FOSL NASDAQ
Fossil Group, Inc.
1W: -5.0%
1M: +3.4%
3M: +44.4%
YTD: +67.8%
1Y: +171.6%
3Y: +290.9%
5Y: -48.4%
$6.66
+0.25 (+3.90%)
After Hours: $6.69 (+0.03, +0.45%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.2%
$6
$6
$7
$7
$7
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 82% of companies Debt: 47.4% of company value Bonds: none of note held by US funds details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 93%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $0.42 (down 93%), Fossil Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $341.9M against a stock market value of $379.1M.
Distance to default 2.48 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-07-04, debt counted $101.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 72.1%; Altman Z 1.81. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
US fund filings (SEC N-PORT) show under $25M of this company's bonds, so there is no bond page. Its debt may be bank loans or privately placed. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
LEAN BULLISH
+23
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
80
Momentum (25%)
50
Volume (20%)
62
Volatility (10%)
50
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$6.86
Price vs SMA 50$6.00
Price vs SMA 200$4.78
EMA 9/21 Cross6.68/6.61
SMA 50/200 CrossGolden
ADX DirectionADX 28
Supertrend$6.05
Parabolic SAR$7.01
SMA Slope0.020
RSI53.7
Stochastic K/D24/21
Williams %R-66
CCI-97
TSI vs Signal14.9
CMO7.3
ROC-6.85%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF0.040
MFI52
Force Index-474.8
Elder Ray Bull0.06
FOSL is trading above its 50-day and 200-day but below its 20-day moving average, showing a mixed trend. The 50-day MA remains above the 200-day MA (golden cross intact). RSI at 54 is neutral. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow near zero at 0.040. The Bollinger-Keltner squeeze is ON — price is consolidating and a breakout may be imminent. ADX at 28 confirms a trending market. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $6.86 | $0.20 | -2.92% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $6.00 | +$0.66 | +11.00% | Bullish |
| SMA 200 | $4.78 | +$1.88 | +39.33% | Bullish |
| EMA 9 | $6.68 | $0.02 | -0.30% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $6.61 | +$0.05 | +0.76% | Bullish |
| EMA 50 | $6.13 | +$0.53 | +8.65% | Bullish |
| EMA 200 | $4.80 | +$1.86 | +38.75% | Bullish |
| VWMA 20 | $6.87 | $0.21 | -3.06% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $6.80 | $0.14 | -2.06% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $6.91 | $0.25 | -3.62% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $6.77 | $0.11 | -1.62% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Mixed Volume Signals
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Neutral Flow
Volatility & Range
52-Week
9.9% from high
20-Day
9.9% from high
Bollinger
28th pctile
Donchian
40th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $6.32
Turtle Short Stop: $7.01
S2
$6.16
S1
$6.29
Pivot
$6.46
R1
$6.59
R2
$6.76
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
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Morning Star
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Bullish Engulfing
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Hammer
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Inverted Hammer
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Piercing Line
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Bullish Harami
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Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
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3 Black Crows
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Evening Star
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Bearish Engulfing
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Dark Cloud Cover
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Bearish Harami
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2 Black Gapping
Neutral
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Doji