FOSL Smart Money
Fossil Group, Inc.
1W: -5.0%
1M: +3.4%
3M: +44.4%
YTD: +67.8%
1Y: +171.6%
3Y: +290.9%
5Y: -48.4%
$6.66
+0.25 (+3.90%)
After Hours: $6.69 (+0.03, +0.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$6
$6
$7
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 82% of companies Debt: 47.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 94%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026130
Institutions Holding
+28 vs prior
38.2%
Ownership
+3.40%
40
New
36
Increased
40
Reduced
16
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Fogliato Franco | officer: ceo | F-Tax Withholding | 295,125 | $6.90 | $2.0M | Filing |
| 2026-10-15 | Greben Randy J | officer: cfo | A-Grant/Award | 65,217 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | officer: chief brand officer | A-Grant/Award | 65,217 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | Rey Marc | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | Coulter Suzanne M | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | Edwards Pamela J | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | DiGrande Sebastian | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-10-02 | Nair Chandhu | director | A-Grant/Award | 16,284 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-20 | Edwards Pamela J | director | P-Purchase | 7,208 | $5.58 | $40K | Filing |
| 2026-08-18 | Tifford Gail B | director | S-Sale | 55,669 | $5.49 | $306K | Filing |
| 2026-05-18 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | director | P-Purchase | 24,331 | $4.14 | $101K | Filing |
| 2026-04-15 | Martin Joe T | officer: chief commercial officer | F-Tax Withholding | 21,716 | $5.40 | $117K | Filing |
| 2026-04-15 | Lowenkron Melissa B | officer: chief brand officer | F-Tax Withholding | 11,641 | $5.40 | $63K | Filing |
| 2026-04-15 | Greben Randy J | officer: cfo | F-Tax Withholding | 33,869 | $5.40 | $183K | Filing |
| 2026-03-16 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | director | P-Purchase | 21,929 | $4.68 | $103K | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Coulter Suzanne M | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Tifford Gail B | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | MANSELL KEVIN | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Rey Marc | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Schoppert Wendy Lee | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Edwards Pamela J | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-19 | Corrie Pamela B | director | A-Grant/Award | 30,577 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2025-12-03 | Coulter Suzanne M | director | P-Purchase | 28,170 | $3.62 | $102K | Filing |
| 2025-11-24 | Greben Randy J | officer: cfo | P-Purchase | 20,980 | $2.38 | $50K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantahala Capital Management, LLC | 5,505,128 | $23M | +101,104 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 3,686,704 | $15M | +2,836,031 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,389,811 | $10M | +257,786 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| HG Vora Capital Management, LLC | 2,163,349 | $9M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Miller Value Partners, LLC | 2,143,445 | $9M | -281,740 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC | 1,774,527 | $7M | +645,742 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 1,363,609 | $6M | +761,519 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP | 1,356,790 | $6M | -2,946 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC | 1,316,648 | $5M | +156,964 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Prescott Group Capital Management, L.L.C | 979,894 | $4M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Kanen Wealth Management LLC | 872,797 | $4M | -260,005 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Quinn Opportunity Partners LLC | 741,262 | $3M | -25,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CITADEL ADVISORS LLC | 630,542 | $3M | +470,898 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC | 608,025 | $3M | -1,064,760 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 600,929 | $2M | +358,180 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BRIDGEWAY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 560,698 | $2M | +9,899 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Fund 1 Investments, LLC | 536,982 | $2M | +536,982 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MARSHALL WACE, LLP | 520,456 | $2M | -42,401 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Security National Bank | 493,204 | $2M | +493,204 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STOREBRAND ASSET MANAGEMENT AS | 449,424 | $2M | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |