KALU NASDAQ
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
1W: -29.3%
1M: -30.9%
3M: -35.0%
YTD: -11.8%
1Y: +14.2%
3Y: +73.8%
5Y: +6.1%
$116.25
+10.78 (+10.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±13.5%
$78
$93
$107
$122
$136
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 73% of companies Debt: 38.0% of company value Bonds: $80.8M held by 151 funds, 151 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.10 (down 94%), Kaiser Aluminum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.06B against a stock market value of $1.72B.
Distance to default 3.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $519.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.6%; Altman Z 3.02. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.10 (down 94%), Kaiser Aluminum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.06B against a stock market value of $1.72B.
Distance to default 3.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $519.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.6%; Altman Z 3.02. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
⛅
Partly Cloudy
+3.5% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-5.2% YTD avg
2026 Now
🌧️
Rainy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+3.5%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-5.2%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-2.8%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
56%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
🌫️
+0.1%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.9%
55% win
35% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+0.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-7.7%
60% win
40% vol
Mar
20yr
🌫️
+2.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-2.8%
50% win
48% vol
Apr
20yr
💨
+6.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.5%
70% win
42% vol
May
20yr
🌫️
+8.5%
Midterm
☀️
+5.3%
50% win
38% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+7.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-8.9%
60% win
38% vol
Jul
20yr
🌫️
+6.2%
Midterm
🌧️
-3.2%
45% win
38% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+5.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.1%
45% win
38% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+4.9%
Midterm
⛈️
-6.1%
40% win
36% vol
Oct
20yr
🌫️
+5.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-5.3%
52% win
56% vol
Now:
-19.7%
Nov
20yr
💨
+7.4%
Midterm
☁️
+0.6%
70% win
46% vol
Dec
20yr
💨
+3.6%
Midterm
🌧️
-4.3%
60% win
37% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -2.8%