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GEO NYSE

The GEO Group, Inc.
1W: +1.1% 1M: -6.5% 3M: -5.6% YTD: +77.5% 1Y: +63.7% 3Y: +233.4% 5Y: +237.8%
$28.27
+0.70 (+2.54%)
 
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$24 $26 $27 $29 $31
NYSE · Industrials · Security & Protection Services · Tech Score Sell · Power 38 · $3.7B mcap · 112M float · 1.97% daily turnover · Short 65% of daily vol
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 30.2% of company value Bonds: $181.2M held by 170 funds, 316 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
#5 of 41
Security & Protection Services
Industrials · Mid Cap · 12 peers
Market Share
9.2%
Top 4 Concentration: 63.1%

Technical Signal Map

8 Bullish
1 Neutral
4 Bearish

Peer Comparison

Symbol Mkt Cap P/E ROE % ROIC % Net Mgn % Rev Grw % Piotroski Signal 1Y Ret %
GEO The GEO Group, Inc. $3.6B 13.2 20.1 7.5 6.5 15.3 8 BEARISH 63.7
SOMLY Secom Co., Ltd. $9.0B 24.1 8.8 14.4 9.9 6.2 6 BULLISH 25.6
SOMLF SECOM Co., Ltd. $17B 24.1 8.7 14.2 9.9 5.3 7 BULLISH 29.1
ALLE Allegion plc $15B 22.4 33.6 20.1 18.8 10.3 9 BULLISH 8.3
NSSC Napco Security Technologies, Inc. $1.4B 32.8 23.9 67.2 31.8 11.4 7 BULLISH -9.6
ASAZY ASSA ABLOY AB (publ) $41B 25.8 15.6 10.5 11.3 -1.3 7 BULLISH -0.1
MNESP MSA Safety Incorporated $7.1B 22.2 23.7 18.8 17.1 6.5 9 BULLISH -14.5
ADT ADT Inc. $5.0B 8.9 17.4 8.4 12.3 2.1 9 BULLISH -21.0
BCO The Brink's Company $4.6B 24.6 64.0 11.6 3.2 8.1 9 BULLISH -6.9
SOHGF Alsok Co.,ltd. $3.8B — — — — — — NEUTRAL 2.1
SCTBY Securitas AB (publ) $9.2B 12.7 14.4 9.8 4.4 -6.0 6 BEARISH 7.9
CXW CoreCivic, Inc. $3.0B 25.0 8.8 8.7 5.4 24.3 6 BEARISH 64.1
BRC Brady Corporation $3.8B 19.1 16.1 16.6 10.4 9.8 9 BEARISH 4.0

Profile Radar

Valuation vs Profitability

Performance Comparison

Industry Market Share

GEO vs Benchmarks

ROIC
GEO
7.5
Industry
4.5
Gross Margin
GEO
100.0
Industry
37.7
Op Margin
GEO
13.9
Industry
7.6
Net Margin
GEO
6.5
Industry
2.5
Sector
6.4
Revenue Growth
GEO
15.3
Sector
4.1
P/E Ratio
GEO
13.2
Sector
25.0
ROE
GEO
20.1
Sector
12.1
Piotroski F
GEO
8.0
Sector
6.0

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Data sourced from SEC filings. Privacy Terms