/Award | 103,154 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Boland Ryan Michael | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Emerson Christopher Plummer IV | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Zurbuchen Thomas Hansueli | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | McAllister Kevin G | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Konert Kirk Michael | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Lusczakoski Jonathan Donald | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | Braden Pamela Joyce | director | A-Grant/Award | 3,630 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-06-01 | GREENE MICHAEL ROBERT | 10% owner | S-Sale | 5,198,872 | $48.00 | $249.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-01 | Glow Holdings Aggregator, LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 5,198,872 | $48.00 | $249.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-01 | Glow NS Holdings, LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 5,198,872 | $48.00 | $249.5M | Filing |
| 2026-06-01 | AEROEQUITY GP, LLC | 10% owner | S-Sale | 5,198,872 | $48.00 | $249.5M | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
2 records🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AE INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS, LP | 34,530,582 | $1.0B | -697,172 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 5,903,830 | $174M | +3,865,915 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4,179,095 | $123M | +3,688,226 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 3,591,198 | $106M | +1,163,997 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 3,071,164 | $90M | +737,275 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VAN ECK ASSOCIATES CORP | 3,048,335 | $90M | +927,804 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 2,792,070 | $81M | +2,159,291 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 2,714,411 | $80M | +2,696,140 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Tema ETFs LLC | 2,280,867 | $67M | +2,279,159 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Tidal Investments LLC | 2,167,135 | $64M | +2,167,135 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Phoenix Financial Ltd. | 1,812,863 | $53M | +1,152,803 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 1,625,890 | $48M | +557,055 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,550,013 | $46M | +898,084 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital World Investors | 1,239,010 | $36M | +33,801 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 1,154,194 | $34M | +724,143 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Mirae Asset Global Investments Co., Ltd. | 1,053,718 | $31M | +1,053,718 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Marex Group Ltd | 964,348 | $28M | +502,140 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Penserra Capital Management LLC | 925,293 | $27M | +158,639 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Invesco Ltd. | 808,987 | $24M | +251,947 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| LBP AM SA | 759,041 | $22M | +19,015 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |