Also trades as: PGYWW (NASDAQ) · $vol 0M
PGY NASDAQ
Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
1W: +7.8%
1M: +16.3%
3M: +22.1%
YTD: -11.3%
1Y: -31.9%
3Y: +40.8%
5Y: -83.4%
$19.77
+0.89 (+4.71%)
After Hours: $19.75 (-0.02, -0.13%)
Weekly Expected Move ±7.1%
$16
$18
$19
$20
$22
Credit Risk of going bust: higher than 83% of companies Debt: 36.6% of company value Bonds: $40.9M held by 59 funds, 797 bp over Treasuries → details ▾
Of US companies ranked in the second-riskiest tenth, about 1 in 87 filed for bankruptcy within a year (2020-2025).
If the stock fell to about $1.30 (down 93%), Pagaya Technologies Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $907.3M against a stock market value of $1.58B.
Distance to default 2.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $437.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 74.0%; Altman Z'' 5.10. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
If the stock fell to about $1.30 (down 93%), Pagaya Technologies Ltd. would be worth roughly what it owes.
Total debt $907.3M against a stock market value of $1.58B.
Distance to default 2.37 (Merton model): prices to 2026-10-26, balance sheet 2026-06-30, debt counted $437.5M (short-term plus half of long-term), stock volatility 74.0%; Altman Z'' 5.10. A ranking and a back-test, not a forecast.
Bond figures are fund-reported marks (SEC N-PORT) as of Jul 2026. How these are computed.
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Financials
Income Statement
Cash Flow
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Earnings
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Analysis
Technicals
Weather
Peers
ESG
Institutions
ETF Exposure
Dark Pool
Short Interest
Supply Chain
Oct Typical
☀️
Sunny
+24.7% YTD avg
Midterm Year
⛈️
Stormy
-86.6% YTD avg
2026 Now
⛈️
Stormy
Below typical
20yr Avg YTD
+24.7%
Day 206 of 252
Midterm Year YTD
-86.6%
Presidential cycle avg
2026 YTD
-11.3%
Below 20yr avg
Typical Vol
72%
Annualized
Monthly Weather Forecast
Jan
20yr
⛈️
-2.4%
Midterm
☁️
-0.1%
0% win
73% vol
Feb
20yr
💨
+4.0%
Midterm
☁️
-0.4%
40% win
100% vol
Mar
20yr
⛈️
-7.1%
Midterm
☁️
-0.6%
20% win
90% vol
Apr
20yr
🌫️
-9.2%
Midterm
☁️
-0.8%
33% win
64% vol
May
20yr
💨
+10.8%
Midterm
☁️
+0.1%
83% win
77% vol
Jun
20yr
💨
+18.3%
Midterm
⛈️
-59.5%
83% win
15344% vol
Jul
20yr
💨
+111.0%
Midterm
☀️
+201.0%
83% win
288% vol
Aug
20yr
⛈️
+77.1%
Midterm
☀️
+19.9%
67% win
110% vol
Sep
20yr
⛈️
+36.7%
Midterm
⛈️
-81.8%
17% win
125% vol
Oct
20yr
⛈️
+21.4%
Midterm
⛈️
-86.0%
50% win
72% vol
Now:
+14.2%
Nov
20yr
⛈️
+8.8%
Midterm
⛈️
-90.0%
0% win
106% vol
Dec
20yr
🌫️
+0.2%
Midterm
💨
+24.0%
40% win
91% vol
Seasonality (20yr)
Updated: 2026-10-27
YTD: -11.3%