FOR NYSE
Forestar Group Inc.
1W: +2.7%
1M: -0.0%
3M: -9.3%
YTD: +8.1%
1Y: +0.1%
3Y: +13.3%
5Y: +34.4%
$26.26
+0.28 (+1.08%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$24
$25
$26
$27
$29
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 55% of companies Debt: 37.7% of company value Bonds: $114.1M held by 118 funds, 157 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.97 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.34B.
Distance to default 5.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.97 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.34B.
Distance to default 5.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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📊 Key Metrics
TTM$2B
Revenue
+11.8% YoY
$170M
Net Income
+4.8% YoY
$283M
Free Cash Flow
+184.2% YoY
20.7%
Gross Margin
11.3%
Op. Margin
8.8%
Net Margin
💰 Income Flow
How revenue becomes profit💵 Cash Flow
Where cash goes🏦 Balance Sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Equity📈 Financial Health
Profitability
ROE9.6%
ROA5.4%
ROIC7.1%
Valuation
P/E7.9
P/B0.7
EV/EBITDA9.1
Leverage
Debt/Equity0.44
Current Ratio1.04
Interest Cov.0.0x
Quality Scores
Piotroski F9/9
Altman Z1.97
Beneish M-3.10