GEO Smart Money
The GEO Group, Inc.
1W: +1.1%
1M: -6.5%
3M: -5.6%
YTD: +77.5%
1Y: +63.7%
3Y: +233.4%
5Y: +237.8%
$28.27
+0.70 (+2.54%)
Weekly Expected Move ±6.5%
$24
$26
$27
$29
$31
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 60% of companies Debt: 30.2% of company value Bonds: $181.2M held by 170 funds, 316 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the middle of the pack, about 1 in 580 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.07 (down 96%), The GEO Group, Inc. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $1.61B against a stock market value of $3.72B.
Distance to default 4.19 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-27, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $786.6M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 48.7%; Altman Z 2.43. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
Overview
News
Chart
Smart Money
Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Earnings
Dividends
Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 2026328
Institutions Holding
+10 vs prior
99.9%
Ownership
+42.90%
70
New
81
Increased
129
Reduced
31
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Albence Matthew | officer: senior vp, client relations | S-Sale | 11,797 | $31.45 | $371K | Filing |
| 2026-08-21 | Brack Ronald A. | officer: see remarks | S-Sale | 7,000 | $32.00 | $224K | Filing |
| 2026-08-20 | Albence Matthew | officer: senior vp, client relations | S-Sale | 10,000 | $31.69 | $317K | Filing |
| 2026-08-13 | Koren Lindsay L. | director | S-Sale | 3,500 | $31.30 | $110K | Filing |
| 2026-06-04 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | officer: see remarks | G-Gift | 100,000 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-01 | March Shayn P. | officer: see remarks | A-Grant/Award | 6,087 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-04-01 | March Shayn P. | officer: see remarks | A-Grant/Award | 6,088 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-06 | March Shayn P. | officer: see remarks | A-Grant/Award | 19,566 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-06 | Brack Ronald A. | officer: see remarks | A-Grant/Award | 14,515 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-06 | Mannarino Nicole | officer: chief compliance officer | A-Grant/Award | 657 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-03-04 | KERNAN SCOTT MICHAEL | director | S-Sale | 6,633 | $15.24 | $101K | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | March Shayn P. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 646 | $15.06 | $10K | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | Mannarino Nicole | officer: chief compliance officer | F-Tax Withholding | 27 | $15.06 | $407 | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | Schipma Scott A. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 777 | $15.06 | $12K | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | Meehan David O. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 378 | $15.06 | $6K | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | ZOLEY GEORGE C | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 19,675 | $15.06 | $296K | Filing |
| 2026-03-03 | Brack Ronald A. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 465 | $15.06 | $7K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | March Shayn P. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 2,192 | $15.29 | $34K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Laird Paul M. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 2,895 | $15.29 | $44K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Ragsdale Daniel H. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 2,461 | $15.29 | $38K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Mannarino Nicole | officer: chief compliance officer | F-Tax Withholding | 202 | $15.29 | $3K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Ryan Christopher D. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 914 | $15.29 | $14K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Brack Ronald A. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 3,123 | $15.29 | $48K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Schipma Scott A. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 3,740 | $15.29 | $57K | Filing |
| 2026-03-02 | Meehan David O. | officer: see remarks | F-Tax Withholding | 2,276 | $15.29 | $35K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
0 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No congressional trades found | |||||
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc. | 19,314,511 | $571M | -1,274,546 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Pentwater Capital Management LP | 10,582,000 | $313M | +1,017,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS Group AG | 7,645,016 | $226M | -1,742,280 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 7,427,064 | $219M | -25,374 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 5,761,739 | $170M | -1,535 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 5,497,723 | $162M | +1,328,374 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 4,938,884 | $146M | +35,172 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CONTINENTAL GENERAL INSURANCE CO | 4,925,578 | $146M | -783,724 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Rubric Capital Management LP | 4,131,219 | $122M | +388,039 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| HSBC HOLDINGS PLC | 4,006,518 | $119M | +4,006,518 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 3,334,033 | $99M | +111,876 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 3,134,103 | $93M | -34,941 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Turiya Advisors Asia Ltd | 2,656,580 | $79M | -1,890,300 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| COOPER CREEK PARTNERS MANAGEMENT LLC | 2,445,230 | $72M | -2,868,776 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC | 2,210,061 | $65M | -14,802 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company | 2,210,061 | $65M | +2,210,061 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP | 2,043,766 | $60M | +1,007,333 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 1,619,503 | $48M | +140,300 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Assenagon Asset Management S.A. | 1,611,010 | $48M | +1,611,010 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| KCM Capital Inc | 1,500,000 | $44M | -495,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |