FOSL NASDAQ
Fossil Group, Inc.
1W: -2.2%
1M: +10.6%
3M: +51.4%
YTD: +74.3%
1Y: +189.6%
3Y: +278.4%
5Y: -46.2%
$6.66
+0.25 (+3.90%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$6
$6
$7
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 81% of companies Debt: 46.5% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $393.9M.
Distance to default 2.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.82. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $393.9M.
Distance to default 2.51 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.82. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$1.0B
-12.3% ▼
5Y CAGR: -9.0%
Gross Profit
$563M
-5.7% ▼
5Y CAGR: -6.1%
Operating Income
$23M
+122.1% ▲
Net Income
-$78M
+23.7% ▲
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.45
+25.3% ▲
EBITDA
$36M
+143.3% ▲
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.9B | $1.7B | $1.4B | $1.1B | $1.0B |
| YoY Growth | +15.9% | -10.0% | -16.1% | -18.9% | -12.3% |
| Cost of Revenue | $904M | $852M | $727M | $548M | $441M |
| Gross Profit | $966M | $831M | $685M | $597M | $563M |
| Gross Margin | 51.7% | 49.4% | 48.5% | 52.2% | 56.1% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $19M | $0 | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $843M | $824M | $758M | $639M | $540M |
| Operating Expenses | $874M | $832M | $828M | $701M | $540M |
| Operating Income | $93M | -$1M | -$143M | -$104M | $23M |
| Operating Margin | 5.0% | -0.1% | -10.1% | -9.1% | 2.3% |
| Interest Expense | $25M | $19M | $22M | $19M | $20M |
| Income Before Tax | $53M | -$22M | -$156M | -$118M | -$50M |
| Tax Expense | $26M | $21M | $522K | -$12M | $28M |
| Net Income | $25M | -$44M | -$157M | -$103M | -$78M |
| Net Margin | 1.4% | -2.6% | -11.1% | -9.0% | -7.8% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.48 | $-0.85 | $-3.00 | $-1.94 | $-1.45 |
| EBITDA | $108M | $20M | -$73M | -$83M | $36M |
| Shares Outstanding | 53M | 52M | 52M | 53M | 54M |