GEO NYSE
The GEO Group, Inc.
1W: +1.1%
1M: -6.5%
3M: -5.6%
YTD: +77.5%
1Y: +63.7%
3Y: +233.4%
5Y: +237.8%
$28.27
+0.70 (+2.54%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$24
$26
$27
$29
$31
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 30.2% of company value Bonds: $181.2M held by 170 funds, 316 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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📊 Key Metrics
TTM$3B
Revenue
+15.3% YoY
$292M
Net Income
+222.2% YoY
$161M
Free Cash Flow
+23.0% YoY
100.0%
Gross Margin
13.9%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
💰 Income Flow
How revenue becomes profit💵 Cash Flow
Where cash goes🏦 Balance Sheet
Assets = Liabilities + Equity📈 Financial Health
Profitability
ROE20.1%
ROA7.9%
ROIC7.5%
Valuation
P/E13.2
P/B2.4
EV/EBITDA8.4
Leverage
Debt/Equity1.06
Current Ratio1.65
Interest Cov.3.4x
Quality Scores
Piotroski F8/9
Altman Z2.48
Beneish M-2.28