FOR NYSE
Forestar Group Inc.
1W: +3.6%
1M: -1.9%
3M: -11.4%
YTD: +6.9%
1Y: -0.0%
3Y: +13.2%
5Y: +32.8%
$26.26
+0.28 (+1.08%)
After Hours: $26.27 (+0.01, +0.06%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$24
$25
$26
$27
$29
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 55% of companies Debt: 37.9% of company value Bonds: $114.1M held by 118 funds, 157 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.33B.
Distance to default 5.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.33B.
Distance to default 5.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
LEAN BULLISH
+19
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
33
Momentum (25%)
91
Volume (20%)
62
Volatility (10%)
50
Patterns (15%)
62
Price vs SMA 20$25.67
Price vs SMA 50$26.75
Price vs SMA 200$27.46
EMA 9/21 Cross25.85/25.91
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 18
Supertrend$27.18
Parabolic SAR$24.66
SMA Slope0.010
RSI52.2
Stochastic K/D82/79
Williams %R-14
CCI120
TSI vs Signal-7.0
CMO4.5
ROC3.42%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF0.070
MFI67
Force Index8.9K
Elder Ray Bull0.41
FOR is trading above its 20-day but below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 52 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow positive at 0.070. The Bollinger-Keltner squeeze is ON — price is consolidating and a breakout may be imminent. ADX at 18 suggests the market is range-bound. 1 bullish candlestick pattern detected: Bullish Engulfing.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $25.67 | +$0.61 | +2.38% | Bullish |
| SMA 50 | $26.75 | $0.47 | -1.76% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $27.46 | $1.18 | -4.30% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $25.85 | +$0.43 | +1.66% | Bullish |
| EMA 21 | $25.91 | +$0.37 | +1.43% | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | $26.59 | $0.31 | -1.17% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $26.93 | $0.65 | -2.41% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $25.64 | +$0.64 | +2.50% | Bullish |
| WMA 20 | $25.69 | +$0.59 | +2.30% | Bullish |
| DEMA 21 | $25.52 | +$0.76 | +2.98% | Bullish |
| TEMA 21 | $25.79 | +$0.49 | +1.90% | Bullish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Mixed Volume Signals
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Buying Pressure
Volatility & Range
52-Week
18.0% from high
20-Day
2.6% from high
Bollinger
86th pctile
Donchian
71th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $24.66
Turtle Short Stop: $26.88
S2
$25.48
S1
$25.73
Pivot
$26.14
R1
$26.39
R2
$26.80
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
1 bullish: Bullish Engulfing
Bullish Patterns
—
3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
✔
Bullish Engulfing
—
Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji