FOSL NASDAQ
Fossil Group, Inc.
1W: -5.0%
1M: +3.4%
3M: +44.4%
YTD: +67.8%
1Y: +171.6%
3Y: +290.9%
5Y: -48.4%
$6.66
+0.25 (+3.90%)
After Hours: $6.69 (+0.03, +0.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$6
$6
$7
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 82% of companies Debt: 47.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
Overview
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Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+2.6% YTD avg
Midterm Year
☀️
Sunny
+24.0% YTD avg
2026 Now
☀️
Sunny
Above typical
20yr Avg YTD
+2.6%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
+24.0%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
+74.3%
Above 20yr avg
Typical Vol
69%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
💨
+2.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
40% win
95% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+5.8%
Midterm
☀️
+14.1%
55% win
98% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-1.9%
Midterm
☀️
+6.2%
25% win
76% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
-0.1%
Midterm
☀️
+9.7%
65% win
50% vol
May
20yr
⛈️
-0.5%
Midterm
☀️
+20.8%
40% win
82% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
☀️
+27.0%
55% win
78% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+2.3%
Midterm
☀️
+28.8%
50% win
54% vol
Aug
20yr
💨
+6.8%
Midterm
☀️
+22.0%
55% win
79% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+5.5%
Midterm
☀️
+27.6%
40% win
53% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+4.1%
Midterm
☀️
+30.3%
43% win
69% vol
Now:
+1.4%
Nov
20yr
💨
+11.2%
Midterm
☀️
+30.3%
55% win
94% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+0.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-3.5%
50% win
74% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: +74.3%