LLY Smart Money
Eli Lilly and Company
1W: +3.1%
1M: +8.1%
3M: +4.8%
YTD: +18.6%
1Y: +56.0%
3Y: +120.0%
5Y: +457.4%
$1,282.71
+3.57 (+0.28%)
Weekly Expected Move ±4.4%
$1162
$1218
$1273
$1329
$1385
Credit Risk of going bust: lower than 84% of companies Debt: 4.4% of company value Bonds: $1.28B held by 465 funds, 44 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the safest four tenths, about 1 in 3,500 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $5.05 (down 99.6%), Eli Lilly and Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $54.91B against a stock market value of $1.20T.
Distance to default 10.86 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $30.98B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.6%; Altman Z 8.56. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $5.05 (down 99.6%), Eli Lilly and Company would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $54.91B against a stock market value of $1.20T.
Distance to default 10.86 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $30.98B (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 34.6%; Altman Z 8.56. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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🏦 Institutional Activity
Latest: Q2 20264,770
Institutions Holding
+126 vs prior
76.8%
Ownership
+19.16%
418
New
2223
Increased
1595
Reduced
103
Closed
👔 Insider Trades
25 records| Date | Name | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | LUCIANO JUAN R | director | A-Grant/Award | 13 | $1,240.34 | $16K | Filing |
| 2026-10-19 | Sulzberger Gabrielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 4 | $1,240.34 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-10-19 | Alvarez Ralph | director | A-Grant/Award | 10 | $1,240.34 | $12K | Filing |
| 2026-10-19 | Fyrwald J Erik | director | A-Grant/Award | 8 | $1,240.34 | $10K | Filing |
| 2026-09-09 | Seymour Melissa | officer: evp, global quality | G-Gift | 12 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-02 | Dozier Eric | officer: evp, chief people officer | G-Gift | 216 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-09-02 | Hernandez Edgardo | officer: evp & pres., mfg. operations | G-Gift | 13 | $— | $0 | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Fyrwald J Erik | director | A-Grant/Award | 8 | $1,183.16 | $10K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Jonsson Patrik | officer: evp & president, lly int'l | S-Sale | 6,500 | $1,175.10 | $7.6M | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | LUCIANO JUAN R | director | A-Grant/Award | 13 | $1,183.16 | $16K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Sulzberger Gabrielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 4 | $1,183.16 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-08-17 | Alvarez Ralph | director | A-Grant/Award | 10 | $1,183.16 | $12K | Filing |
| 2026-08-10 | Zakrowski Donald A | officer: svp, finance, & cao | S-Sale | 2,000 | $1,185.01 | $2.4M | Filing |
| 2026-08-07 | Hakim Anat | officer: evp, gc & secretary | S-Sale | 5,000 | $1,190.00 | $6.0M | Filing |
| 2026-08-01 | Seymour Melissa | officer: evp, global quality | F-Tax Withholding | 439 | $1,148.84 | $504K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | LUCIANO JUAN R | director | A-Grant/Award | 14 | $1,146.90 | $16K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Fyrwald J Erik | director | A-Grant/Award | 9 | $1,146.90 | $10K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Sulzberger Gabrielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 4 | $1,146.90 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-07-20 | Alvarez Ralph | director | A-Grant/Award | 11 | $1,146.90 | $12K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Fyrwald J Erik | director | A-Grant/Award | 9 | $1,129.35 | $10K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | LUCIANO JUAN R | director | A-Grant/Award | 14 | $1,129.35 | $16K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Sulzberger Gabrielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 4 | $1,129.35 | $5K | Filing |
| 2026-06-15 | Alvarez Ralph | director | A-Grant/Award | 11 | $1,129.35 | $12K | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Yuffa Ilya | officer: evp&pres, lly usa&global capab | S-Sale | 2,500 | $1,150.77 | $2.9M | Filing |
| 2026-05-18 | Sulzberger Gabrielle | director | A-Grant/Award | 5 | $988.09 | $5K | Filing |
🏛️ Congressional Trades
25 records| Date | Politician | Chamber | Type | Amount | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-10 | Daniel Milton Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-10 | Dan Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-09 | Daniel Milton Newhouse | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Michael Rulli | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-07-01 | Michael A. Rulli | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-06-10 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-06-09 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | Buy | $50,001 - $100,000 | Filing |
| 2026-06-02 | Ro Khanna | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-14 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-14 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-13 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-08 | Lizzie Fletcher | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-08 | Elizabeth Pannill Fletcher | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-02 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-02 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-02 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-02 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-01 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-04-01 | Byron Donalds | House | Buy | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-27 | Alan Armstrong | Senate | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-13 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-13 | Gilbert Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
| 2026-03-12 | Gilbert Ray Cisneros | House | Sell | $1,001 - $15,000 | Filing |
🏦 Top Institutional Holders
20 holders| Holder | Shares | Value | Date Reported | Filing | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILLY ENDOWMENT INC | 90,376,978 | $108.4B | -1,520,000 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BlackRock, Inc. | 67,540,400 | $81.0B | +1,159,558 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 53,528,868 | $64.2B | +167,094 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 51,322,720 | $61.6B | -6,188 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE STREET CORP | 36,215,754 | $43.4B | +605,752 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| FMR LLC | 28,462,475 | $34.1B | +2,121,444 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 20,873,140 | $25.0B | -3,759,507 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC | 20,859,217 | $25.0B | -117,810 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC | 20,310,858 | $24.3B | +118,994 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| MORGAN STANLEY | 16,226,398 | $19.5B | +788,940 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| Capital World Investors | 15,902,642 | $19.1B | +280,829 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| JPMORGAN CHASE & CO | 12,598,524 | $15.5B | -1,099,967 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORGES BANK | 11,471,413 | $13.8B | +11,471,413 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE | 11,274,243 | $13.5B | +148,411 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP | 10,998,953 | $13.2B | -2,428,108 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE C | 10,759,188 | $12.9B | — | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| PRIMECAP MANAGEMENT CO/CA | 9,172,904 | $11.0B | -50,528 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| NORTHERN TRUST CORP | 8,796,866 | $10.6B | -30,698 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC | 7,652,960 | $9.2B | +1,312,095 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |
| UBS AM, a distinct business unit of UBS | 7,209,385 | $8.6B | +137,364 | 2026-06-30 | Filing |