FOR Smart Money
Forestar Group Inc.
1W: +3.6%
1M: -1.9%
3M: -11.4%
YTD: +6.9%
1Y: -0.0%
3Y: +13.2%
5Y: +32.8%
$26.26
+0.28 (+1.08%)
After Hours: $26.27 (+0.01, +0.06%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$24
$25
$26
$27
$29
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 55% of companies Debt: 37.9% of company value Bonds: $114.1M held by 118 funds, 157 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.33B.
Distance to default 5.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.96 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.33B.
Distance to default 5.62 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026202
Institutions Holding
+2 vs prior
45.0%
Ownership
+10.60%
37
New
62
Increased
64
Reduced
15
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Jamieson Lisa H. | director | S-Sale | 3,000 | $29.25 | $88K | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Parmer Elizabeth | director | S-Sale | 2,535 | $27.44 | $70K | Filing |
| 2026-03-21 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,946 | $24.29 | $47K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 775 | $24.73 | $19K | Filing |
| 2026-03-18 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 863 | $24.73 | $21K | Filing |
| 2025-12-01 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | officer: executive chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 756 | $25.57 | $19K | Filing |
| 2025-12-01 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 400 | $25.57 | $10K | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,578 | $23.22 | $37K | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | M-Option Exercise | 3,542 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | Oxley Anthony W | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 2,314 | $23.22 | $54K | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | officer: executive chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 2,454 | $23.22 | $57K | Filing |
| 2025-11-20 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 963 | $23.22 | $22K | Filing |
| 2025-08-08 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | S-Sale | 19,000 | $26.08 | $496K | Filing |
| 2025-06-11 | Parmer Elizabeth | director | S-Sale | 3,357 | $20.58 | $69K | Filing |
| 2025-05-16 | Oxley Anthony W | officer: chief executive officer | P-Purchase | 4,963 | $20.22 | $100K | Filing |
| 2025-05-12 | Parmer Elizabeth | director | S-Sale | 1,460 | $20.57 | $30K | Filing |
| 2025-03-31 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | officer: executive chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 3,701 | $21.14 | $78K | Filing |
| 2025-03-31 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,260 | $21.14 | $27K | Filing |
| 2025-03-31 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 911 | $21.14 | $19K | Filing |
| 2025-03-28 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | officer: executive chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 1,842 | $21.07 | $39K | Filing |
| 2025-03-28 | Oxley Anthony W | officer: chief executive officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,959 | $21.07 | $41K | Filing |
| 2025-03-28 | Walker Mark Stephen | officer: chief operating officer | F-Tax Withholding | 891 | $21.07 | $19K | Filing |
| 2025-03-28 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 439 | $21.07 | $9K | Filing |
| 2025-03-21 | TOMNITZ DONALD J | officer: executive chairman | F-Tax Withholding | 5,014 | $21.73 | $109K | Filing |
| 2025-03-21 | Allen James Douglas | officer: chief financial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 1,193 | $21.73 | $26K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP | 2,861,811 | $91M | +56,005 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 1,794,007 | $57M | -18,620 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 1,774,842 | $56M | +139,676 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 946,901 | $30M | +137,309 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 883,924 | $28M | +3,477 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 567,550 | $18M | +63,200 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 549,468 | $17M | +32,628 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 549,069 | $17M | -13,657 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 475,426 | $15M | +24,311 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| HEARTLAND ADVISORS INC | 474,813 | $15M | -30,277 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| ROYAL BANK OF CANADA | 469,331 | $15M | -43,081 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Swedbank AB | 450,000 | $14M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Woodson Capital Management, LP | 360,000 | $11M | -75,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 344,572 | $11M | -19,254 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| DENALI ADVISORS LLC | 292,662 | $9M | -1,329 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Jupiter Topco LLC | 266,921 | $8M | +266,921 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 246,478 | $8M | +87,319 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC | 239,737 | $8M | -17,837 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Harel Insurance Investments & Financial | 231,000 | $7M | +73,687 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Bank of New York Mellon Corp | 227,944 | $7M | +126,089 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |