FOR NYSE
Forestar Group Inc.
1W: +2.7%
1M: -0.0%
3M: -9.3%
YTD: +8.1%
1Y: +0.1%
3Y: +13.3%
5Y: +34.4%
$26.26
+0.28 (+1.08%)
Pre-Market: $27.80 (+1.54, +5.86%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.8%
$24
$25
$26
$27
$29
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 55% of companies Debt: 37.7% of company value Bonds: $114.1M held by 118 funds, 157 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.97 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.34B.
Distance to default 5.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.97 (down 96%), Forestar Group Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $810.2M against a stock market value of $1.34B.
Distance to default 5.64 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $396.9M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 33.6%; Altman Z'' 3.07. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$1.7B
+10.1% ▲
5Y CAGR: +12.3%
Gross Profit
$364M
+1.2% ▲
5Y CAGR: +25.2%
Operating Income
$209M
-13.2% ▼
5Y CAGR: +23.6%
Net Income
$168M
-17.5% ▼
5Y CAGR: +22.5%
EPS (Diluted)
$3.29
-17.8% ▼
5Y CAGR: +21.2%
EBITDA
$223M
-8.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +23.6%
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.3B | $1.5B | $1.4B | $1.5B | $1.7B |
| YoY Growth | +42.3% | +14.6% | -5.4% | +5.0% | +10.1% |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.3B |
| Gross Profit | $229M | $324M | $304M | $359M | $364M |
| Gross Margin | 17.3% | 21.3% | 21.2% | 23.8% | 21.9% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $68M | $94M | $98M | $118M | $154M |
| Operating Expenses | $68M | $94M | $98M | $118M | $154M |
| Operating Income | $161M | $234M | $230M | $241M | $209M |
| Operating Margin | 12.1% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 12.6% |
| Interest Expense | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Income Before Tax | $147M | $236M | $222M | $270M | $219M |
| Tax Expense | $36M | $57M | $55M | $67M | $51M |
| Net Income | $110M | $179M | $167M | $203M | $168M |
| Net Margin | 8.3% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.1% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $2.25 | $3.59 | $3.33 | $4.00 | $3.29 |
| EBITDA | $164M | $237M | $233M | $244M | $223M |
| Shares Outstanding | 49M | 50M | 50M | 51M | 51M |