GEO NYSE
The GEO Group, Inc.
1W: +1.1%
1M: -6.5%
3M: -5.6%
YTD: +77.5%
1Y: +63.7%
3Y: +233.4%
5Y: +237.8%
$28.27
+0.70 (+2.54%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$24
$26
$27
$29
$31
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 30.2% of company value Bonds: $181.2M held by 170 funds, 316 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Revenue by Segment (5-Year Trend)
Income Trends
Revenue
$2.6B
+8.6% ▲
5Y CAGR: +2.3%
Gross Profit
$663M
-72.6% ▼
5Y CAGR: +2.8%
Operating Income
$257M
-16.9% ▼
5Y CAGR: +2.3%
Net Income
$254M
+695.8% ▲
5Y CAGR: +17.6%
EPS (Diluted)
$1.82
+727.3% ▲
5Y CAGR: +14.1%
EBITDA
$631M
+77.6% ▲
5Y CAGR: +10.4%
Profit Margins
Year-over-Year Growth
View Full Income Statement
| Line Item | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.3B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.6B |
| YoY Growth | -4.0% | +5.3% | +1.5% | +0.4% | +8.6% |
| Cost of Revenue | $1.6B | $1.7B | $1.7B | $0 | $2.0B |
| Gross Profit | $628M | $714M | $669M | $2.4B | $663M |
| Gross Margin | 27.8% | 30.0% | 27.7% | 100.0% | 25.2% |
| R&D Expenses | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| SG&A Expenses | $204M | $197M | $191M | $213M | $236M |
| Operating Expenses | $339M | $330M | $317M | $2.1B | $406M |
| Operating Income | $288M | $384M | $352M | $310M | $257M |
| Operating Margin | 12.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Interest Expense | $129M | $165M | $218M | $191M | $161M |
| Income Before Tax | $200M | $235M | $143M | $41M | $340M |
| Tax Expense | $123M | $63M | $35M | $9M | $86M |
| Net Income | $77M | $172M | $107M | $32M | $254M |
| Net Margin | 3.4% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 9.7% |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.58 | $1.17 | $0.72 | $0.22 | $1.82 |
| EBITDA | $457M | $527M | $482M | $355M | $631M |
| Shares Outstanding | 121M | 122M | 124M | 134M | 140M |