KALU NASDAQ
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
1W: -29.3%
1M: -30.9%
3M: -35.0%
YTD: -11.8%
1Y: +14.2%
3Y: +73.8%
5Y: +6.1%
$116.25
+10.78 (+10.22%)
Weekly Expected Move ±13.5%
$78
$93
$107
$122
$136
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 73% of companies Debt: 38.0% of company value Bonds: $80.8M held by 151 funds, 151 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the third-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 140 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $6.10 (down 94%), Kaiser Aluminum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.06B against a stock market value of $1.72B.
Distance to default 3.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $519.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.6%; Altman Z 3.02. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $6.10 (down 94%), Kaiser Aluminum Corporation would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.06B against a stock market value of $1.72B.
Distance to default 3.18 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-09-30, debt counted $519.4M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 56.6%; Altman Z 3.02. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Technical Signal Summary
Technical Signal
BEARISH
-75
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend (30%)
0
Momentum (25%)
0
Volume (20%)
25
Volatility (10%)
0
Patterns (15%)
50
Price vs SMA 20$142.21
Price vs SMA 50$150.56
Price vs SMA 200$153.30
EMA 9/21 Cross127.07/138.44
SMA 50/200 CrossDeath
ADX DirectionADX 20
Supertrend$132.68
Parabolic SAR$148.92
SMA Slope-1.750
RSI31.9
Stochastic K/D10/14
Williams %R-75
CCI-159
TSI vs Signal-35.6
CMO-36.2
ROC-22.91%
OBV SignalDistrib
Chaikin MF-0.070
MFI34
Force Index-3.5M
Elder Ray Bull-21.83
KALU is trading below its falling 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, indicating a downtrend. The 50-day MA is below the 200-day MA (death cross active). RSI at 32 shows bearish momentum. Volume analysis shows OBV is declining (distribution) with Chaikin Money Flow negative at -0.070. The squeeze is off with negative momentum, suggesting downward pressure. ADX at 20 suggests the market is range-bound. Price is 41.8% below its 52-week high. No significant candlestick patterns detected today.
Moving Average Ribbon & Trend
| Moving Average | Value | Distance | % Distance | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMA 20 | $142.21 | $25.96 | -18.25% | Bearish |
| SMA 50 | $150.56 | $34.31 | -22.79% | Bearish |
| SMA 200 | $153.30 | $37.05 | -24.17% | Bearish |
| EMA 9 | $127.07 | $10.82 | -8.51% | Bearish |
| EMA 21 | $138.44 | $22.19 | -16.03% | Bearish |
| EMA 50 | $149.00 | $32.75 | -21.98% | Bearish |
| EMA 200 | $145.84 | $29.59 | -20.29% | Bearish |
| VWMA 20 | $128.19 | $11.94 | -9.31% | Bearish |
| WMA 20 | $136.20 | $19.95 | -14.65% | Bearish |
| DEMA 21 | $126.53 | $10.28 | -8.12% | Bearish |
| TEMA 21 | $120.21 | $3.96 | -3.29% | Bearish |
Momentum Dashboard
Volume & Flow Analysis
Under Distribution
OBV: Distribution
CMF: Selling Pressure
Unusual Volume
Volatility & Range
52-Week
41.8% from high
20-Day
26.6% from high
Bollinger
10th pctile
Donchian
23th pctile
Turtle Long Stop: $133.14
Turtle Short Stop: $129.13
S2
$101.34
S1
$103.41
Pivot
$105.98
R1
$108.05
R2
$110.62
Candlestick Pattern Scanner
No candlestick patterns detected today.
Bullish Patterns
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3 White Soldiers
—
Morning Star
—
Bullish Engulfing
—
Hammer
—
Inverted Hammer
—
Piercing Line
—
Bullish Harami
—
Abandoned Baby
Bearish Patterns
—
3 Black Crows
—
Evening Star
—
Bearish Engulfing
—
Dark Cloud Cover
—
Bearish Harami
—
2 Black Gapping
Neutral
—
Doji